Realized P&L
-$30
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
9.7%
Resolved
7
Trades
104
lifetime
Volume
$532
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$121
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 07-23 16:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
40% 0% $-5
Sports
37% 0% $-24
Politics
13% 33% $-1
Crypto
10%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No -55 $-16 31¢ $-17 $-1 07-22 18:54
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -19 $-10 64¢ $-12 $-2 06-28 04:15
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -12 $-6 68¢ $-8 $-2 06-19 21:51
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-11 38¢ $-8 +$4 05-31 18:39
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +77 $8 $7 $-1 06-05 20:29
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-8 60¢ $-7 +$2 06-05 20:28
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes -121 $-9 $-6 +$3 06-25 06:03
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +109 $5 $6 +$1 07-18 14:43
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes -32 $-7 18¢ $-6 +$1 06-17 14:24
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No -12 $-6 48¢ $-6 +$0 07-19 11:33
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes -10 $-5 50¢ $-5 $-0 07-18 06:02
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No -10 $-5 50¢ $-5 $-0 07-18 06:02
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 07-18 14:43
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +156 $5 $5 $-0 07-23 15:27
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +42 $5 12¢ $5 $-0 07-23 16:02
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? No -9 $-4 50¢ $-4 $-0 07-18 06:02
Anduril IPO before 2027? Yes +45 $5 $3 $-2 07-04 18:45
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes -49 $-10 $-3 +$7 05-30 23:41
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $-1 58¢ $2 +$4 07-14 06:16
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes -2 $-0 12¢ $-0 +$0 06-17 04:38