(anonymous) 0x35df17…adcf97
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$89
Unrealized P&L
-$39
Hit rate
58.8%
Resolved
66
Trades
232
lifetime
Volume
$1.28K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$104
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 10-26 17:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
42% 50% +$28
Politics
24% 36% -$82
Sports
17% 41% -$32
Crypto
15% 33% -$3
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +75 $15 24¢ $18 +$3 05-19 19:47
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +7 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 05-10 20:15
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -126 -$8 5¢ $-6 +$1 09-25 11:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +7 $5 82¢ $6 +$1 05-12 01:19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +15 $5 36¢ $5 +$0 06-10 10:05
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +139 $5 4¢ $5 +$0 09-14 14:55
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +109 $5 5¢ $5 +$0 07-18 14:43
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +33 $5 12¢ $4 -$1 05-10 21:19
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $12 8¢ $3 -$9 05-10 21:51
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No +8 $5 40¢ $3 -$2 05-17 18:55
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +3 -$2 86¢ $3 +$5 06-28 04:15
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +42 $5 6¢ $3 -$2 07-23 16:02
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +308 $12 1¢ $3 -$9 05-10 20:48
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +3 -$2 88¢ $3 +$5 10-14 08:22
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +88 $5 3¢ $3 -$2 05-11 23:10
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +3 -$1 89¢ $2 +$3 06-19 21:51
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +279 $12 1¢ $2 -$10 05-12 00:14
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +209 $12 1¢ $2 -$10 05-10 20:13
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +2 -$8 94¢ $2 +$10 07-22 18:54
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +19 $5 10¢ $2 -$3 05-14 03:03
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +2 -$4 89¢ $2 +$6 08-22 18:16
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? No +73 $8 3¢ $2 -$6 05-17 18:24
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +77 $8 2¢ $2 -$6 06-05 20:29
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +147 $8 1¢ $2 -$6 05-11 22:32
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +19 $5 10¢ $2 -$3 05-17 18:24
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +28 $8 6¢ $2 -$6 05-10 20:14
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +29 $5 6¢ $2 -$3 05-12 00:15
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $8 3¢ $2 -$6 05-10 19:41
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -19 -$11 8¢ $-2 +$10 06-12 00:46
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -38 -$2 4¢ $-1 +$1 05-03 21:06