Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
open
Total volume
$9,960
$36 in 24h
Trades
218
Unique wallets
66
Liquidity
$7,878
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-11 06:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $48
vs crowd: 1% YES on $5.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | — | $760 | $760 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $2 | $2.8K | $2.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $38 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 37 | $21 | $889 | $868 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $48 | $48 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $762 | $762 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $541 | $541 |
| Median | 14 | $1 | $200 | $200 |
| Below median | 8 | $7 | $58 | $51 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $566 | $566 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $537 | $537 |
| unranked | 31 | $54 | $3.1K | $3.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another-Parenting 0xbb2e…5bbf | No | +1,398 | $1,347 | $1,347 | 1 | 07-15 21:31 |
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +800 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 07-20 12:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | +606 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-23 20:51 |
| Testy-Operator 0x80a4…22cc | No | +400 | $380 | $380 | 1 | 06-26 06:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x7410…f96f | No | +196 | $186 | $186 | 2 | 07-07 05:55 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +187 | $178 | $178 | 2 | 08-07 18:10 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +151 | $142 | $142 | 27 | 08-07 18:10 |
| Starry-Digestion 0xe8fd…f411 | No | +126 | $123 | $123 | 1 | 08-10 18:22 |
| Odd-Relish 0xe2b4…3c5a | No | +106 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 08-03 12:54 |
| Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | No | +89 | $92 | $633 | 6 | 08-07 18:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xb8d8…8166 | No | +50 | $47 | $143 | 3 | 08-07 18:10 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +45 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 08-07 20:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +44 | $1 | $4 | 17 | 08-11 06:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3dd…a559 | No | +41 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-23 20:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2b6…7f93 | No | +39 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 07-23 20:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x57e8…0bdb | No | +37 | $36 | $63 | 4 | 08-07 15:20 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | +27 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-30 15:54 |
| Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | +11 | $0 | $4 | 4 | 08-08 09:25 |
| Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | +11 | $10 | $1,384 | 38 | 08-07 18:10 |
| Lone-Dibble 0x6eae…1916 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-11 06:10 |
| Glass-Asparagus-Advance 0x3566…10fe | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 06:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 06:10:24 | Lone-Dibble 0x6eae…1916 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xecd442… |
| 08-11 06:10:24 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xecd442… |
| 08-10 18:22:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 47 | 97¢ | $45 | 0x3c563c… |
| 08-10 18:22:42 | (anonymous) 0x9516…d3e9 | No | SELL | 56 | 97¢ | $54 | 0x3c563c… |
| 08-10 18:22:42 | Starry-Digestion 0xe8fd…f411 | No | BUY | 126 | 97¢ | $123 | 0x3c563c… |
| 08-10 18:22:42 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3c563c… |
| 08-08 09:25:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0x4b185a… |
| 08-08 09:25:37 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4b185a… |
| 08-07 20:50:01 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6544b8… |
| 08-07 20:50:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x6544b8… |
| 08-07 20:50:01 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x6544b8… |
| 08-07 18:10:16 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 59 | 95¢ | $56 | 0x7925f2… |
| 08-07 18:10:16 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | No | SELL | 285 | 95¢ | $271 | 0x7925f2… |
| 08-07 18:10:16 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x7925f2… |
| 08-07 18:10:16 | (anonymous) 0xb8d8…8166 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x7925f2… |
| 08-07 18:10:16 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x7925f2… |
| 08-07 18:10:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 95¢ | $76 | 0x7925f2… |
| 08-07 18:10:16 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7925f2… |
| 08-07 15:20:28 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x617d10… |
| 08-07 15:20:28 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x617d10… |
| 08-07 15:20:28 | (anonymous) 0x57e8…0bdb | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x617d10… |
| 08-07 02:02:31 | (anonymous) 0x57e8…0bdb | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xc89999… |
| 08-07 02:02:31 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc89999… |
| 08-07 02:02:31 | Monumental-Terrace 0xcb9f…a6c0 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc89999… |
| 08-07 02:02:01 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xcd4b5f… |
| 08-07 02:02:01 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcd4b5f… |
| 08-07 02:02:01 | Monumental-Terrace 0xcb9f…a6c0 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xcd4b5f… |
| 08-06 07:01:35 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x935220… |
| 08-06 07:01:35 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x935220… |
| 08-06 07:01:35 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | No | BUY | 98 | 97¢ | $96 | 0x935220… |
| 08-06 07:01:35 | (anonymous) 0x57e8…0bdb | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x935220… |
| 08-06 07:01:35 | (anonymous) 0x9c11…ae80 | No | SELL | 34 | 97¢ | $33 | 0x935220… |
| 08-06 07:01:35 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x935220… |
| 08-06 05:32:30 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 55 | 97¢ | $53 | 0xd06e31… |
| 08-06 05:32:30 | (anonymous) 0x9c11…ae80 | No | SELL | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0xd06e31… |
| 08-06 05:32:30 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | No | BUY | 85 | 97¢ | $83 | 0xd06e31… |
| 08-06 05:32:30 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd06e31… |
| 08-06 05:32:05 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5e7cd0… |
| 08-06 05:32:05 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x5e7cd0… |
| 08-05 03:50:57 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3cd048… |
| 08-05 03:50:57 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | No | BUY | 60 | 97¢ | $58 | 0x3cd048… |
| 08-05 03:50:57 | (anonymous) 0xb1d7…6f3e | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x3cd048… |
| 08-05 03:50:57 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3cd048… |
| 08-03 12:54:17 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 17 | 97¢ | $16 | 0x4c6926… |
| 08-03 12:54:17 | Odd-Relish 0xe2b4…3c5a | No | BUY | 106 | 97¢ | $102 | 0x4c6926… |
| 08-03 12:54:17 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4c6926… |
| 08-03 12:54:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 84 | 97¢ | $81 | 0x4c6926… |
| 08-01 19:45:26 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 26 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2158c0… |
| 08-01 19:45:26 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 26 | 97¢ | $25 | 0x2158c0… |
| 08-01 06:42:45 | Violet-Thong 0xb5ef…0bf4 | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x5eadc1… |
| 08-01 06:42:45 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5eadc1… |
| 08-01 06:14:50 | Violet-Thong 0xb5ef…0bf4 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xa69968… |
| 08-01 06:14:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xa69968… |
| 07-30 22:44:44 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0x42a662… |
| 07-30 22:44:44 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0x42a662… |
| 07-30 16:11:15 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 200 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x4e605e… |
| 07-30 16:11:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 200 | 97¢ | $195 | 0x4e605e… |
| 07-30 03:07:20 | (anonymous) 0x2ae0…ca1c | No | SELL | 18 | 97¢ | $18 | 0xca4924… |
| 07-30 03:07:20 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 18 | 97¢ | $18 | 0xca4924… |
| 07-30 02:45:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 18 | 97¢ | $18 | 0x307743… |
| 07-30 02:45:50 | (anonymous) 0x2ae0…ca1c | No | BUY | 18 | 97¢ | $18 | 0x307743… |
| 07-29 21:40:18 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 44 | 97¢ | $43 | 0x5453bc… |
| 07-29 21:40:18 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 44 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5453bc… |
| 07-29 18:42:54 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x266750… |
| 07-29 18:42:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x266750… |
| 07-29 18:39:21 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xe04d99… |
| 07-29 18:39:21 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe04d99… |
| 07-29 18:39:17 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1e6e7b… |
| 07-29 18:39:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x1e6e7b… |
| 07-29 10:44:57 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x331694… |
| 07-29 10:44:57 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x331694… |
| 07-28 07:30:16 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 80 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xab8fe0… |
| 07-28 07:30:16 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | No | BUY | 80 | 97¢ | $78 | 0xab8fe0… |
| 07-27 13:22:40 | (anonymous) 0x9516…d3e9 | No | BUY | 49 | 97¢ | $48 | 0xb98209… |
| 07-27 13:22:40 | (anonymous) 0x57e8…0bdb | No | BUY | 51 | 97¢ | $50 | 0xb98209… |
| 07-27 13:22:40 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xb98209… |
| 07-26 19:02:28 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1a5da3… |
| 07-26 19:02:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x1a5da3… |
| 07-26 18:54:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x93cb59… |
| 07-26 18:54:55 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x93cb59… |
| 07-26 18:54:54 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xca4a62… |
| 07-26 18:54:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xca4a62… |
| 07-26 17:37:45 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | Yes | SELL | 27 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x008a8b… |
| 07-26 17:37:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 27 | 98¢ | $26 | 0x008a8b… |
| 07-23 21:33:00 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc85f3c… |
| 07-23 21:33:00 | Weepy-Infusion 0x510b…da8d | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0xc85f3c… |
| 07-23 21:33:00 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 28 | 97¢ | $27 | 0xc85f3c… |
| 07-23 20:51:46 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0x13062d… |
| 07-23 20:51:46 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x13062d… |
| 07-23 20:51:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x13062d… |
| 07-23 20:51:46 | (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | BUY | 606 | 3¢ | $20 | 0x13062d… |
| 07-23 20:51:46 | (anonymous) 0x9516…d3e9 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x13062d… |
| 07-23 20:51:46 | (anonymous) 0xc3dd…a559 | No | BUY | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0x13062d… |
| 07-23 20:51:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 400 | 96¢ | $386 | 0x13062d… |
| 07-23 20:51:46 | (anonymous) 0xe2b6…7f93 | No | BUY | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0x13062d… |
| 07-21 05:48:58 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x88835f… |
| 07-21 05:48:58 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x88835f… |
| 07-20 12:53:03 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x19364a… |
| 07-20 12:53:03 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x19364a… |
| 07-15 21:31:58 | Another-Parenting 0xbb2e…5bbf | No | BUY | 1,398 | 96¢ | $1,347 | 0xa48b80… |