Testy-Operator 0x80a455…1022cc
whale hot
3Unusual bets: 1 position →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$13.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.89K
Hit rate
69.0%
Resolved
1,131
Trades
22,308
lifetime
Volume
$2.20M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$99
Open exposure
$100.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 04:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 213 days
Categories
Other
69% 51% +$12,902
Politics
25% 57% -$1,048
Sports
3% 44% +$361
Tech
2% 74% +$447
Crypto
0% 67% +$961
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 495 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +26,289 $20,118 90¢ $23.5K +$3,411 10-23 13:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +16,265 $13,158 96¢ $15.6K +$2,457 10-26 14:58
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +11,734 $8,471 77¢ $9.0K +$564 10-26 04:34
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +7,224 $5,201 74¢ $5.3K +$108 10-07 21:55
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +6,920 $4,165 66¢ $4.5K +$368 10-19 15:47
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +4,550 $2,305 96¢ $4.4K +$2,063 09-28 13:52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +80,182 $8,545 4¢ $3.2K -$5,337 10-28 04:51
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +26,289 $6,374 11¢ $2.8K -$3,614 10-18 21:05
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +3,374 $2,236 80¢ $2.7K +$446 10-19 05:02
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +2,888 $2,166 92¢ $2.7K +$505 10-21 05:43
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +6,920 $2,750 34¢ $2.4K -$362 10-20 19:10
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,603 $870 91¢ $2.4K +$1,502 10-20 15:36
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +3,099 $2,322 75¢ $2.3K +$7 10-15 12:57
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +1,949 $1,635 99¢ $1.9K +$303 08-21 14:36
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +7,224 $1,977 26¢ $1.9K -$63 10-20 02:52
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,289 $1,543 79¢ $1.8K +$269 09-13 16:48
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2,307 $1,521 78¢ $1.8K +$285 10-14 23:53
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +6,597 $2,605 26¢ $1.7K -$922 10-25 11:06
US recession by end of 2026? No +1,500 $1,170 92¢ $1.4K +$218 10-02 16:30
will texas enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027 No +1,237 $915 88¢ $1.1K +$167 09-30 10:53
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,696 $789 56¢ $958 +$169 10-19 16:19
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,327 $1,240 72¢ $949 -$291 09-14 14:19
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +1,300 $672 71¢ $924 +$252 10-15 11:41
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,000 $720 86¢ $865 +$145 09-25 15:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +1,213 $570 64¢ $770 +$200 09-25 16:40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,696 $957 44¢ $738 -$219 10-20 14:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,565 $2,187 20¢ $695 -$1,491 10-26 22:33
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +3,374 $51 20¢ $692 +$641 10-23 18:56
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +9,000 $655 8¢ $675 +$20 10-14 19:19
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +872 $562 74¢ $650 +$88 10-11 18:40