Realized P&L
-$212
Unrealized P&L
+$58
Hit rate
36.5%
Resolved
13
Trades
6,357
lifetime
Volume
$334.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$6.27K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 21:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
47% 14% $-117
Politics
43% 0% $-99
Sports
4% 50% +$4
Tech
4%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 236 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +2,910 $1,364 52¢ $1.5K +$135 07-20 10:30
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +2,912 $1,048 42¢ $1.2K +$160 07-14 11:00
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -2,025 $-1,046 58¢ $-1185 $-138 07-01 06:34
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +2,010 $1,257 56¢ $1.1K $-141 07-20 15:47
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No +400 $380 98¢ $391 +$12 06-26 06:26
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +794 $299 44¢ $354 +$54 07-20 07:22
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes -458 $-226 48¢ $-222 +$4 07-15 12:18
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No -103 $-89 82¢ $-85 +$5 07-08 11:03
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +64 $436 94¢ $60 $-376 07-13 18:08
US recession by end of 2026? No -53 $-45 88¢ $-46 $-1 06-12 23:04
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +46 $40 94¢ $43 +$3 06-17 11:41
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? No +25 $24 98¢ $24 +$1 06-26 06:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +20 $-377 99¢ $20 +$397 07-06 01:59
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +260 $72 $16 $-56 07-14 08:10
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes -53 $-3 $-2 +$1 07-01 08:44