Realized P&L
-$212
Unrealized P&L
+$216
Hit rate
36.5%
Resolved
13
Trades
5,209
lifetime
Volume
$276.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$3.89K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
51% 0% $-99
Other
47% 14% $-117
Sports
1% 50% +$4
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 236 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -1,200 $-1,174 100¢ $-1195 $-21 06-28 06:34
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -1,325 $-661 55¢ $-722 $-61 06-30 17:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,067 $431 68¢ $720 +$289 06-15 08:38
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No +400 $380 95¢ $380 +$1 06-26 06:26
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +629 $238 44¢ $273 +$36 06-29 03:55
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +279 $229 82¢ $230 +$1 06-30 18:01
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +1,000 $193 17¢ $170 $-23 06-30 20:04
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +150 $76 46¢ $68 $-8 06-07 22:00
US recession by end of 2026? No -53 $-45 88¢ $-46 $-1 06-12 23:04
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +46 $40 92¢ $42 +$3 06-17 11:41
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? No +25 $24 95¢ $24 +$0 06-26 06:25
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June? No -14 $-13 100¢ $-14 $-0 06-16 05:53
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +83 $4 $5 +$1 06-30 16:46
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No -5 $-4 64¢ $-3 +$1 06-09 22:17
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No -1 $-1 56¢ $-1 +$0 06-16 15:25