Realized P&L
+$7.87K
Unrealized P&L
+$582
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
42
Trades
126
lifetime
Volume
$205.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.63K
Open exposure
$26.4K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 10-26 21:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Politics
54% 96% +$3,963
Other
46% 100% +$3,912
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +4,937 $4,572 99¢ $4.9K +$303 06-05 22:43
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +4,191 $4,000 95¢ $4.0K -$10 09-07 13:51
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +3,129 $3,000 98¢ $3.1K +$50 07-15 22:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +3,033 $3,000 100¢ $3.0K +$20 10-11 20:03
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +3,047 $2,719 88¢ $2.7K -$34 10-11 20:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2,097 $1,992 96¢ $2.0K +$18 08-02 20:57
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,605 $1,380 94¢ $1.5K +$136 07-15 22:48
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No +1,398 $1,347 97¢ $1.4K +$7 07-15 21:31
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +1,334 $1,280 97¢ $1.3K +$17 07-15 22:46
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1,087 $1,000 96¢ $1.0K +$46 08-02 20:30
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +841 $806 98¢ $823 +$17 07-15 21:48
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +407 $403 100¢ $406 +$3 10-25 19:30
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +240 $218 94¢ $225 +$7 10-11 20:05
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? No +88 $84 98¢ $86 +$1 07-15 21:30