Realized P&L (24h)
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$718
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (24h)
1
Trades (24h)
0
126 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$205.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.63K
Open exposure
$26.1K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 10-26 21:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Politics
54% 96% +$3,967
Other
46% 100% +$3,912
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +4,937 $4,572 99¢ $4.9K +$303 06-05 22:43
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +4,191 $4,000 96¢ $4.0K +$9 09-07 13:51
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +3,129 $3,000 97¢ $3.0K +$49 07-15 22:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +3,033 $3,000 100¢ $3.0K +$29 10-11 20:03
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +3,047 $2,719 91¢ $2.8K +$48 10-11 20:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2,097 $1,992 97¢ $2.0K +$34 08-02 20:57
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,605 $1,380 94¢ $1.5K +$136 07-15 22:48
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No +1,398 $1,347 98¢ $1.4K +$17 07-15 21:31
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +1,334 $1,280 98¢ $1.3K +$21 07-15 22:46
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1,087 $1,000 96¢ $1.0K +$41 08-02 20:30
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +841 $806 98¢ $822 +$16 07-15 21:48
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +240 $218 97¢ $232 +$14 10-11 20:05
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? No +88 $84 96¢ $85 +$0 07-15 21:30