Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?
open
Total volume
$160
Trades
29
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$8,023
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-21 05:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $3 | $71 | $68 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $0 | $2 | $2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 6 | $2 | $71 | $69 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another-Parenting 0xbb2e…5bbf | No | +74 | $71 | $71 | 1 | 07-15 21:28 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-08 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fad…ef43 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-21 05:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-07 00:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 05:48:30 | (anonymous) 0x474a…c816 | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x397c34… |
| 07-21 05:48:30 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x397c34… |
| 07-21 05:48:27 | (anonymous) 0x4fad…ef43 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeb4e90… |
| 07-21 05:48:27 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xeb4e90… |
| 07-21 05:48:27 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xeb4e90… |
| 07-20 12:51:52 | (anonymous) 0x474a…c816 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7508d9… |
| 07-20 12:51:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7508d9… |
| 07-20 12:51:51 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x4ee187… |
| 07-20 12:51:51 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4ee187… |
| 07-15 21:28:11 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x1b6784… |
| 07-15 21:28:11 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x1b6784… |
| 07-15 21:28:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1b6784… |
| 07-15 21:28:11 | Another-Parenting 0xbb2e…5bbf | No | BUY | 74 | 97¢ | $71 | 0x1b6784… |
| 07-05 07:47:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x344b6d… |
| 07-05 07:47:49 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x344b6d… |
| 07-04 09:01:37 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x429ba4… |
| 07-04 09:01:37 | (anonymous) 0xffbf…cc59 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x429ba4… |
| 07-03 19:03:53 | Double-Podcast 0x92a3…4a7d | No | SELL | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0x804a6c… |
| 07-03 19:03:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x804a6c… |
| 06-08 00:44:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x327adc… |
| 06-08 00:44:00 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x327adc… |
| 06-07 12:43:43 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6c881c… |
| 06-07 12:43:43 | (anonymous) 0xffbf…cc59 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6c881c… |
| 06-07 12:41:28 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x401c25… |
| 06-07 12:41:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x401c25… |
| 06-07 00:41:27 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc80c1f… |
| 06-07 00:41:27 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc80c1f… |
| 05-30 21:32:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd65cdd… |
| 05-30 21:32:00 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd65cdd… |