Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$573

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

910

Trades

2,350

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 09-09 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

56% 84% -$303

Crypto

30% 56% -$212

Politics

7% 81% +$16

Sports

5% 68% -$41

Tech

2% 62% -$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	-14	-$10	95¢	$-13	-$3	05-30 04:50
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	+5	$3	99¢	$5	+$2	07-24 22:23
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	-3	-$1	50¢	$-2	$0	05-13 15:58
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	-3	$0	44¢	$-1	-$1	05-13 15:56
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	-5	$0	2¢	$-0	+$0	07-24 22:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	10	$359	237	157	+79	No	+$7	05-03 08:18
COD Meknès leading at halftime?	4	$351	264	100	+164	No	+$7	07-05 17:07
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	6	$344	230	139	+91	No	+$0	05-03 08:14
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	7	$338	230	139	+92	No	+$2	05-03 08:16
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	12	$264	0	541	-541	Yes	-$19	06-01 07:33
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	13	$222	0	433	-433	No	+$6	05-15 23:30
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	2	$189	100	100	+0	No	+$1	07-04 18:20
Will T1 win MSI 2026?	13	$172	127	127	-0	No	+$1	06-16 17:30
Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	5	$127	199	0	+199	No	+$71	06-18 22:14
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$115	115	24	+91	No	+$0	05-03 08:15
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$115	115	24	+91	No	+$0	05-03 08:19
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$115	115	24	+91	No	+$0	05-03 08:17
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$115	115	24	+91	No	+$0	05-03 08:17
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	3	$106	416	0	+416	T1	-$106	04-28 22:18
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	3	$104	0	211	-211	No	+$1	05-15 23:30
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?	5	$99	72	36	+36	No	+$4	07-05 13:28
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 23?	2	$94	100	100	+0	No	+$2	07-23 13:05
IR Tanger leading at halftime?	5	$92	308	0	+308	Yes	-$92	07-05 17:05
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	9	$84	82	5	+77	No	+$3	04-23 21:37
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Broncos during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	1	$82	100	0	+100	open	—	07-22 17:44
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$80	135	0	+135	Yes	-$80	06-17 19:53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	7	$77	0	113	-113	Yes	-$10	05-17 05:50
Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	7	$77	77	0	+77	No	+$0	04-23 21:37
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?	5	$74	75	25	+50	Yes	-$46	07-23 23:27
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	4	$64	71	71	+0	Yes	+$1	08-25 16:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 13:30 UTC	5	$62	126	0	+126	Up	-$12	07-23 13:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 14:15 UTC	4	$54	87	0	+87	Up	-$17	07-23 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 4?	6	$53	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-05 01:26
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)	2	$53	141	0	+141	KT Rolster Challengers	-$53	04-28 10:04
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 24?	5	$52	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-24 07:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 00:19:58	Will Marcelo Maranata win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1caa4a…
09-08 04:07:36	Will Marcelo Maranata win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x999a30…
08-25 16:05:45	Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	No	SELL	71	46¢	$33	0x1a7281…
08-04 01:55:38	Will Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	No	SELL	25	42¢	$11	0x5e0e0c…
07-30 10:05:23	Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	No	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x95d9e1…
07-30 10:04:39	Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	No	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x04375e…
07-30 10:04:32	Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x653dd2…
07-28 23:51:59	Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0x770981…
07-28 22:59:22	Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x101fb9…
07-27 21:54:31	Will Anthony Volpe win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x44dbdd…
07-27 19:47:22	Will Anthony Volpe win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x8f1e8b…
07-27 16:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on July 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x55f0d7…
07-27 13:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on July 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8f701b…
07-27 02:05:34	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xa119f7…
07-26 23:16:46	Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd69ebf…
07-26 23:11:00	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x438e21…
07-26 22:59:31	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd4b150…
07-26 17:01:03	Will Tencent have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x14f040…
07-26 10:24:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa6085e…
07-26 01:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 26?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xaaf53c…
07-25 22:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 26?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x4608ef…
07-25 22:25:36	Will Caleb Durbin win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd74fd0…
07-25 22:25:34	Will Steven Kwan win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9500ea…
07-25 21:20:58	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x33335a…
07-25 20:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 25?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x3f7fc8…
07-25 18:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 25?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x8c9f2d…
07-25 17:45:48	Who will win the gold medal in Men's BMX Street at X Games New Orleans 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc8b577…
07-25 17:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 26?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x12716b…
07-25 17:07:52	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4689f0…
07-25 16:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or below on July 26?	No	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xa962e6…
07-25 15:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or below on July 26?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x307a71…
07-25 13:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xef38f9…
07-25 12:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on July 25?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xcf11fb…
07-25 12:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 25?	No	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x9ce410…
07-25 10:57:16	Will "The Boss Baby" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x91477d…
07-25 10:56:30	Who will win the gold medal in Men's BMX Street at X Games New Orleans 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xa4ba20…
07-25 10:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x43c5be…
07-25 09:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x3b064e…
07-25 09:25:45	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xc318b8…
07-25 08:55:40	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x9d89ef…
07-25 08:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x8d9a8c…
07-25 05:40:10	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x1fdc5e…
07-25 05:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C or higher on July 25?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xbb4dbe…
07-25 05:16:07	Will DeepSeek have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x36519a…
07-25 05:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on July 25?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x617a8b…
07-25 05:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 25?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x6f1c15…
07-25 04:19:37	Who will win the gold medal in Men's BMX Street at X Games New Orleans 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x07a59f…
07-25 04:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x15c7cd…
07-25 03:49:27	Will Tencent have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x40bfe4…
07-25 03:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on July 25?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xa0ff62…
07-25 03:39:34	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 25?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3ba005…
07-25 03:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xb0ffe6…
07-25 03:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 25?	No	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x595697…
07-25 03:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xc28b7e…
07-25 02:59:06	Will Thinky have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x0b4176…
07-25 02:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 39°C or higher on July 25?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x458406…
07-25 02:28:48	Who will win the gold medal in Men's BMX Street at X Games New Orleans 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x798fd5…
07-25 02:28:10	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x89bd6e…
07-25 02:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x0ecac3…
07-25 02:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xfbd02c…
07-25 02:18:42	Will Cindy Werner be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x7a92d0…
07-25 02:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x8fb936…
07-25 01:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x58ebed…
07-25 01:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 25?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x4bea50…
07-25 01:32:57	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x933dde…
07-25 01:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4f4d02…
07-25 01:28:15	Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	No	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0xa7cf4c…
07-25 01:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or below on July 25?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x261e7e…
07-25 01:19:03	Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xdb35bf…
07-25 01:19:03	Will Brayden Myer be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xd0c3a9…
07-25 01:19:03	Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x517154…
07-25 01:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x7a3b99…
07-25 01:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x19a020…
07-25 01:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xcf9ea7…
07-25 01:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xe1cc04…
07-25 01:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x45cd5a…
07-25 01:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on July 25?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x447b96…
07-25 01:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x446b36…
07-25 01:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x634a19…
07-25 01:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 25?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0xc1d6a4…
07-25 01:00:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 25?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x3c70a1…
07-25 01:00:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 25?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x1fc063…
07-25 00:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xa22e47…
07-25 00:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x505b61…
07-25 00:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xf7a2db…
07-25 00:56:31	Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $1.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf6f8ba…
07-25 00:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on July 25?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x82c228…
07-25 00:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x80a8c9…
07-25 00:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x34121d…
07-25 00:56:30	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x8a67dc…
07-25 00:56:30	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x5fe638…
07-25 00:56:30	Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x33de72…
07-25 00:56:30	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x1f01e3…
07-25 00:56:30	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x0cf7af…
07-25 00:56:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 25?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xe0a8e8…
07-25 00:55:51	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0cb665…
07-25 00:55:42	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x513ac6…
07-25 00:55:42	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x03c87c…
07-25 00:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 25?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xc68e0a…
07-25 00:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 25?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb2c942…