Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$231
Hit rate
97.8%
Resolved
33
Trades
11,185
lifetime
Volume
$924.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$83
Open exposure
$6.30K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 01:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
66% 100% +$39
Politics
34% 67% $-40
Crypto
0% 50% +$0
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +1,226 $1,207 99¢ $1.2K +$0 06-30 20:39
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No -1,029 $-918 95¢ $-976 $-58 06-29 11:32
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No -712 $-677 95¢ $-676 +$1 06-19 12:44
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +690 $583 85¢ $589 +$6 06-26 21:35
Trump out as President before 2027? No +476 $383 92¢ $436 +$52 06-28 22:29
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +1,042 $300 36¢ $380 +$81 06-23 00:42
Obama arrested before 2027? No -326 $-310 96¢ $-313 $-4 06-23 17:24
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -293 $-263 92¢ $-271 $-7 06-04 20:45
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +605 $141 44¢ $263 +$122 06-28 15:09
ECB rate cut in 2026? No +228 $191 86¢ $197 +$7 07-01 07:50
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +208 $187 94¢ $194 +$7 07-01 01:14
Fed abolished before 2027? No -195 $-192 98¢ $-190 +$1 06-22 18:47
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? No -108 $-104 95¢ $-103 +$1 06-10 10:53
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +104 $90 97¢ $101 +$11 06-19 07:40
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes +539 $192 18¢ $97 $-95 06-25 11:19
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027? No -77 $-74 96¢ $-73 +$0 06-29 20:06
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No -45 $-102 92¢ $-42 +$60 07-01 01:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +200 $24 20¢ $39 +$15 06-22 21:02
Will Venezuela become 51st state? Yes -700 $-31 $-28 +$2 06-26 20:32
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No -48 $-29 56¢ $-27 +$2 06-18 00:53
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No -31 $-26 82¢ $-26 +$0 06-18 07:53
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No -28 $-37 80¢ $-22 +$15 06-30 10:01
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? No -12 $-12 95¢ $-12 +$0 06-29 20:06
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? No -11 $-8 66¢ $-7 +$1 06-24 08:08
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes -83 $-12 $-6 +$6 06-17 11:41
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027? No -6 $-6 96¢ $-6 +$0 06-21 09:42
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? No -6 $-6 96¢ $-6 +$0 06-24 16:43
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +125 $4 $3 $-0 05-30 08:41
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027? Yes -79 $-3 $-2 +$1 05-30 12:47
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? Yes +12 $-1 18¢ $2 +$3 06-11 19:15