Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$97
Hit rate
97.8%
Resolved
33
Trades
10,952
lifetime
Volume
$889.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$7.42K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 17:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
67% 100% +$39
Politics
33% 67% $-40
Crypto
0% 50% +$0
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President by June 30? No +2,346 $2,316 99¢ $2.3K +$15 06-03 02:44
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? No -1,749 $-1,736 99¢ $-1738 $-1 06-04 02:01
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? No -1,475 $-1,543 99¢ $-1464 +$79 06-08 18:58
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No -725 $-633 92¢ $-671 $-38 06-10 02:46
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -293 $-263 90¢ $-265 $-1 06-04 20:45
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +200 $197 99¢ $198 +$0 06-06 15:05
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +199 $179 93¢ $185 +$6 06-04 03:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +200 $157 90¢ $181 +$24 06-03 04:41
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No -144 $-119 75¢ $-108 +$11 06-06 05:39
ECB rate hike in 2026? Yes -87 $-86 99¢ $-86 $-0 06-04 12:15
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +83 $74 93¢ $77 +$3 06-08 05:42
Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting? No +60 $59 99¢ $59 +$1 06-08 13:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -30 $-29 99¢ $-30 $-0 06-01 15:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -20 $-19 98¢ $-20 $-0 06-01 15:11
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +125 $4 $4 $-0 05-30 08:41
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027? Yes -79 $-3 $-3 +$0 05-30 12:47
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? No -1 $-1 95¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 00:45