Sardonic-Cue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

Trades

11,642

lifetime

Volume

$1.05M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$90

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 19:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$39

Politics

37% 67% $-40

Crypto

0% 50% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by April 30?	169	$149.0K	84,740	65,989	+18,752	open	—	04-30 15:58
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	117	$134.0K	66,562	68,480	-1,919	open	—	03-11 19:39
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	218	$87.0K	60,019	38,020	+21,998	open	—	01-28 19:00
trump out as president by march 31	76	$80.8K	40,814	41,035	-221	open	—	03-28 06:48
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	59	$59.8K	33,677	33,677	+0	open	—	07-23 19:26
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	28	$58.7K	54,022	12,022	+42,000	open	—	03-18 18:00
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	437	$54.3K	104,610	107,771	-3,161	open	—	01-25 04:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	261	$37.9K	21,149	18,757	+2,392	open	—	04-21 14:51
bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	142	$35.4K	19,289	16,206	+3,083	open	—	01-21 23:56
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	30	$25.7K	16,740	9,152	+7,588	open	—	07-28 09:35
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	9	$18.5K	19,262	1,300	+17,962	open	—	01-23 03:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	30	$15.6K	7,836	8,118	-282	open	—	04-10 16:22
Trump out as President by May 31?	29	$13.7K	7,026	6,841	+186	open	—	05-21 01:47
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	10	$13.3K	11,661	1,661	+10,000	open	—	04-29 18:08
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	56	$13.0K	6,626	6,626	+0	open	—	03-04 16:16
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	39	$12.0K	10,000	2,196	+7,804	open	—	08-02 15:54
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	11	$11.6K	5,803	6,176	-372	open	—	04-09 14:24
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	29	$10.6K	5,169	5,655	-486	open	—	06-17 01:56
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	-0	open	—	01-27 11:22
Trump out as President before 2027?	46	$9.5K	5,500	4,978	+522	open	—	07-31 08:17
US civil war before 2027?	30	$8.9K	3,869	6,040	-2,172	open	—	03-11 19:18
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.0% before 2027?	1	$8.6K	8,695	0	+8,695	open	—	02-27 20:49
Trump out as President by June 30?	2	$7.3K	2,346	5,000	-2,654	open	—	06-18 15:21
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	43	$6.0K	4,558	3,190	+1,368	open	—	03-03 19:00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	23	$5.8K	3,043	2,863	+180	open	—	03-15 01:55
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt5 by march 31	21	$5.8K	3,314	3,209	+105	open	—	03-30 15:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	27	$5.0K	1,870	3,391	-1,520	open	—	01-23 21:01
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$4.8K	2,519	2,509	+10	open	—	02-24 02:50
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	41	$4.5K	2,811	2,153	+659	open	—	08-10 08:05
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	20	$4.3K	2,110	2,310	-200	open	—	03-09 23:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 19:28:39	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	449	98¢	$441	0x89cf53…
08-10 15:57:04	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	990	0¢	$5	0x3657c6…
08-10 09:47:00	Record crypto liquidation in 2026?	No	BUY	123	90¢	$111	0xfe3ef9…
08-10 08:05:01	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	BUY	143	93¢	$133	0x2ce71a…
08-10 04:13:46	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x2bbe87…
08-09 17:32:57	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x34dfec…
08-09 17:10:16	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x92b50c…
08-09 15:11:58	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xe071a6…
08-09 15:09:01	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	172	98¢	$169	0x734b46…
08-09 14:51:27	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x0b21cb…
08-09 14:47:00	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x0d2613…
08-09 14:32:09	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x0bd4c3…
08-09 12:31:45	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa56243…
08-09 11:09:45	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1,414	98¢	$1,390	0xbb0840…
08-09 11:00:34	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x36cd14…
08-09 10:34:37	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x575d8e…
08-09 04:37:13	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x1dbd9f…
08-09 03:41:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	340	98¢	$333	0x3b58ad…
08-09 03:41:03	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	300	93¢	$279	0x0506d0…
08-09 02:18:55	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	400	98¢	$394	0xf0035d…
08-09 01:43:06	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	19¢	$15	0xcc72e6…
08-08 19:39:36	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x6f7ad1…
08-08 14:44:31	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x83e25b…
08-08 06:16:09	fcc revokes a major network broadcast license by december 31 2026 20260717235625543	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x6516b5…
08-07 13:55:28	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	SELL	372	94¢	$349	0x2cbac0…
08-07 12:58:27	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	SELL	128	94¢	$121	0x3d490f…
08-06 23:41:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	300	97¢	$292	0xdea2ef…
08-06 08:37:20	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	BUY	62	93¢	$57	0x28b9ef…
08-06 03:49:54	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x11c497…
08-06 03:26:27	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	591	99¢	$584	0x0765f0…
08-05 20:31:08	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xc9934b…
08-05 20:10:30	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$476	0x35967a…
08-05 17:55:53	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	BUY	183	93¢	$171	0x4ec369…
08-05 17:27:09	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	425	98¢	$417	0xd1bf2a…
08-05 17:18:18	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0x88a2cb…
08-05 15:16:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	SELL	33	87¢	$29	0x3b92ef…
08-05 10:00:38	situational awareness anthropic sale confirmed by august 31 20260730182057663	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xec7631…
08-04 07:41:57	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$71	0x8740f5…
08-04 00:08:57	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$3	0x25c5d2…
08-03 18:19:18	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x430397…
08-03 07:40:51	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xb1f23c…
08-03 01:27:20	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0xdc03b2…
08-03 00:55:41	trump tries to fire warsh in 2026 20260724155002773	No	BUY	131	89¢	$118	0x53f913…
08-03 00:51:08	trump tries to fire warsh in 2026 20260724155002773	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x2b6c11…
08-03 00:24:23	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xf71e65…
08-02 19:45:36	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xad87e2…
08-02 18:31:47	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	500	97¢	$486	0x480ab4…
08-02 18:06:50	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x06bb69…
08-02 17:06:57	ECB rate cut in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x25a775…
08-02 15:54:21	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9629bd…
08-02 15:54:05	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1f190b…
08-02 15:25:45	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xcb53f2…
08-02 15:21:00	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	660	98¢	$649	0x0e56ac…
08-02 10:47:38	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x2a9dc9…
08-02 10:47:11	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	500	97¢	$486	0x014cea…
08-02 10:43:50	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x7d100f…
08-02 05:49:24	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf87fff…
08-02 04:26:33	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x700485…
08-02 04:09:38	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x630cab…
08-02 03:37:06	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2f0974…
08-02 03:32:44	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xdcd71d…
08-02 03:29:47	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x6a54da…
08-02 03:04:56	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	BUY	256	84¢	$215	0xa6cc29…
08-01 16:11:02	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	32	66¢	$21	0xb1aeb0…
08-01 16:10:29	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	18	66¢	$12	0x24e8e3…
08-01 15:54:15	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0x81d014…
08-01 15:50:00	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc67cdd…
08-01 15:47:32	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x4fb93b…
08-01 15:47:26	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf625f1…
08-01 15:45:53	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	63	68¢	$43	0xd65ee2…
08-01 15:31:18	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x0c3862…
08-01 15:19:15	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	23	64¢	$14	0xc3d839…
08-01 15:14:38	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xb68c69…
08-01 15:05:59	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x1e7dbc…
08-01 13:25:24	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0xbf5cb7…
08-01 13:06:17	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xff3cf2…
08-01 12:42:36	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0xcf1c30…
08-01 11:59:57	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$59	0xf720a2…
08-01 11:59:57	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xf06543…
08-01 11:59:57	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa3f04b…
08-01 11:18:36	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0x92a2b8…
08-01 11:15:24	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xac6cdd…
08-01 11:15:24	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x81b2b2…
08-01 11:15:23	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$59	0x823a44…
08-01 11:01:45	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	837	99¢	$829	0x816b8e…
08-01 11:01:03	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	163	99¢	$161	0x716de1…
08-01 10:01:57	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,091	98¢	$2,045	0x408d3f…
08-01 08:25:09	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	369	99¢	$366	0xbde28f…
08-01 07:25:48	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	223	93¢	$207	0xe1c052…
08-01 07:20:27	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	222	99¢	$220	0x74e274…
08-01 07:17:20	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xbf14b9…
08-01 07:17:15	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8d4ec8…
08-01 07:16:11	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x90c96e…
08-01 07:16:09	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0abf6c…
08-01 07:15:54	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd81b33…
08-01 07:15:50	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb9b614…
08-01 07:15:47	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfb4094…
08-01 07:15:47	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeeb81d…
08-01 07:15:47	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe79621…
08-01 07:15:47	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6edcf1…