Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b57…d8782f
whale hot 10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$11.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.49K
Hit rate
97.2%
Resolved
608
Trades
18,471
lifetime
Volume
$1.62M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$36.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 02:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 136 days
Categories
Other
70% 78% +$10,193
Politics
29% 74% +$1,521
Crypto
0% 51% +$61
Tech
0% 71% +$67
Sports
0% 100% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +17,230 $17,053 100¢ $17.2K +$125 10-24 15:28
Trump out as President before 2027? No +4,000 $3,743 96¢ $3.8K +$83 10-25 22:44
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +4,005 $84 71¢ $2.8K +$2,761 10-21 18:55
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +3,000 $2,485 84¢ $2.5K +$20 10-20 19:13
US recession by end of 2026? No +2,000 $1,800 92¢ $1.9K +$50 10-22 20:58
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No -1,113 -$1,025 94¢ $-1052 -$27 10-12 20:22
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +1,000 $943 98¢ $980 +$37 10-25 22:59
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,000 $910 90¢ $905 -$5 10-21 19:59
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +3,646 $1,319 24¢ $893 -$425 10-13 16:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -800 -$608 92¢ $-740 -$132 10-16 18:02
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No -436 -$447 96¢ $-420 +$26 06-25 19:42
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +422 $242 92¢ $389 +$146 10-08 19:44
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +400 $369 96¢ $385 +$16 10-24 20:00
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +298 -$232 97¢ $290 +$522 09-17 00:40
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -293 -$263 98¢ $-287 -$23 06-04 20:45
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +300 $282 94¢ $283 +$1 10-18 13:44
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +209 $188 97¢ $202 +$14 07-01 01:14
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +208 $182 96¢ $199 +$17 10-26 23:29
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -200 -$187 97¢ $-194 -$7 10-09 17:39
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +200 $188 94¢ $187 -$1 10-24 20:43
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $186 92¢ $185 -$1 10-24 18:47
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +175 $156 97¢ $169 +$13 10-13 05:44
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +100 $82 96¢ $96 +$14 10-06 03:11
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No -94 -$109 97¢ $-92 +$18 07-07 12:54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $84 16¢ $82 -$2 10-22 02:45
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No -71 -$68 96¢ $-68 +$0 10-09 18:25
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? No -63 -$63 100¢ $-63 $0 10-08 21:54
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -324 -$269 18¢ $-60 +$209 10-15 05:41
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +34 $4 84¢ $29 +$24 10-24 20:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +68 $6 29¢ $19 +$14 10-26 15:25