Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b57…d8782f
whale hot 13W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$12.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.61K
Hit rate
97.4%
Resolved
620
Trades
18,607
lifetime
Volume
$1.67M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$19.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 05:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Other
71% 79% +$10,771
Politics
28% 74% +$1,522
Crypto
0% 51% +$61
Tech
0% 71% +$67
Sports
0% 100% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +4,000 $3,743 96¢ $3.8K +$91 10-25 22:44
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +4,005 $84 78¢ $3.1K +$3,056 10-21 18:55
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +3,281 $2,715 84¢ $2.7K +$24 10-29 00:09
US recession by end of 2026? No +2,000 $1,800 94¢ $1.9K +$90 10-22 20:58
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No -1,113 -$1,025 95¢ $-1053 -$28 10-12 20:22
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +1,000 $943 98¢ $982 +$38 10-25 22:59
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -1,000 -$794 94¢ $-935 -$141 10-28 20:31
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,000 $910 92¢ $915 +$5 10-21 19:59
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +3,646 $1,319 21¢ $766 -$553 10-13 16:26
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No -436 -$447 96¢ $-420 +$27 06-25 19:42
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +422 $242 92¢ $389 +$146 10-08 19:44
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +298 -$232 98¢ $291 +$522 09-17 00:40
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -293 -$263 98¢ $-287 -$23 06-04 20:45
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +300 $282 92¢ $277 -$4 10-18 13:44
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +209 $188 97¢ $202 +$14 07-01 01:14
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -200 -$187 96¢ $-193 -$6 10-09 17:39
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +200 $188 94¢ $188 +$0 10-24 20:43
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $186 93¢ $186 $0 10-24 18:47
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +175 $156 97¢ $169 +$13 10-13 05:44
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +100 $82 99¢ $99 +$17 10-06 03:11
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No -94 -$109 97¢ $-92 +$18 07-07 12:54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $84 16¢ $81 -$3 10-22 02:45
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No -71 -$68 96¢ $-68 +$0 10-09 18:25
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? No -63 -$63 100¢ $-63 $0 10-08 21:54
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -324 -$269 16¢ $-53 +$217 10-15 05:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,459 -$12 2¢ $36 +$48 10-28 18:23
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +34 $4 84¢ $28 +$24 10-24 20:47
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? No +9 $7 95¢ $9 +$1 05-20 18:14
Brex IPO before 2027? Yes +828 $6 1¢ $7 +$1 07-13 11:38
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +2,039 -$9 0¢ $5 +$14 09-25 01:11