Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b57…d8782f
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$174
Hit rate
97.8%
Resolved
33
Trades
11,388
lifetime
Volume
$994.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$87
Open exposure
$11.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 10:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
63% 100% +$39
Politics
37% 67% $-40
Crypto
0% 50% +$0
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +3,748 $3,667 100¢ $3.7K +$67 07-21 14:41
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? No -1,010 $-966 98¢ $-993 $-28 07-14 16:49
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No -1,029 $-918 93¢ $-956 $-38 06-29 11:32
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No -818 $-779 98¢ $-801 $-22 07-07 12:54
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? No -600 $-575 98¢ $-587 $-12 07-08 01:44
Trump out as President before 2027? No +476 $383 92¢ $440 +$57 06-28 22:29
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? No -442 $-422 98¢ $-431 $-10 07-14 17:14
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027? No -329 $-316 99¢ $-325 $-10 07-15 21:27
Obama arrested before 2027? No -326 $-310 97¢ $-317 $-8 06-23 17:24
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -293 $-263 96¢ $-281 $-18 06-04 20:45
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? No -277 $-273 96¢ $-265 +$9 07-21 09:33
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No -262 $-324 94¢ $-245 +$80 07-15 13:39
ECB rate cut in 2026? No +228 $191 91¢ $207 +$17 07-01 07:50
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +208 $187 94¢ $196 +$9 07-01 01:14
Fed abolished before 2027? No -195 $-192 99¢ $-192 $-1 06-22 18:47
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? No +200 $186 94¢ $189 +$3 07-07 19:43
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? No +167 $132 83¢ $139 +$7 07-03 23:21
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No +132 $117 90¢ $118 +$1 07-16 13:32
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +104 $90 97¢ $102 +$11 06-19 07:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +200 $24 46¢ $91 +$67 06-22 21:02
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +85 $80 96¢ $82 +$2 07-11 17:48
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027? No -55 $-54 98¢ $-54 $-0 07-21 05:48
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? No +50 $48 98¢ $49 +$1 07-15 00:16
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027? No -49 $-47 97¢ $-47 $-0 07-14 04:40
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No -31 $-26 90¢ $-28 $-2 06-18 07:53
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No -28 $-37 88¢ $-24 +$13 06-30 10:01
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes +75 $70 32¢ $24 $-46 07-12 21:07
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No -48 $-29 46¢ $-22 +$7 06-18 00:53
Will Venezuela become 51st state? Yes -700 $-31 3¢ $-19 +$12 06-26 20:32
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? Yes +52 $7 24¢ $13 +$6 07-13 21:52