Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b57…d8782f Create alert
whale 13W streak
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$648
Unrealized P&L
+$4.14K
Hit rate
98.9%
Resolved (30d)
38
Trades (30d)
1,018
18,785 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$134.9K
$1.68M lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$16.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 17:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 145 days
Categories
Other
71% 79% +$10,844
Politics
28% 73% +$1,295
Tech
1% 71% +$67
Crypto
0% 51% +$61
Sports
0% 100% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +4,010 $88 76¢ $3.0K +$2,958 11-05 15:52
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +3,281 $2,715 84¢ $2.7K +$24 10-29 00:09
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +1,393 $406 98¢ $1.4K +$959 10-29 17:47
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No -1,113 -$1,025 97¢ $-1081 -$57 10-12 20:22
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +1,095 $784 82¢ $903 +$118 11-05 05:15
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +3,646 $1,319 24¢ $893 -$425 10-13 16:26
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No -913 -$1,000 91¢ $-831 +$169 11-02 14:10
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +813 $759 98¢ $798 +$39 11-05 23:59
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +724 $628 90¢ $655 +$28 11-06 19:23
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +500 $483 99¢ $493 +$10 11-04 04:10
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No -436 -$447 98¢ $-429 +$18 06-25 19:42
Obama arrested before 2027? No -413 -$393 98¢ $-405 -$12 06-23 17:24
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +300 $282 97¢ $290 +$8 10-18 13:44
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -293 -$263 98¢ $-288 -$25 06-04 20:45
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +209 $188 97¢ $202 +$14 07-01 01:14
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +200 $188 98¢ $196 +$8 10-24 20:43
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -200 -$187 97¢ $-195 -$8 10-09 17:39
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $186 96¢ $192 +$7 10-24 18:47
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +175 $156 96¢ $168 +$12 10-13 05:44
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +200 $138 76¢ $153 +$15 11-02 10:49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meeting? Yes +181 $89 59¢ $107 +$18 11-04 18:04
Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$99 97¢ $-97 +$1 11-06 04:23
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No -94 -$109 98¢ $-92 +$17 07-07 12:54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $84 17¢ $87 +$4 10-22 02:45
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Yes +1,997 $80 4¢ $75 -$5 11-06 14:00
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -324 -$269 22¢ $-70 +$199 10-15 05:41
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No -71 -$68 98¢ $-69 -$1 10-09 18:25
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? No -63 -$63 100¢ $-63 +$0 10-08 21:54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +500 $37 12¢ $60 +$24 11-02 22:12
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Yes +553 $10 6¢ $33 +$23 11-06 13:30