Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b57…d8782f
whale 13W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$602
Unrealized P&L
+$3.91K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
21
Trades (7d)
252
18,673 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$57.3K
$1.68M lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$15.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 00:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 142 days
Categories
Other
71% 79% +$10,792
Politics
28% 74% +$1,524
Tech
1% 71% +$67
Crypto
0% 51% +$61
Sports
0% 100% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +3,281 $2,715 84¢ $2.7K +$24 10-29 00:09
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +4,005 $84 68¢ $2.7K +$2,641 10-21 18:55
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +1,393 $406 98¢ $1.4K +$954 10-29 17:47
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +1,349 $996 82¢ $1.1K +$117 10-29 23:44
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No -1,113 -$1,025 94¢ $-1050 -$25 10-12 20:22
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +3,646 $1,319 28¢ $1.0K -$316 10-13 16:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -1,000 -$794 94¢ $-945 -$151 10-28 20:31
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +831 $776 98¢ $814 +$38 11-01 02:40
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +565 $487 92¢ $517 +$29 11-01 06:24
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No -436 -$447 96¢ $-420 +$27 06-25 19:42
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +422 $242 92¢ $386 +$144 10-08 19:44
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -293 -$263 97¢ $-284 -$20 06-04 20:45
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +300 $282 94¢ $283 +$1 10-18 13:44
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +209 $188 96¢ $201 +$13 07-01 01:14
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -200 -$187 96¢ $-192 -$5 10-09 17:39
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +200 $188 96¢ $191 +$3 10-24 20:43
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $186 95¢ $191 +$5 10-24 18:47
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +175 $156 97¢ $169 +$13 10-13 05:44
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No -94 -$109 98¢ $-92 +$17 07-07 12:54
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -324 -$269 26¢ $-83 +$187 10-15 05:41
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $84 16¢ $80 -$4 10-22 02:45
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No -71 -$68 96¢ $-68 +$0 10-09 18:25
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? No -63 -$63 100¢ $-63 $0 10-08 21:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,971 -$3 1¢ $29 +$32 11-02 00:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 -$13 13¢ $13 +$25 11-01 17:38
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? No +9 $7 96¢ $9 +$2 05-20 18:14
Brex IPO before 2027? Yes +828 $6 1¢ $8 +$2 07-13 11:38
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +2,039 -$9 0¢ $5 +$14 09-25 01:11
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? Yes +2,006 $0 0¢ $5 +$5 10-14 08:14
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +398 -$130 1¢ $5 +$135 11-02 00:44