Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b57…d8782f
whale 13W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$602
Unrealized P&L
+$3.85K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
21
Trades (7d)
255
18,666 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$59.7K
$1.68M lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$15.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 06:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 142 days
Categories
Other
71% 79% +$10,792
Politics
28% 74% +$1,524
Tech
1% 71% +$67
Crypto
0% 51% +$61
Sports
0% 100% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +4,005 $84 70¢ $2.8K +$2,729 10-21 18:55
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +3,281 $2,715 84¢ $2.7K +$24 10-29 00:09
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +1,393 $406 98¢ $1.4K +$954 10-29 17:47
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +1,349 $996 84¢ $1.1K +$131 10-29 23:44
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No -1,113 -$1,025 95¢ $-1053 -$28 10-12 20:22
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +3,646 $1,319 28¢ $1.0K -$316 10-13 16:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -1,000 -$794 96¢ $-955 -$161 10-28 20:31
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +831 $776 98¢ $814 +$37 11-01 02:40
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +565 $487 92¢ $517 +$29 11-01 06:24
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No -436 -$447 96¢ $-420 +$27 06-25 19:42
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +422 $242 92¢ $386 +$144 10-08 19:44
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -293 -$263 97¢ $-284 -$20 06-04 20:45
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +300 $282 94¢ $283 +$1 10-18 13:44
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +209 $188 96¢ $201 +$12 07-01 01:14
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -200 -$187 96¢ $-193 -$5 10-09 17:39
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +200 $188 95¢ $190 +$2 10-24 20:43
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $186 94¢ $189 +$3 10-24 18:47
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +175 $156 97¢ $169 +$13 10-13 05:44
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No -94 -$109 98¢ $-92 +$17 07-07 12:54
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -324 -$269 26¢ $-85 +$184 10-15 05:41
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $84 16¢ $81 -$3 10-22 02:45
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No -71 -$68 96¢ $-68 +$0 10-09 18:25
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? No -63 -$63 100¢ $-63 $0 10-08 21:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,000 $12 2¢ $50 +$37 11-01 03:15
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? No +9 $7 95¢ $9 +$1 05-20 18:14
Brex IPO before 2027? Yes +828 $6 1¢ $7 +$2 07-13 11:38
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +2,039 -$9 0¢ $5 +$14 09-25 01:11
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? Yes +2,006 $0 0¢ $5 +$5 10-14 08:14
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +1,823 -$12 0¢ $3 +$15 09-08 01:14
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +67 $1 3¢ $2 +$1 08-11 04:15