Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b57…d8782f Create alert
whale hot 13W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$12.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.08K
Hit rate
97.3%
Resolved
643
Trades
18,942
lifetime
Volume
$1.69M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$89
Open exposure
$18.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 00:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 149 days
Categories
Other
71% 78% +$10,857
Politics
28% 72% +$1,292
Tech
1% 71% +$67
Crypto
0% 51% +$61
Sports
0% 100% +$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +4,015 $91 87¢ $3.5K +$3,404 11-11 19:55
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +3,281 $2,715 84¢ $2.7K +$24 10-29 00:09
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,868 $1,692 98¢ $1.8K +$130 11-12 18:44
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,570 $1,418 90¢ $1.4K -$13 11-13 15:25
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +1,345 $359 98¢ $1.3K +$964 11-14 00:10
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No -1,113 -$1,025 97¢ $-1078 -$53 10-12 20:22
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +1,072 $1,045 99¢ $1.1K +$22 11-06 23:30
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No -913 -$1,000 96¢ $-874 +$126 11-02 14:10
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +600 $524 97¢ $580 +$56 11-13 04:17
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +3,646 $1,319 12¢ $437 -$881 10-13 16:26
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No -436 -$447 98¢ $-429 +$18 06-25 19:42
Obama arrested before 2027? No -413 -$393 99¢ $-408 -$15 06-23 17:24
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +400 $380 97¢ $388 +$8 11-12 19:59
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +320 $256 92¢ $296 +$40 11-07 12:26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +300 $282 99¢ $296 +$14 10-18 13:44
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -293 -$263 98¢ $-286 -$22 06-04 20:45
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +209 $188 98¢ $204 +$15 07-01 01:14
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? No -208 -$189 97¢ $-201 -$12 10-27 13:01
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -200 -$187 98¢ $-197 -$9 10-09 17:39
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +200 $188 97¢ $195 +$7 10-24 20:43
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +193 $184 96¢ $186 +$1 11-13 21:38
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +175 $156 97¢ $170 +$14 10-13 05:44
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the cash rate target at the March meeting? Yes +127 $6 82¢ $105 +$99 11-10 08:23
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +123 -$26 84¢ $103 +$129 11-10 23:39
Fed abolished before 2027? No -95 -$102 99¢ $-94 +$8 06-22 18:47
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No -94 -$109 98¢ $-93 +$17 07-07 12:54
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? No +85 $82 96¢ $82 +$0 11-13 06:12
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $84 15¢ $73 -$11 10-22 02:45
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No -71 -$68 98¢ $-69 -$1 10-09 18:25
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? No -63 -$63 100¢ $-63 $0 10-08 21:54