Fed abolished before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,844
Trades
102
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$16,452
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-10 21:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $160
vs crowd: 2% YES on $1.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $0 | $168 | $167 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $3 | $71 | $67 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $2 | $279 | $277 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $10 | $467 | $457 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $160 | $160 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $0 | $105 | $104 |
| Median | 4 | $2 | $74 | $72 |
| Below median | 6 | $2 | $127 | $125 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
| unranked | 21 | $8 | $511 | $503 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | +164 | $160 | $160 | 5 | 07-09 22:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x35b9…a59e | No | +103 | $100 | $100 | 3 | 07-09 22:15 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +86 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 21:39 |
| Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | +73 | $71 | $71 | 1 | 06-29 03:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a2f…bddb | Yes | +59 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-22 17:32 |
| Miserly-Innovation 0xac8f…3bc4 | Yes | +56 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-22 18:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xd321…2443 | No | +55 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 06-23 10:10 |
| Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 21:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x94da…83ee | No | +41 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-09 21:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | +27 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 07-03 05:29 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +23 | $-1 | $4 | 8 | 07-10 21:39 |
| Mad-Advantage 0xcc0e…0176 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-03 05:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xd815…4afa | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-30 10:39 |
| Sentimental-Release 0x5143…e9b1 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-09 22:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-22 17:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xae28…638a | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-09 22:15 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-23 10:16 |
| Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-01 19:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +3 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 06-22 18:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +1 | $-0 | $2 | 5 | 07-10 21:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 21:39:44 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x86ba34… |
| 07-10 21:39:44 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x86ba34… |
| 07-10 21:39:44 | Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x86ba34… |
| 07-10 21:39:44 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x86ba34… |
| 07-10 21:39:44 | (anonymous) 0x5e24…da0c | Yes | SELL | 214 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x86ba34… |
| 07-10 21:39:44 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x86ba34… |
| 07-09 22:15:04 | (anonymous) 0x5e24…da0c | Yes | BUY | 101 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xcc3f45… |
| 07-09 22:15:04 | Sentimental-Release 0x5143…e9b1 | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0xcc3f45… |
| 07-09 22:15:04 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcc3f45… |
| 07-09 22:15:04 | (anonymous) 0xae28…638a | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xcc3f45… |
| 07-09 22:15:04 | (anonymous) 0x35b9…a59e | No | BUY | 37 | 97¢ | $36 | 0xcc3f45… |
| 07-09 22:15:04 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0xcc3f45… |
| 07-09 21:56:32 | (anonymous) 0x5e24…da0c | Yes | BUY | 113 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xc42ad2… |
| 07-09 21:56:32 | (anonymous) 0x35b9…a59e | No | BUY | 63 | 97¢ | $61 | 0xc42ad2… |
| 07-09 21:56:32 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc42ad2… |
| 07-09 21:56:32 | (anonymous) 0x94da…83ee | No | BUY | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0xc42ad2… |
| 07-03 05:29:26 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x0a3385… |
| 07-03 05:29:26 | Mad-Advantage 0xcc0e…0176 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0a3385… |
| 07-03 05:29:02 | Mad-Advantage 0xcc0e…0176 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1c161e… |
| 07-03 05:29:02 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1c161e… |
| 07-03 05:28:52 | (anonymous) 0x50d3…b5aa | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x6a5a2d… |
| 07-03 05:28:52 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x6a5a2d… |
| 07-01 19:34:49 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x8cd844… |
| 07-01 19:34:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8cd844… |
| 06-29 04:19:10 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 29 | 97¢ | $28 | 0x9485e2… |
| 06-29 04:19:10 | Spirited-Pear 0x1e7d…78c1 | No | SELL | 29 | 97¢ | $28 | 0x9485e2… |
| 06-29 03:54:31 | (anonymous) 0xdb86…9243 | No | SELL | 39 | 97¢ | $37 | 0x0edc47… |
| 06-29 03:54:31 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 73 | 97¢ | $71 | 0x0edc47… |
| 06-29 03:54:31 | (anonymous) 0x7b5d…a369 | No | SELL | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0x0edc47… |
| 06-27 12:04:53 | (anonymous) 0x4b12…28a5 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xc92f90… |
| 06-27 12:04:53 | (anonymous) 0x35b9…a59e | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xc92f90… |
| 06-25 12:52:40 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x17d68e… |
| 06-25 12:52:40 | Likely-Mobster 0xdf3c…6269 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x17d68e… |
| 06-23 10:24:34 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd07b89… |
| 06-23 10:24:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 18 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd07b89… |
| 06-23 10:16:13 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x4cfcb4… |
| 06-23 10:16:13 | Spirited-Pear 0x1e7d…78c1 | No | BUY | 29 | 95¢ | $27 | 0x4cfcb4… |
| 06-23 10:16:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4cfcb4… |
| 06-23 10:16:13 | Grimy-Balance 0x751b…8604 | No | SELL | 56 | 95¢ | $53 | 0x4cfcb4… |
| 06-23 10:14:59 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | SELL | 28 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0da734… |
| 06-23 10:14:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0da734… |
| 06-23 10:14:59 | Primary-Extremist 0xf316…c97f | No | SELL | 57 | 97¢ | $55 | 0x0da734… |
| 06-23 10:14:59 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0da734… |
| 06-23 10:13:58 | Safe-Amnesty 0x5c0f…dfa6 | No | SELL | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0xe12ce1… |
| 06-23 10:13:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe12ce1… |
| 06-23 10:13:58 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | SELL | 28 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe12ce1… |
| 06-23 10:12:38 | Growling-Jade 0x316b…8d96 | No | SELL | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0x15d099… |
| 06-23 10:12:38 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x15d099… |
| 06-23 10:12:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x15d099… |
| 06-23 10:10:31 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5a2d24… |
| 06-23 10:10:31 | (anonymous) 0xd321…2443 | No | BUY | 24 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x5a2d24… |
| 06-23 10:10:31 | Bad-Surface 0x76fd…ab71 | No | SELL | 77 | 98¢ | $76 | 0x5a2d24… |
| 06-23 10:08:08 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 26 | 98¢ | $26 | 0xdb2006… |
| 06-23 10:08:08 | (anonymous) 0xd321…2443 | No | BUY | 31 | 98¢ | $31 | 0xdb2006… |
| 06-23 10:08:08 | Able-Culvert 0x5605…5962 | No | SELL | 57 | 98¢ | $56 | 0xdb2006… |
| 06-23 10:05:59 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x862777… |
| 06-23 10:05:59 | Hairy-Clef 0x967d…ddd4 | No | SELL | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x862777… |
| 06-23 02:21:46 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x5f94e2… |
| 06-23 02:21:46 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5f94e2… |
| 06-22 18:47:10 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x143f97… |
| 06-22 18:47:10 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x8dad2f… |
| 06-22 18:47:10 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8dad2f… |
| 06-22 18:47:10 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x143f97… |
| 06-22 18:34:49 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | SELL | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8e0ec9… |
| 06-22 18:34:49 | Miserly-Innovation 0xac8f…3bc4 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8e0ec9… |
| 06-22 18:02:08 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc17514… |
| 06-22 18:02:08 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0xc17514… |
| 06-22 17:53:05 | Bad-Surface 0x76fd…ab71 | No | BUY | 77 | 98¢ | $76 | 0x42575b… |
| 06-22 17:53:05 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 77 | 98¢ | $76 | 0x42575b… |
| 06-22 17:37:13 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | BUY | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x837dd1… |
| 06-22 17:37:13 | Grimy-Balance 0x751b…8604 | No | BUY | 56 | 98¢ | $55 | 0x837dd1… |
| 06-22 17:36:17 | Primary-Extremist 0xf316…c97f | No | BUY | 57 | 98¢ | $56 | 0xe3a1b0… |
| 06-22 17:36:17 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | BUY | 57 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe3a1b0… |
| 06-22 17:33:55 | Safe-Amnesty 0x5c0f…dfa6 | No | BUY | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0x9d5ff9… |
| 06-22 17:33:55 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0x9d5ff9… |
| 06-22 17:32:13 | (anonymous) 0x5a2f…bddb | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x65a2a4… |
| 06-22 17:32:13 | Growling-Jade 0x316b…8d96 | No | BUY | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0x65a2a4… |
| 06-22 17:32:13 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | SELL | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0x65a2a4… |
| 06-22 17:32:13 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x65a2a4… |
| 06-22 17:15:49 | Able-Culvert 0x5605…5962 | No | BUY | 57 | 98¢ | $56 | 0x9c88f7… |
| 06-22 17:15:49 | (anonymous) 0x5a2f…bddb | Yes | BUY | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9c88f7… |
| 06-22 17:15:49 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9c88f7… |
| 06-22 16:54:26 | Hairy-Clef 0x967d…ddd4 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x399e04… |
| 06-22 16:54:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x399e04… |
| 06-22 16:53:01 | Hairy-Clef 0x967d…ddd4 | No | BUY | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0xb1313d… |
| 06-22 16:53:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb1313d… |
| 06-22 16:52:17 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0dd0be… |
| 06-22 16:52:17 | Hairy-Clef 0x967d…ddd4 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x0dd0be… |
| 06-21 19:11:19 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb3f9bd… |
| 06-21 19:11:19 | (anonymous) 0x7262…f9c1 | No | SELL | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0xb3f9bd… |
| 06-21 18:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x5a2f…bddb | Yes | BUY | 16 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0eed42… |
| 06-21 18:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x7262…f9c1 | No | BUY | 16 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x0eed42… |
| 06-05 07:53:39 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xa7e7ff… |
| 06-05 07:53:39 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa7e7ff… |
| 06-03 21:33:31 | (anonymous) 0xdb86…9243 | No | BUY | 39 | 96¢ | $37 | 0xab819a… |
| 06-03 21:33:31 | Imaginative-Rainmaker 0xae39…15dd | No | SELL | 101 | 96¢ | $97 | 0xab819a… |
| 06-03 21:33:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 57 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xab819a… |
| 06-03 21:33:31 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xab819a… |
| 06-01 20:49:50 | Corrupt-Dealing 0xf6a7…62f6 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x78308b… |
| 06-01 20:49:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x78308b… |