Primary-Extremist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

Trades

545

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 07-03 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 86% $-5

Other

18% — —

Politics

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	4	$496	650	650	+0	open	—	04-19 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	9	$214	140	140	+0	open	—	05-31 08:14
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	2	$195	167	163	+3	open	—	04-10 09:04
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	2	$187	97	97	+0	open	—	07-02 20:14
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	2	$172	96	96	+0	open	—	06-30 15:37
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	2	$171	89	89	+0	open	—	07-02 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	11	$169	104	104	+0	open	—	06-01 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	5	$165	108	108	+0	open	—	05-31 08:39
Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?	2	$161	85	85	+0	open	—	07-01 13:58
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$149	78	78	+0	open	—	07-01 13:58
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	2	$147	76	76	+0	open	—	06-18 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	9	$145	100	100	+0	open	—	05-30 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	5	$143	100	100	+0	open	—	05-30 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	3	$142	100	100	+0	open	—	05-30 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	9	$134	90	90	+0	open	—	05-29 15:08
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5	4	$128	222	0	+222	open	—	05-30 13:45
starmer out by july 31 2026	2	$125	65	65	+0	open	—	06-22 04:20
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	2	$120	64	64	+0	open	—	06-24 11:30
spacex vs tesla higher valuation on june 30	2	$120	61	61	+0	open	—	06-18 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	5	$118	80	80	+0	open	—	05-29 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$117	60	60	+0	open	—	05-19 13:12
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	5	$115	178	173	+5	open	—	04-28 04:02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$113	60	60	+0	open	—	05-20 04:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	4	$113	110	110	+0	open	—	05-31 15:34
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	2	$113	60	60	+0	open	—	06-19 05:27
Fed abolished before 2027?	2	$111	57	57	+0	open	—	06-23 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$111	0	112	-112	open	—	05-31 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	3	$110	110	55	+55	open	—	05-30 07:42
EU dissolves before 2027?	2	$110	57	57	+0	open	—	06-15 04:28
btc updown 5m 1781339700	1	$110	111	0	+111	open	—	06-13 08:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 08:33:17	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	49	47¢	$23	0x68b211…
07-03 08:06:01	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x8f09df…
07-02 20:14:32	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	89	95¢	$85	0xa0d81f…
07-02 20:14:19	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	97	96¢	$94	0x158974…
07-01 15:09:28	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	89	96¢	$86	0x444483…
07-01 15:03:32	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	97	96¢	$93	0x8f7c05…
07-01 14:28:25	btc updown 5m 1782915900	Down	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x76ea09…
07-01 14:25:13	btc updown 5m 1782915900	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc314d3…
07-01 14:25:13	btc updown 5m 1782915900	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa08033…
07-01 14:25:13	btc updown 5m 1782915900	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x791d3f…
07-01 14:25:11	btc updown 5m 1782915900	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa2996b…
07-01 14:25:11	btc updown 5m 1782915900	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x9da280…
07-01 14:25:11	btc updown 5m 1782915900	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x84c122…
07-01 14:25:11	btc updown 5m 1782915900	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x753a91…
07-01 14:25:11	btc updown 5m 1782915900	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x25d4cf…
07-01 14:25:11	btc updown 5m 1782915900	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$2	0x22d11b…
07-01 13:58:23	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	78	95¢	$74	0x76cd37…
07-01 13:58:16	Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?	No	SELL	85	95¢	$80	0x57590a…
06-30 16:45:14	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	78	97¢	$75	0x3ee990…
06-30 16:42:52	Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?	No	BUY	85	95¢	$81	0x07e578…
06-30 15:37:26	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	96	88¢	$85	0x123113…
06-29 15:57:07	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	96	91¢	$87	0x885228…
06-24 11:30:37	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	64	94¢	$60	0x7a4733…
06-23 16:15:01	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0xd0da8c…
06-23 16:13:55	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x891c26…
06-23 10:14:59	Fed abolished before 2027?	No	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0x0da734…
06-22 17:36:17	Fed abolished before 2027?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xe3a1b0…
06-22 16:10:41	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xfe1d3a…
06-22 05:37:07	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x26957d…
06-22 04:20:28	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	65	96¢	$62	0x2ff55f…
06-21 15:32:04	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	65	96¢	$63	0xdf269c…
06-19 14:04:17	btc updown 5m 1781877900	Up	BUY	81	47¢	$38	0x773ba0…
06-19 13:38:17	btc updown 5m 1781876100	Down	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x6fbba4…
06-19 13:37:07	btc updown 5m 1781876100	Down	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xd0191e…
06-19 13:18:34	btc updown 5m 1781874900	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xd9b1af…
06-19 13:14:22	btc updown 5m 1781874600	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x11256f…
06-19 12:54:44	btc updown 15m 1781873100	Up	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xbf9b86…
06-19 12:51:41	wta pliskov gibson 2026 06 19	Talia Gibson	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x3a5a04…
06-19 12:49:25	wta pliskov gibson 2026 06 19	Talia Gibson	BUY	90	39¢	$35	0x7d620d…
06-19 12:39:47	btc updown 5m 1781872800	Up	BUY	43	49¢	$21	0xbbba4a…
06-19 12:38:38	btc updown 5m 1781872500	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x13eac1…
06-19 12:29:22	btc updown 5m 1781871900	Up	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x6dfb8f…
06-19 12:16:49	btc updown 5m 1781871300	Down	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x78e9c6…
06-19 11:58:41	btc updown 5m 1781870100	Down	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xc732e8…
06-19 11:14:34	btc updown 5m 1781867400	Up	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0xbdac7f…
06-19 11:12:32	btc updown 5m 1781867400	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x2fa324…
06-19 10:55:37	btc updown 15m 1781865900	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xcc50a7…
06-19 10:53:46	btc updown 5m 1781866200	Up	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x33bf92…
06-19 10:52:35	btc updown 5m 1781866200	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x8abe40…
06-19 10:50:43	btc updown 5m 1781866200	Up	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x179bab…
06-19 05:27:01	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0xd3abfc…
06-18 16:26:14	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x11247b…
06-18 14:54:20	btc updown 15m 1781793900	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xae3067…
06-18 14:48:46	btc updown 5m 1781793900	Up	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x048eba…
06-18 14:47:01	btc updown 5m 1781793900	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x866989…
06-18 14:40:17	btc updown 15m 1781793000	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x6a44a5…
06-18 14:34:04	btc updown 5m 1781793000	Up	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0xf4883c…
06-18 14:25:32	btc updown 15m 1781792100	Up	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x1345fb…
06-18 14:23:04	btc updown 5m 1781792400	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$0	0xd90e75…
06-18 14:23:04	btc updown 5m 1781792400	Up	SELL	32	66¢	$21	0xbcc1e2…
06-18 14:23:04	btc updown 5m 1781792400	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x471f2d…
06-18 14:23:04	btc updown 5m 1781792400	Up	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x2a486a…
06-18 14:23:04	btc updown 5m 1781792400	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x07486b…
06-18 14:18:40	btc updown 5m 1781792100	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x69edbd…
06-18 14:17:55	btc updown 5m 1781792400	Up	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0x1083e2…
06-18 14:10:46	btc updown 5m 1781791800	Up	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xf3ac4e…
06-18 14:10:05	btc updown 5m 1781791800	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xec4bc1…
06-18 14:10:05	btc updown 5m 1781791800	Up	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x8c386f…
06-18 13:51:02	btc updown 15m 1781790300	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xb237d2…
06-18 05:01:10	spacex vs tesla higher valuation on june 30	SpaceX	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0xb7c57a…
06-18 05:01:02	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	76	97¢	$73	0x03d2bc…
06-17 16:25:29	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	76	97¢	$74	0x7bb7f8…
06-17 16:24:43	spacex vs tesla higher valuation on june 30	SpaceX	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x4cd430…
06-17 14:43:50	btc updown 5m 1781707200	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xa8e3e6…
06-17 13:59:55	btc updown 5m 1781704500	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8eeae7…
06-17 13:59:55	btc updown 5m 1781704500	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x23ce29…
06-17 13:59:53	btc updown 5m 1781704500	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x880f4b…
06-17 13:59:53	btc updown 5m 1781704500	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x79ca82…
06-17 13:59:53	btc updown 5m 1781704500	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0257c3…
06-17 13:56:04	btc updown 5m 1781704500	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xa98e25…
06-17 13:40:08	btc updown 15m 1781703000	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa3a826…
06-17 13:12:17	btc updown 5m 1781701800	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x443c24…
06-17 12:43:59	btc updown 5m 1781700000	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xeab345…
06-17 12:40:20	btc updown 15m 1781699400	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x9a861b…
06-17 12:40:17	btc updown 15m 1781699400	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xeb606f…
06-17 12:40:17	btc updown 15m 1781699400	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3e4049…
06-17 12:36:19	btc updown 5m 1781699700	Up	SELL	22	81¢	$17	0xf5db01…
06-17 12:33:32	btc updown 5m 1781699700	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x17ab4a…
06-17 12:32:47	btc updown 5m 1781699400	Up	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0x04d609…
06-17 12:31:22	btc updown 5m 1781699400	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa68259…
06-17 12:23:50	btc updown 5m 1781698800	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x83fe5e…
06-17 12:23:50	btc updown 5m 1781698800	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x561794…
06-17 12:23:50	btc updown 5m 1781698800	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x53f0ee…
06-17 12:23:50	btc updown 5m 1781698800	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x07a0e7…
06-17 12:21:20	btc updown 5m 1781698800	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x3ca736…
06-15 16:20:04	btc updown 5m 1781540400	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xd32fc4…
06-15 16:20:04	btc updown 5m 1781540400	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xcd7a21…
06-15 16:20:04	btc updown 5m 1781540400	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6c3a64…
06-15 16:20:04	btc updown 5m 1781540400	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4d327d…
06-15 16:20:04	btc updown 5m 1781540400	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x139604…