Realized P&L
-$244
Unrealized P&L
-$25
Hit rate
24.7%
Resolved
104
Trades
193
lifetime
Volume
$603
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$52
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 10-26 23:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Other
44% 0% -$119
Politics
37% 35% -$48
Crypto
12% 0% -$34
Tech
4% 0% -$22
Sports
3% 0% -$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes +888 $10 1¢ $8 -$2 07-29 06:16
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes +194 $5 3¢ $6 +$1 07-29 06:19
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes +356 $5 1¢ $5 +$0 08-06 13:35
EU dissolves before 2027? Yes +228 $5 2¢ $5 $0 07-25 18:58
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +455 $5 1¢ $5 $0 10-24 14:16
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +556 $5 1¢ $5 $0 10-19 19:39
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026? Yes +1,362 $5 0¢ $4 -$1 08-06 09:58
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,667 $5 0¢ $3 -$2 10-19 18:11
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? Yes +294 $5 1¢ $3 -$2 08-06 13:48
Human moon landing in 2026? Yes +228 $5 1¢ $3 -$2 07-25 19:58
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1,667 $5 0¢ $2 -$3 08-06 09:59
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? Yes +833 $5 0¢ $1 -$4 08-06 13:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $5 0¢ $1 -$4 07-25 19:39
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $5 0¢ $1 -$4 07-25 19:39
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? Yes +186 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-19 19:41