Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
186
lifetime
Volume
$560
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$82
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-18 23:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
45%
Other
32%
Politics
18% 0% $-1
Sports
2%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? Yes +500 $5 $11 +$6 06-17 07:02
Lamar Jackson traded by next season? Yes +285 $3 $8 +$5 07-13 13:05
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? Yes +500 $5 $7 +$2 06-22 20:54
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +500 $-5 $7 +$12 07-03 08:59
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes +469 $5 $5 +$1 07-15 14:27
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +355 $2 $5 +$3 06-22 22:03
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? Yes +342 $3 $5 +$1 06-15 18:42
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $-0 $5 +$5 06-24 23:28
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? Yes +100 $1 $3 +$2 07-05 09:36
Will UBS fail by end of 2026? Yes +253 $3 $3 +$0 07-04 08:10
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? Yes +300 $3 $3 $-0 07-06 15:33
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -87 $-3 $-3 $-0 06-05 09:12
Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026? Yes +252 $3 $3 +$0 07-07 11:03
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -74 $-3 $-2 +$1 07-18 23:26
Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season? Yes +107 $1 $2 +$1 07-07 06:16
Solana all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes +46 $0 $1 +$1 07-08 07:44
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes +88 $1 $1 +$0 07-01 03:03
Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? Yes +73 $1 $1 +$0 07-12 06:40
Dreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +300 $3 $1 $-2 07-02 14:50
Will the San Francisco Giants clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +100 $1 $1 +$0 07-04 20:41
Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $0 $1 +$1 06-14 06:48
Fed abolished before 2027? Yes +50 $1 $1 +$0 07-10 21:39
Pacifica FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +50 $0 $1 +$0 07-04 20:44
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? Yes -23 $-3 $-1 +$2 06-16 18:28
Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes +24 $0 $1 +$0 07-13 08:03
Will "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250? Yes +64 $0 $0 +$0 06-25 17:58
Ethereal FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +12 $0 $0 +$0 07-06 13:52
Will Thomas Lee appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes +35 $0 $0 +$0 06-25 17:58
Printr FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +100 $1 $0 $-0 07-04 20:39
Will Kanye West have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes +7 $0 $0 +$0 06-20 21:47