Will UBS fail by end of 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,395
Trades
97
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$4,554
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-16
last 07-21 05:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $13 | $221 | $209 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $14 | $47 | $33 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $1 | $753 | $752 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $7 | $56 | $49 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $36 | $36 |
| Median | 9 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Below median | 6 | $6 | $40 | $34 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $7 | $39 | $32 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $6 | $172 | $166 |
| unranked | 6 | $2 | $781 | $779 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | +750 | $733 | $733 | 6 | 07-01 20:14 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +254 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-01 20:04 |
| Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | +253 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 07-04 08:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xaddf…2a28 | Yes | +76 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 23:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +52 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:22 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 07-01 20:04 |
| Constant-Cranberry 0x0387…62d1 | No | +39 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 06-23 19:46 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +38 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +36 | $2 | $3 | 4 | 07-03 20:20 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-21 05:22 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 20:14 |
| Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | +20 | $-0 | $13 | 4 | 06-30 23:34 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-30 22:38 |
| Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-30 22:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +13 | $0 | $1 | 2 | 07-21 05:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xfae2…8978 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-02 11:36 |
| Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $1 | 4 | 07-21 05:22 |
| Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 7 | 07-01 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-30 22:38 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-16 05:21 |
| Black-And-White-Consensus 0x6415…f1ab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 17:00 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +1 | $-0 | $1 | 2 | 06-30 23:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 05:22:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0xbcac5e… |
| 07-21 05:22:24 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbcac5e… |
| 07-21 05:22:24 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbcac5e… |
| 07-21 05:22:24 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbcac5e… |
| 07-04 08:10:56 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9bc2aa… |
| 07-04 08:10:56 | Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | BUY | 83 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9bc2aa… |
| 07-03 20:20:07 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x902b7f… |
| 07-03 20:20:07 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x902b7f… |
| 07-03 20:20:07 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x902b7f… |
| 07-02 11:36:08 | (anonymous) 0xfae2…8978 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xa2fbc1… |
| 07-02 11:36:08 | Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa2fbc1… |
| 07-02 05:58:14 | Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd74dcd… |
| 07-02 05:58:14 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd74dcd… |
| 07-01 22:08:04 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xeb219c… |
| 07-01 22:08:04 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeb219c… |
| 07-01 20:14:41 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x352dfd… |
| 07-01 20:14:41 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0x352dfd… |
| 07-01 20:14:34 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xa08966… |
| 07-01 20:14:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa08966… |
| 07-01 20:05:46 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xdaf303… |
| 07-01 20:05:46 | Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | BUY | 155 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xdaf303… |
| 07-01 20:05:46 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 205 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xdaf303… |
| 07-01 20:04:47 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x1d6b88… |
| 07-01 20:04:47 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1d6b88… |
| 07-01 20:04:47 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | SELL | 205 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x95185f… |
| 07-01 20:04:47 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 205 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x95185f… |
| 07-01 20:04:46 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 70 | 98¢ | $69 | 0x29df50… |
| 07-01 20:04:46 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 70 | 98¢ | $69 | 0x29df50… |
| 07-01 20:04:40 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 500 | 98¢ | $488 | 0x0c9c35… |
| 07-01 20:04:40 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | BUY | 207 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x0c9c35… |
| 07-01 20:04:40 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0c9c35… |
| 07-01 20:04:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0c9c35… |
| 07-01 20:04:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 254 | 2¢ | $6 | 0x0c9c35… |
| 07-01 20:04:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf7d477… |
| 07-01 20:04:25 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xf7d477… |
| 07-01 20:04:25 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 19 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf7d477… |
| 07-01 20:04:25 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf7d477… |
| 07-01 20:03:55 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf15963… |
| 07-01 20:03:55 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xf15963… |
| 07-01 20:03:55 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xf15963… |
| 07-01 17:00:31 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x76fea7… |
| 07-01 17:00:31 | Black-And-White-Consensus 0x6415…f1ab | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x76fea7… |
| 07-01 00:52:05 | Creepy-Phase 0x3403…cf73 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x1ea700… |
| 07-01 00:52:05 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x1ea700… |
| 07-01 00:52:04 | Young-Xylophone 0x4c2b…39ed | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x749c85… |
| 07-01 00:52:04 | Well-Documented-Sill 0xfc9b…0626 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x0582d2… |
| 07-01 00:52:04 | Oddball-Household 0xaaaa…a02f | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x4bd55e… |
| 07-01 00:52:04 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x4bd55e… |
| 07-01 00:52:04 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x0582d2… |
| 07-01 00:52:04 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x749c85… |
| 07-01 00:52:02 | Immense-Sovereignty 0xbdd5…a9ba | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xf8bc17… |
| 07-01 00:52:02 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xf8bc17… |
| 07-01 00:52:01 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xb0863c… |
| 07-01 00:52:01 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xa944fc… |
| 07-01 00:52:01 | Boring-Standoff 0x6802…2199 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xb0863c… |
| 07-01 00:52:01 | Unfinished-Carload 0x7811…0068 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xa944fc… |
| 07-01 00:46:04 | Creepy-Phase 0x3403…cf73 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xfefd43… |
| 07-01 00:46:04 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfefd43… |
| 07-01 00:45:53 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf4f5f2… |
| 07-01 00:45:53 | Boring-Standoff 0x6802…2199 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xf4f5f2… |
| 07-01 00:45:52 | Young-Xylophone 0x4c2b…39ed | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb09a9c… |
| 07-01 00:45:52 | Well-Documented-Sill 0xfc9b…0626 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x38f54b… |
| 07-01 00:45:52 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb09a9c… |
| 07-01 00:45:52 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x38f54b… |
| 07-01 00:45:50 | Oddball-Household 0xaaaa…a02f | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5be86b… |
| 07-01 00:45:50 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5be86b… |
| 07-01 00:45:49 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x201d79… |
| 07-01 00:45:49 | Unfinished-Carload 0x7811…0068 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x201d79… |
| 07-01 00:45:47 | Immense-Sovereignty 0xbdd5…a9ba | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x4f5218… |
| 07-01 00:45:47 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4f5218… |
| 06-30 23:34:11 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | SELL | 57 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x04756d… |
| 06-30 23:34:11 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x04756d… |
| 06-30 23:34:11 | (anonymous) 0xaddf…2a28 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x04756d… |
| 06-30 22:41:02 | That-Fir 0xae11…2d01 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x4ea259… |
| 06-30 22:41:02 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4ea259… |
| 06-30 22:41:02 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4ea259… |
| 06-30 22:40:08 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | SELL | 125 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xe068e5… |
| 06-30 22:40:08 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe068e5… |
| 06-30 22:40:08 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 105 | 97¢ | $102 | 0xe068e5… |
| 06-30 22:38:41 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x6240db… |
| 06-30 22:38:41 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x6240db… |
| 06-30 22:38:32 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 72 | 97¢ | $70 | 0x51a919… |
| 06-30 22:38:32 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | BUY | 242 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x51a919… |
| 06-30 22:38:32 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x51a919… |
| 06-30 22:38:32 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x51a919… |
| 06-30 22:38:32 | That-Fir 0xae11…2d01 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x51a919… |
| 06-30 22:38:32 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 105 | 97¢ | $102 | 0x51a919… |
| 06-30 22:38:32 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x51a919… |
| 06-23 19:46:07 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x5d724d… |
| 06-23 19:46:07 | Constant-Cranberry 0x0387…62d1 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x5d724d… |
| 06-16 22:07:53 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 21 | 97¢ | $21 | 0xd0b4ce… |
| 06-16 22:07:53 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd0b4ce… |
| 06-16 22:07:53 | Constant-Cranberry 0x0387…62d1 | No | BUY | 29 | 96¢ | $28 | 0xd0b4ce… |
| 06-16 05:22:04 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xf240a9… |
| 06-16 05:22:04 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xf240a9… |
| 06-16 05:21:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0a512f… |
| 06-16 05:21:31 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x0a512f… |