That-Fir — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

388

Trades

2,439

lifetime

Volume

$17.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 07-20 22:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

88% 75% $-75

Sports

7% 79% $-0

Tech

3% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	14	$581	500	500	+0	open	—	07-05 01:21
us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	28	$495	570	570	+0	open	—	07-17 03:50
spx up or down on july 8 2026	9	$408	581	581	+0	open	—	07-08 19:45
spy closes above 735 on july 9 2026	7	$389	300	300	+0	open	—	07-09 15:53
wti up or down on july 16 2026	2	$205	154	154	+0	open	—	07-16 14:55
gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	7	$195	204	204	+0	open	—	07-07 19:42
wti closes above 79 on july 9 2026	4	$195	200	200	+0	open	—	07-09 15:52
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	7	$188	150	150	+0	open	—	07-07 18:24
iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	19	$139	200	180	+20	open	—	07-12 16:29
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	7	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	06-25 23:23
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	4	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	07-05 13:56
will ng dip to 2 80 in june 2026	3	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	06-26 16:05
nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	9	$96	118	118	+0	open	—	07-18 15:16
will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	5	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	07-16 00:17
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	3	$87	51	49	+2	open	—	07-04 05:32
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1450 by december 31 2026	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	07-06 00:34
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	8	$82	400	400	+0	open	—	07-16 15:19
will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	30	$66	219	219	+0	open	—	07-18 03:20
will trump be said 10 times during the next episode of the storytime with the second lady podcast 20260625203401067	11	$66	120	60	+60	open	—	07-03 14:13
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	6	$58	150	100	+50	open	—	07-20 21:42
will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	7	$56	120	120	+0	open	—	07-11 16:52
iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	1	$49	50	0	+50	open	—	07-20 16:41
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	5	$48	26	26	+0	open	—	07-12 04:17
will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956902	5	$48	40	40	+0	open	—	07-19 19:58
will pam bondi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357122	8	$46	57	57	-0	open	—	07-20 03:40
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	4	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	06-26 11:30
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	5	$40	35	23	+11	open	—	06-04 03:07
Will UBS fail by end of 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	06-30 22:41
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	5	$38	34	23	+11	open	—	05-15 18:22
cs2 nrg big5 2026 06 05	5	$38	34	23	+11	open	—	06-05 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 03:49:58	over 2m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129598	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xa4060d…
07-21 02:39:57	will jo stevens be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533220	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xf3de15…
07-20 22:54:22	will jo stevens be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533220	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x7e2474…
07-20 21:42:48	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xac01be…
07-20 21:42:43	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x64350e…
07-20 20:47:54	will wes streeting be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533199	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x2735e3…
07-20 20:42:18	will wes streeting be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533199	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x25b77e…
07-20 20:39:27	will wes streeting be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533199	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x64e182…
07-20 16:41:16	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd3990b…
07-20 16:38:18	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xc3ebc1…
07-20 10:21:42	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x237d38…
07-20 08:24:28	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xb66545…
07-20 08:24:24	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0xa824ef…
07-20 03:40:49	will pam bondi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357122	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x1ac9bc…
07-20 03:40:04	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	No	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x4e7450…
07-20 03:31:00	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	No	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x253916…
07-20 01:01:28	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	No	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x5ce8dc…
07-20 01:01:28	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	No	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x3fa52d…
07-20 01:01:24	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc30e30…
07-19 19:58:03	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956902	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xbb8f30…
07-19 19:34:36	will the announcers say ronaldo during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956905	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa63a0c…
07-19 19:33:55	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956902	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x7d0c32…
07-19 19:31:28	will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x200e92…
07-19 18:27:21	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956902	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x4a781a…
07-19 18:10:49	will the announcers say captain during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403322	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x3795f2…
07-19 17:54:39	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956902	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xc50c43…
07-19 17:53:25	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956902	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x69ed2b…
07-19 17:44:33	will the announcers say ronaldo during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956905	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xcbc3d3…
07-19 13:10:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x67c13c…
07-19 11:20:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xa9db6a…
07-19 07:56:52	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xed1cc8…
07-19 07:54:43	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x890db5…
07-18 18:40:31	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xef77a0…
07-18 18:37:31	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x7aded1…
07-18 15:16:58	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xba37dd…
07-18 14:30:10	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x3e69c5…
07-18 14:15:25	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xa16275…
07-18 14:11:07	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x87d7bf…
07-18 14:11:07	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	No	SELL	16	83¢	$13	0x87d7bf…
07-18 13:35:19	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xb6c985…
07-18 11:42:22	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x37c6bf…
07-18 10:42:39	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x9f3dff…
07-18 10:38:15	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x50105e…
07-18 08:40:48	will apple aapl q3 greater china revenue be above 20b 20260717035254128	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xf1f280…
07-18 08:29:45	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xca9a3e…
07-18 03:34:45	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xaf6bda…
07-18 03:20:00	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x503252…
07-17 19:18:09	will pam bondi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357122	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x16732d…
07-17 14:42:42	will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xc5bfc5…
07-17 11:28:10	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x9f71c1…
07-17 11:27:55	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xa13715…
07-17 11:27:51	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x528288…
07-17 11:20:55	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xc546c7…
07-17 11:20:48	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x780854…
07-17 11:20:43	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x903550…
07-17 11:17:55	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	8	6¢	$1	0xcdf7b3…
07-17 11:17:45	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0xb788ee…
07-17 11:17:40	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x09c4d0…
07-17 11:17:33	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xdea640…
07-17 11:17:15	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x8c14fc…
07-17 11:17:10	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x0c8142…
07-17 11:16:45	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x63d3b0…
07-17 11:16:31	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xdc46c8…
07-17 11:16:25	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x6e1c4d…
07-17 11:14:13	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xa978ba…
07-17 11:13:57	will pam bondi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357122	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xff9363…
07-17 11:13:10	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x0a57d4…
07-17 11:13:06	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x7ffe71…
07-17 11:12:40	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x5fb368…
07-17 11:11:01	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0xcd0de4…
07-17 11:10:57	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x8d20c2…
07-17 11:10:07	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x0d213f…
07-17 11:10:03	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x79396e…
07-17 11:09:19	will pam bondi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357122	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xf666c5…
07-17 11:08:54	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x19c742…
07-17 11:08:21	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x069f58…
07-17 11:08:16	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0xe1cf1f…
07-17 11:01:06	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x9f9120…
07-17 10:44:34	will pam bondi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357122	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xc7a735…
07-17 10:44:18	will pam bondi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357122	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x9a42ac…
07-17 10:29:07	will pam bondi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357122	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x822950…
07-17 09:51:18	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xc615d5…
07-17 09:46:06	will pam bondi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357122	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xce5909…
07-17 09:42:18	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x1f77ff…
07-17 08:47:21	will the announcers say messi during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740640	Yes	SELL	18	91¢	$17	0xe0cd27…
07-17 08:47:13	will the announcers say messi during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740640	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0x47974a…
07-17 08:46:55	will the announcers say messi during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740640	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xe951e1…
07-17 07:08:33	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x7145da…
07-17 06:50:27	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x48e9ea…
07-17 03:50:06	us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xfc405b…
07-17 03:49:57	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xadd482…
07-17 03:49:42	will the announcers say messi during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740640	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x1d4840…
07-16 22:37:22	will the announcers say messi during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740640	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x4b3b49…
07-16 15:19:29	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xadbd93…
07-16 14:58:34	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x29965e…
07-16 14:55:17	wti up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	154	67¢	$103	0xa5413b…
07-16 11:49:58	wti up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	154	66¢	$102	0x543730…
07-16 09:25:14	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x162d34…
07-16 01:59:05	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x2fbda9…
07-16 01:52:41	will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the us by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x19ed1d…