Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
47.6%
Resolved
70
Trades
118,180
lifetime
Volume
$150.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$8
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 07-21 00:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
67% 34% $-24
Politics
18% 17% +$17
Sports
8% 0% $-1
Crypto
6% 29% $-11
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 634 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +4 $0 40¢ $2 +$1 07-01 18:27
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $2 $1 $-1 07-17 09:26
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +58 $2 $1 $-1 07-20 02:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -5 $-4 20¢ $-1 +$3 06-19 21:17
Will Rabby launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-0 07-19 13:10
Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -13 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-16 08:37
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes -5 $-2 $-0 +$2 05-30 12:58
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $0 39¢ $0 +$0 07-20 17:07
Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +1 $-1 25¢ $0 +$1 06-26 13:23
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -3 $-1 $-0 +$1 07-13 11:20
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? Yes +20 $0 $0 $-0 07-13 13:55
Will UBS fail by end of 2026? Yes +19 $0 $0 $-0 07-03 20:20
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? Yes -3 $0 $-0 $-0 07-10 00:11
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -5 $0 $-0 $-1 06-15 13:24
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? Yes +0 $-0 10¢ $0 +$0 06-05 11:40
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +8 $2 $0 $-2 05-16 22:55
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +0 $-1 12¢ $0 +$1 06-05 13:17