Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
47.6%
Resolved
70
Trades
115,591
lifetime
Volume
$145.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$7
21 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 06-30 18:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
67% 34% $-24
Politics
19% 17% +$17
Sports
8% 0% $-1
Crypto
6% 29% $-11
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2274 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +19 $3 12¢ $2 $-1 06-29 21:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -5 $-4 30¢ $-2 +$2 06-19 21:17
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? No -5 $0 24¢ $-1 $-2 06-15 13:24
Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -13 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-16 08:37
Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +1 $-1 24¢ $0 +$1 06-26 13:23
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes -5 $-2 $-0 +$2 05-30 12:58
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -3 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-17 08:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +45 $-27 $0 +$27 06-16 12:09
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? Yes -3 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-22 04:29
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes -23 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-15 09:41
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? Yes +0 $-0 26¢ $0 +$0 06-05 11:40
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? Yes +30 $1 $0 $-1 06-03 05:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes +28 $3 $0 $-3 06-15 01:33
Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026? Yes -6 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-18 11:40
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes +8 $4 $0 $-4 06-11 11:18
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-15 21:21
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes -3 $-3 $-0 +$3 06-22 22:24
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +8 $2 $0 $-2 05-16 22:55
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +0 $-1 23¢ $0 +$1 06-05 13:17
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Yes -0 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-09 11:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +0 $-4 $0 +$4 06-29 08:28