Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
47.6%
Resolved
70
Trades
114,376
lifetime
Volume
$144.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$7
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 06-09 23:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
67% 34% $-24
Politics
18% 17% +$17
Sports
8% 0% $-1
Crypto
6% 29% $-11
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2657 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes -40 $-31 12¢ $-5 +$26 06-10 02:34
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5? Yes +89 $1 $0 $-0 06-09 16:47
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? Yes +30 $1 $0 $-1 06-03 05:03
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? Yes +4 $1 $0 $-0 06-08 03:44
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes -5 $-2 $-0 +$2 05-30 12:58
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes +6 $4 $0 $-4 06-05 17:03
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Yes -0 $-2 21¢ $-0 +$2 06-09 11:11
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? Yes +0 $-0 30¢ $0 +$0 06-05 11:40
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026? No +2 $0 $0 +$0 06-04 05:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes +1 $0 $0 $-0 06-01 12:42
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? Yes -3 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-02 19:46
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +8 $2 $0 $-2 05-16 22:55
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +0 $-1 16¢ $0 +$1 06-05 13:17