Rigid-Stockings — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.6%

Resolved

Trades

118,775

lifetime

Volume

$151.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 08-06 03:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

67% 34% $-24

Politics

19% 17% +$17

Sports

8% 0% $-1

Crypto

6% 29% $-11

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 392 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	794	$1.4K	8,075	8,075	+0	open	—	03-30 16:46
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	481	$1.0K	3,701	3,701	+0	open	—	04-11 03:06
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	609	$1.0K	2,736	2,736	+0	open	—	04-01 03:25
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	649	$991	7,450	7,578	-128	open	—	05-19 02:29
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	579	$963	5,766	5,766	+0	open	—	03-14 01:38
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	430	$956	4,734	4,734	+0	open	—	04-16 01:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	440	$914	5,040	5,040	+0	open	—	02-28 18:53
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	407	$880	3,551	3,551	+0	open	—	03-20 15:59
will iran strike israel on march 10	432	$872	3,294	3,314	-20	open	—	03-13 21:20
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	423	$835	4,393	4,393	+0	open	—	03-13 12:48
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 90 114	386	$813	3,642	3,642	+0	open	—	03-11 14:44
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	452	$804	5,541	5,541	+0	open	—	03-10 16:25
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	362	$792	4,281	4,281	+0	open	—	03-08 21:08
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 140 164	414	$791	4,409	4,409	+0	open	—	03-11 15:02
will trump visit china by march 31	312	$609	2,527	2,527	+0	open	—	03-20 05:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	313	$600	2,729	2,693	+37	open	—	06-16 12:09
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	245	$559	2,170	2,160	+11	open	—	04-13 22:44
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 380 399	315	$547	4,989	4,989	+0	open	—	03-10 14:39
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	280	$508	1,703	1,701	+2	open	—	03-30 08:46
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	226	$485	2,282	2,282	+0	open	—	04-21 01:27
will pumpfun be accused of insider trading	259	$483	2,917	2,917	+0	open	—	02-26 13:40
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	339	$481	4,350	4,350	+0	open	—	04-15 15:02
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	285	$465	3,055	2,973	+83	open	—	03-20 15:59
will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	469	$460	6,077	6,077	+0	open	—	04-12 19:02
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	258	$457	3,163	3,088	+75	open	—	03-30 07:32
will world liberty financial be accused of insider trading	472	$452	7,231	7,085	+146	open	—	02-26 13:30
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	383	$444	4,661	4,645	+16	open	—	03-16 00:11
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	222	$439	2,088	2,088	-0	open	—	06-07 23:02
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	246	$433	1,387	1,387	+0	open	—	04-19 22:11
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	222	$430	2,780	2,780	+0	open	—	04-09 01:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 03:46:57	Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xbcc019…
08-06 00:48:44	will john fetterman announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241626	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x802e14…
08-06 00:48:44	will john fetterman announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241626	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x7a0dec…
08-06 00:27:33	will john fetterman announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241626	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x0a4f65…
08-05 22:12:47	will john fetterman announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241626	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xe5cb05…
08-05 22:09:56	will john fetterman announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241626	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x220ca2…
08-05 19:55:30	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x770266…
08-05 19:54:09	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xab9164…
08-05 19:11:44	will john fetterman announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241626	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x5a13b8…
08-05 18:43:08	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0xc99f21…
08-05 18:30:09	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	SELL	18	3¢	$0	0x83aa25…
08-05 18:07:57	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xda5435…
08-05 18:06:50	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x671f4f…
08-05 18:03:53	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xcea077…
08-05 18:03:47	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x2fe34f…
08-05 18:02:36	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1976f7…
08-05 17:41:32	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0x655fc7…
08-05 16:29:27	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0xb1e0a9…
08-05 16:25:38	will john fetterman announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241626	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x4f38e8…
08-05 14:27:47	will john fetterman announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241626	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xd6e6cf…
08-05 14:27:38	will john fetterman announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241626	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xfb8dca…
08-05 13:12:36	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0x77ccc0…
08-05 13:01:51	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0xf6e37d…
08-05 12:59:21	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0xd525e1…
08-05 12:53:23	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xb9b5e5…
08-05 12:31:18	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x5541f2…
08-05 12:17:05	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	SELL	41	3¢	$1	0x042425…
08-05 11:19:57	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	BUY	82	2¢	$2	0x0d776c…
08-04 20:11:36	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x18edbd…
08-04 20:10:48	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xefb192…
08-04 18:50:05	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0x7375e3…
08-04 18:49:36	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x4528e3…
08-04 18:41:14	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xac516c…
08-04 18:21:30	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xf02b48…
08-04 18:14:14	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xdc4d00…
08-04 18:10:05	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x9e9e4d…
08-04 17:48:53	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xf709f8…
08-04 17:43:51	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x2add43…
08-04 17:29:38	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x37c048…
08-04 15:29:54	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x4406dd…
08-04 15:28:15	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xf47753…
08-04 15:28:15	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x154924…
08-04 15:14:41	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x2e49f7…
08-04 15:14:32	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x58cdc7…
08-04 15:11:38	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x392f38…
08-04 15:04:59	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x8c4118…
08-04 14:30:50	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xb97338…
08-04 14:14:32	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x5ff0a4…
08-04 14:09:02	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x70ae35…
08-04 13:35:15	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xf7e0a6…
08-04 13:32:24	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x942837…
08-04 13:12:15	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x1864b0…
08-04 13:02:27	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xe95b38…
08-04 12:47:09	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x44ad8c…
08-04 12:35:17	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0x96cbf7…
08-04 12:35:00	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	BUY	16	22¢	$3	0x30755a…
08-04 12:31:38	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xc0ebb4…
08-04 12:31:06	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x6c42b0…
08-04 11:57:14	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x090159…
08-04 10:49:41	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xd15b0c…
08-04 10:13:15	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x328afd…
08-04 07:08:09	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x921415…
08-04 05:53:36	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	39	2¢	$1	0xf032f4…
08-04 04:53:02	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x6ce9bf…
08-04 02:57:12	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0xfd3b47…
08-04 02:09:06	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0xdf68f1…
08-04 02:04:05	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0x6472d2…
08-04 01:38:56	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	SELL	31	9¢	$3	0x83d5f2…
08-04 00:43:41	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xc93b99…
08-04 00:41:41	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0x958e64…
08-04 00:41:29	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0xb7ee05…
08-04 00:14:48	will the ornn h200 index hit 3pt75 low by december 31 2026 20260709171105510	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x8593b6…
08-03 16:38:06	next token sale on coinbase by november 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x04745e…
08-03 15:36:00	Fuse FDV above $8B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xc213ff…
08-03 14:54:15	Fuse FDV above $8B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xc7eca8…
08-03 14:02:09	Fuse FDV above $8B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x29d5b7…
08-03 10:36:18	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0xcf03de…
08-03 09:27:33	israeli forces enter tyre by august 31	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x0b5f67…
08-03 09:22:24	israeli forces enter tyre by august 31	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x50d886…
08-03 08:51:57	israeli forces enter tyre by august 31	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xd05ecb…
08-03 06:47:32	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xa5835c…
08-03 06:28:38	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0xb84d8c…
08-03 06:16:23	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x3de714…
08-02 22:38:27	will the ornn h200 index hit 3pt75 low by december 31 2026 20260709171105510	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x682980…
08-02 12:19:45	Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x8303d2…
08-02 12:12:50	Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xa25dad…
08-02 08:53:45	Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x3dfa71…
08-02 05:07:38	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x3ecb71…
08-02 05:07:30	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xa0c6a3…
08-02 04:24:11	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xf33df7…
08-02 02:22:14	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xc623cc…
08-02 02:22:14	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x96cbe3…
08-02 02:21:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xba7a2a…
08-02 01:09:14	Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xce1fa3…
08-02 01:06:17	Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x730ce0…
08-02 00:56:59	Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xdc219c…
08-02 00:56:47	Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x5dff27…
08-01 21:00:00	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0xe6f0ca…
08-01 20:59:54	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0x59cab4…
08-01 20:50:33	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	90	3¢	$2	0x749da7…