Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?
open
Total volume
$2,051
Trades
56
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$591
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-03
last 07-19 19:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $21 | — | +$21 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $5 | $952 | $947 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $4 | $7 | $2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Median | 4 | $4 | $901 | $896 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $6 | $4 | +$1 |
| unranked | 10 | $10 | $53 | $44 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x7859…2bfa | No | +1,000 | $900 | $900 | 1 | 07-19 19:48 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | +40 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-29 02:21 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +40 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-25 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | +34 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 07-08 20:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 6 | 07-17 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-30 01:54 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-19 19:48 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-19 19:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-19 19:48 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-03 01:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-19 19:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-19 19:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +4 | $1 | $4 | 5 | 07-13 18:56 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $3 | 2 | 06-23 05:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xea93…c8b5 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-12 13:57 |
| Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | +2 | $-4 | $12 | 3 | 06-30 01:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 19:48:24 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xcbb6c5… |
| 07-19 19:48:24 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xcbb6c5… |
| 07-19 19:48:24 | (anonymous) 0x7859…2bfa | No | BUY | 1,000 | 90¢ | $900 | 0xcbb6c5… |
| 07-19 19:48:24 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xcbb6c5… |
| 07-19 19:48:24 | (anonymous) 0x4cc3…7552 | No | SELL | 1,089 | 90¢ | $982 | 0xcbb6c5… |
| 07-19 19:48:24 | Old-Fashioned-Loss 0x016a…d347 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xcbb6c5… |
| 07-19 19:48:24 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xcbb6c5… |
| 07-19 19:48:24 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xcbb6c5… |
| 07-19 19:48:24 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xcbb6c5… |
| 07-17 09:25:09 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x181316… |
| 07-17 09:25:09 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x181316… |
| 07-17 09:05:45 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x2b3cba… |
| 07-17 09:05:45 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x2b3cba… |
| 07-16 18:50:55 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x1f8488… |
| 07-16 18:50:55 | Questionable-Election 0x01d5…1300 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x1f8488… |
| 07-15 15:21:44 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xd3965c… |
| 07-15 15:21:44 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xd3965c… |
| 07-14 00:11:26 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x579837… |
| 07-14 00:11:26 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x579837… |
| 07-13 18:56:52 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5883bb… |
| 07-13 18:56:52 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5883bb… |
| 07-13 02:30:34 | Moist-Reveal 0xd151…85ea | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x364da8… |
| 07-13 02:30:34 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x364da8… |
| 07-12 13:57:34 | (anonymous) 0x4cc3…7552 | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x0cca83… |
| 07-12 13:57:34 | (anonymous) 0xea93…c8b5 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x0cca83… |
| 07-12 09:09:28 | Moist-Reveal 0xd151…85ea | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x547726… |
| 07-12 09:09:28 | (anonymous) 0x4cc3…7552 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x547726… |
| 07-08 20:02:04 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xc8d9a0… |
| 07-08 20:02:04 | (anonymous) 0x6d72…a399 | No | BUY | 34 | 85¢ | $29 | 0xc8d9a0… |
| 07-08 20:02:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xc8d9a0… |
| 06-30 01:54:41 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 33 | 25¢ | $8 | 0xbb9ce6… |
| 06-30 01:54:41 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xbb9ce6… |
| 06-30 01:54:41 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xbb9ce6… |
| 06-29 09:11:26 | Great-Barbeque 0x07e0…1db9 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xb42282… |
| 06-29 09:11:26 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xb42282… |
| 06-29 02:21:04 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xea102d… |
| 06-29 02:21:04 | Great-Barbeque 0x07e0…1db9 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xea102d… |
| 06-29 02:20:55 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x0a256b… |
| 06-29 02:20:55 | Great-Barbeque 0x07e0…1db9 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x0a256b… |
| 06-26 06:38:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x7cc37c… |
| 06-26 06:38:49 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x7cc37c… |
| 06-25 18:22:56 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | SELL | 40 | 88¢ | $35 | 0x93f283… |
| 06-25 18:22:56 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x93f283… |
| 06-25 18:22:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x93f283… |
| 06-25 14:51:26 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xc2408c… |
| 06-25 14:51:26 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xc2408c… |
| 06-23 09:40:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd2f395… |
| 06-23 09:40:11 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd2f395… |
| 06-23 09:40:11 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xd2f395… |
| 06-23 05:47:08 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x6dce6c… |
| 06-23 05:47:08 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x6dce6c… |
| 06-14 11:30:36 | Robust-Fox 0xdc17…c4ab | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x46fa62… |
| 06-14 11:30:36 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x46fa62… |
| 06-03 01:26:30 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xb45464… |
| 06-03 01:26:30 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb45464… |
| 06-03 01:26:30 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb45464… |