Realized P&L
+$366
Unrealized P&L
-$236
Hit rate
78.3%
Resolved
13
Trades
2,031
lifetime
Volume
$43.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$810
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 07-22 02:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Crypto
48% 50% $-294
Other
29% 20% $-15
Politics
20% 83% +$675
Tech
2%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026? Yes +229 $130 68¢ $155 +$25 06-08 12:49
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +723 $117 14¢ $98 $-19 06-24 14:58
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +442 $218 18¢ $82 $-137 06-17 14:39
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes +194 $126 40¢ $78 $-48 07-01 14:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +200 $56 22¢ $43 $-13 06-15 19:10
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +250 $46 15¢ $36 $-10 07-17 20:36
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +100 $27 34¢ $34 +$7 06-13 06:55
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? Yes +50 $33 60¢ $30 $-3 06-16 16:23
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +220 $59 12¢ $28 $-31 06-19 15:49
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +404 $44 $26 $-18 06-26 12:01
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes -250 $-21 11¢ $-26 $-5 07-06 12:04
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $8 22¢ $22 +$14 06-26 08:47
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $-1 53¢ $17 +$18 06-15 14:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +289 $37 $16 $-22 06-27 07:09
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes -18 $-36 85¢ $-15 +$20 07-02 13:13
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? Yes +100 $10 15¢ $15 +$5 06-10 15:26
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +100 $18 12¢ $12 $-6 06-10 13:04
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? Yes +100 $12 11¢ $11 $-1 06-21 00:17
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? Yes +40 $8 26¢ $10 +$2 07-01 07:21
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? Yes +42 $8 24¢ $10 +$2 06-22 16:42
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +100 $6 $9 +$3 06-25 22:13
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +50 $10 16¢ $8 $-3 06-09 12:04
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +104 $7 $6 $-2 06-08 14:12
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027? Yes -40 $-5 12¢ $-5 +$0 06-29 09:11
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? Yes +93 $12 $5 $-7 06-09 16:34
Will Ansem appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes +30 $4 15¢ $5 +$0 06-03 16:37
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +104 $10 $4 $-6 06-02 16:40
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? Yes +11 $3 23¢ $3 +$0 06-25 21:29
Ben Pasternak jailed? Yes +135 $4 $2 $-3 06-24 18:54
Will Jesse Pollak appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes +42 $0 $2 +$1 06-23 03:03