Realized P&L
+$366
Unrealized P&L
-$96
Hit rate
78.3%
Resolved
13
Trades
1,953
lifetime
Volume
$42.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$1.03K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 07-01 11:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Crypto
47% 50% $-294
Other
30% 20% $-15
Politics
21% 83% +$675
Tech
2%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026? Yes +229 $130 72¢ $164 +$34 06-08 12:49
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes +194 $126 65¢ $125 $-0 07-01 14:44
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +723 $117 17¢ $123 +$6 06-24 14:58
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +442 $218 24¢ $104 $-115 06-17 14:39
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +220 $59 26¢ $56 $-3 06-19 15:49
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +200 $56 24¢ $49 $-7 06-15 19:10
Over $4B crypto hack value in 2026? No +71 $36 58¢ $42 +$6 07-01 09:58
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +300 $45 14¢ $40 $-4 06-23 12:16
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +404 $44 10¢ $38 $-6 06-26 12:01
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes +39 $8 90¢ $35 +$27 07-01 14:45
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? Yes +50 $33 63¢ $31 $-1 06-16 16:23
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $-1 72¢ $23 +$24 06-15 14:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +70 $35 30¢ $21 $-14 06-25 22:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +289 $37 $19 $-19 06-27 07:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +100 $18 16¢ $16 $-2 06-10 13:04
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +100 $27 16¢ $16 $-11 06-13 06:55
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes -103 $-4 14¢ $-14 $-10 06-22 19:12
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? Yes +100 $12 12¢ $12 +$0 06-21 00:17
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $8 12¢ $12 +$4 06-26 08:47
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? Yes +100 $10 11¢ $11 +$1 06-10 15:26
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +50 $8 19¢ $9 +$1 06-30 16:43
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027? Yes -40 $-5 23¢ $-9 $-4 06-29 09:11
Will Ansem appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes +30 $4 30¢ $9 +$5 06-03 16:37
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? Yes +93 $12 $8 $-4 06-09 16:34
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? Yes +42 $8 19¢ $8 $-0 06-22 16:42
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +100 $6 $8 +$2 06-25 22:13
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +104 $10 $7 $-3 06-02 16:40
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? Yes +40 $8 18¢ $7 $-1 07-01 07:21
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +50 $10 11¢ $5 $-5 06-09 12:04
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027? Yes +21 $2 25¢ $5 +$3 06-07 10:15