Realized P&L
-$67
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
46.4%
Resolved
27
Trades
843
lifetime
Volume
$3.65K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$69
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 06-29 18:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
42% 0% $-27
Politics
40% 50% +$6
Sports
9% 31% $-46
Crypto
7%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No -17 $-16 95¢ $-17 $-1 06-09 21:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$1 06-17 13:47
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +9 $5 57¢ $5 +$0 06-29 18:45
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 06-18 07:32
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -10 $-5 48¢ $-5 +$1 06-09 21:08
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -11 $-4 36¢ $-4 +$0 06-11 08:28
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -8 $-4 42¢ $-3 +$1 06-11 08:28
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? Yes -32 $-2 $-3 $-1 06-11 09:19
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 23¢ $-2 $-1 06-14 11:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -17 $-3 12¢ $-2 +$1 06-11 08:58
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? Yes -10 $-2 18¢ $-2 $-0 06-09 21:09
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -33 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-10 02:46
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? Yes -25 $-2 $-2 $-0 06-10 02:46
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +8 $2 20¢ $2 $-0 06-11 11:35
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes -10 $-2 15¢ $-1 +$0 06-11 08:28
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 14¢ $-1 $-1 06-11 09:17
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes -80 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-11 08:28
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-11 08:58
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-11 09:17
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-11 08:57
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-11 08:28
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-11 08:59
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-11 09:05
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-11 08:59
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-10 02:45
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-11 08:59
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? Yes -4 $-0 10¢ $-0 $-0 06-29 16:00
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-11 09:02
Brex IPO before 2027? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-11 08:57
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-11 09:02