Realized P&L
-$67
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
46.4%
Resolved
27
Trades
773
lifetime
Volume
$3.42K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$133
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 06-14 23:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
42% 0% $-27
Politics
41% 50% +$6
Sports
9% 31% $-46
Crypto
7%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No -17 $-16 90¢ $-16 +$0 06-09 21:08
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +37 $10 33¢ $12 +$2 06-12 03:20
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026? No -14 $-8 66¢ $-9 $-1 06-11 17:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes +10 $6 90¢ $9 +$3 06-12 05:56
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30? No +8 $5 88¢ $7 +$3 05-30 11:05
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-5 70¢ $-7 $-2 06-12 03:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 06-12 08:26
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No -10 $-5 50¢ $-5 $-0 06-11 14:00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -11 $-4 44¢ $-5 $-1 06-11 08:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +17 $5 28¢ $5 $-0 06-14 23:47
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -8 $-4 53¢ $-4 +$0 06-11 08:28
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day? No -16 $-4 25¢ $-4 +$0 06-11 17:30
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? No -5 $-2 78¢ $-4 $-2 06-01 11:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +8 $2 44¢ $4 +$2 06-12 00:00
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -10 $-5 34¢ $-3 +$2 06-09 21:08
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes +18 $2 16¢ $3 +$1 06-11 11:35
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? Yes -32 $-2 10¢ $-3 $-1 06-11 09:19
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +13 $2 20¢ $3 +$1 06-11 11:37
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -33 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-10 02:46
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes -80 $-2 $-2 $-0 06-11 08:28
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 23¢ $-2 $-1 06-14 11:30
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026? Yes +14 $2 16¢ $2 +$1 06-11 11:40
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes -25 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-14 08:30
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +21 $1 10¢ $2 +$1 06-14 10:00
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B? Yes -10 $-2 20¢ $-2 $-0 06-09 21:09
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? Yes -102 $-1 $-2 $-0 06-11 02:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -17 $-3 12¢ $-2 +$1 06-11 08:58
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +8 $2 23¢ $2 $-0 06-11 11:35
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? Yes -25 $-2 $-2 $-0 06-10 02:46
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes -10 $-2 19¢ $-2 $-0 06-11 08:28