Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
open
Total volume
$20,102
$1,632 in 24h
Trades
892
Unique wallets
205
Liquidity
$38,676
Latest YES mid
50¢
Latest NO mid
50¢
End date
2026-07-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-15 08:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+45.5¢
(top1%: 85% YES on $2.4K
vs crowd: 39% YES on $9.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $2.4K | $38 | +$2.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $980 | $1.5K | $515 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $190 | $128 | +$62 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 175 | $223 | $4.2K | $4.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $2.1K | $377 | +$1.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $11 | $246 | $235 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $250 | — | +$250 |
| Median | 17 | $1.0K | $92 | +$929 |
| Below median | 34 | $237 | $253 | $16 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $36 | — | +$36 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $38 | $38 |
| unranked | 134 | $160 | $4.9K | $4.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x2f9a…58f0 | No | +4,827 | $2,414 | $2,414 | 2 | 06-06 12:04 |
| Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | +1,243 | $615 | $1,319 | 109 | 06-14 22:33 |
| Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | +500 | $250 | $250 | 22 | 06-06 12:04 |
| Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | +500 | $245 | $245 | 14 | 06-08 08:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xe63e…3204 | No | +364 | $182 | $182 | 4 | 06-01 12:26 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | +346 | $165 | $589 | 21 | 06-08 18:59 |
| Specific-Choker 0xa17e…cfcd | No | +249 | $122 | $122 | 1 | 05-29 10:48 |
| Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | +246 | $126 | $220 | 20 | 06-15 03:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | +142 | $47 | $1,353 | 35 | 06-15 08:22 |
| Accurate-Investigation 0xcb4f…92c0 | No | +100 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-02 06:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbeb…53e6 | No | +93 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-04 02:50 |
| Electric-Casement 0x1f25…c471 | No | +68 | $34 | $49 | 17 | 06-02 17:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +60 | $29 | $73 | 5 | 06-06 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb353…fcdc | No | +55 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-01 11:57 |
| Concrete-Independence 0xf3c4…9bd5 | No | +52 | $26 | $26 | 7 | 06-12 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd681…4c5a | No | +51 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-04 16:20 |
| Neat-Vineyard 0x111b…d904 | No | +46 | $23 | $23 | 23 | 06-03 18:51 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +43 | $22 | $49 | 2 | 06-13 20:53 |
| Understated-Dessert 0xa090…a400 | No | +41 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-29 03:43 |
| Rigid-Forestry 0xed06…529b | No | +40 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-14 22:32 |
| High-Level-Silica 0xfd94…fe9f | No | +40 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-31 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x7060…f0e2 | No | +30 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-10 17:51 |
| Excellent-Steamroller 0x7a4a…f6d1 | No | +30 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-28 16:31 |
| Weak-Airplane 0xc921…9220 | Yes | +29 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 05-29 14:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | +26 | $13 | $25 | 32 | 06-15 03:55 |
| That-Trove-Tune 0x3437…2840 | Yes | +24 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 06-06 12:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xe244…0bdc | No | +24 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-04 15:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x0949…5d15 | No | +23 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-14 21:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6231…bd9d | No | +22 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-04 17:10 |
| Sophisticated-Deputy 0xd29a…618a | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-29 05:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x4875…2eb3 | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 04:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x52a9…da2e | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-10 12:16 |
| Decent-Muskrat 0x4024…959f | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-05 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x2775…2d08 | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 07:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xd955…ba8e | No | +18 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-14 10:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a80…173f | No | +15 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 06-12 06:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a80…173f | Yes | +13 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 06-12 06:02 |
| Prestigious-Jot-Humor 0x0573…877b | Yes | +12 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-06 12:26 |
| Healthy-Cyclooxygenase-Generator 0x0b24…f3bd | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-29 07:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x36c9…3039 | Yes | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 15:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 08:22:24 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x7b9dbc… |
| 06-15 08:22:24 | (anonymous) 0x9c0e…e6bb | Yes | SELL | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x7b9dbc… |
| 06-15 06:33:33 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x1e23eb… |
| 06-15 06:33:33 | (anonymous) 0x9c0e…e6bb | Yes | SELL | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x1e23eb… |
| 06-15 05:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xc368ec… |
| 06-15 05:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x8384…fabb | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xc368ec… |
| 06-15 03:55:34 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 3 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x227896… |
| 06-15 03:55:34 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 3 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x227896… |
| 06-15 03:55:24 | (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xe43fef… |
| 06-15 03:55:24 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xe43fef… |
| 06-14 22:33:03 | (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x6a436f… |
| 06-14 22:33:03 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x6a436f… |
| 06-14 22:32:49 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xea63eb… |
| 06-14 22:32:49 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xea63eb… |
| 06-14 22:32:28 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xe80285… |
| 06-14 22:32:28 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xe80285… |
| 06-14 22:32:18 | Rigid-Forestry 0xed06…529b | No | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0x425e2a… |
| 06-14 22:32:18 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0x425e2a… |
| 06-14 21:45:31 | (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x0de344… |
| 06-14 21:45:31 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x0de344… |
| 06-14 21:29:15 | (anonymous) 0x8d2b…50e0 | No | SELL | 0 | 49¢ | $0 | 0xb74d12… |
| 06-14 21:29:15 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 51¢ | $0 | 0xb74d12… |
| 06-14 21:21:28 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xc96779… |
| 06-14 21:21:28 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xc96779… |
| 06-14 21:21:27 | (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x620c22… |
| 06-14 21:21:27 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x620c22… |
| 06-14 21:21:06 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xb105c4… |
| 06-14 21:21:06 | (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xb105c4… |
| 06-14 21:20:27 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xfa1f34… |
| 06-14 21:20:27 | (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xfa1f34… |
| 06-14 21:19:01 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 51¢ | $0 | 0xa444c3… |
| 06-14 21:19:01 | (anonymous) 0x8d2b…50e0 | No | SELL | 0 | 49¢ | $0 | 0xa444c3… |
| 06-14 21:14:19 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 50¢ | $12 | 0x94f51f… |
| 06-14 21:14:19 | (anonymous) 0x0949…5d15 | No | BUY | 23 | 50¢ | $12 | 0x94f51f… |
| 06-14 21:09:07 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x25e755… |
| 06-14 21:09:07 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x25e755… |
| 06-14 21:08:51 | (anonymous) 0x8d2b…50e0 | No | SELL | 0 | 49¢ | $0 | 0xa6bada… |
| 06-14 21:08:51 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 51¢ | $0 | 0xa6bada… |
| 06-14 20:59:10 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xb4d79b… |
| 06-14 20:59:10 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xb4d79b… |
| 06-14 20:58:39 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 51¢ | $0 | 0x280c0a… |
| 06-14 20:58:39 | (anonymous) 0x8d2b…50e0 | No | SELL | 0 | 49¢ | $0 | 0x280c0a… |
| 06-14 20:48:48 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x2b7102… |
| 06-14 20:48:48 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x2b7102… |
| 06-14 20:48:28 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 51¢ | $0 | 0x30fe9e… |
| 06-14 20:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x8d2b…50e0 | No | SELL | 0 | 49¢ | $0 | 0x30fe9e… |
| 06-14 20:41:15 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xe9946d… |
| 06-14 20:41:15 | (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xe9946d… |
| 06-14 20:41:07 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x8d411b… |
| 06-14 20:41:07 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x8d411b… |
| 06-14 20:40:31 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x8f3306… |
| 06-14 20:40:31 | Golden-Dish 0xf122…39a1 | No | SELL | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x8f3306… |
| 06-14 20:38:48 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x0f353c… |
| 06-14 20:38:48 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x0f353c… |
| 06-14 20:38:15 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 51¢ | $0 | 0x43d290… |
| 06-14 20:38:15 | (anonymous) 0x8d2b…50e0 | No | SELL | 0 | 49¢ | $0 | 0x43d290… |
| 06-14 20:34:16 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 51¢ | $0 | 0xae0cc5… |
| 06-14 20:34:16 | (anonymous) 0x8d2b…50e0 | No | SELL | 1 | 49¢ | $0 | 0xae0cc5… |
| 06-14 20:24:09 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x324c9a… |
| 06-14 20:24:09 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x324c9a… |
| 06-14 20:24:04 | (anonymous) 0x8d2b…50e0 | No | SELL | 1 | 49¢ | $0 | 0xe3921a… |
| 06-14 20:24:04 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 51¢ | $0 | 0xe3921a… |
| 06-14 20:14:21 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x6fd1dd… |
| 06-14 20:14:21 | (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x6fd1dd… |
| 06-14 20:14:07 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x2090b0… |
| 06-14 20:14:07 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x2090b0… |
| 06-14 20:13:54 | (anonymous) 0x8d2b…50e0 | No | SELL | 1 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xe1f54e… |
| 06-14 20:13:54 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xe1f54e… |
| 06-14 20:04:00 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x8a2a45… |
| 06-14 20:04:00 | (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x8a2a45… |
| 06-14 20:03:43 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x975537… |
| 06-14 20:03:43 | (anonymous) 0x8d2b…50e0 | No | SELL | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x975537… |
| 06-14 19:29:18 | (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x4dd27e… |
| 06-14 19:29:18 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x4dd27e… |
| 06-14 19:29:16 | (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xdd6e4a… |
| 06-14 19:29:16 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xdd6e4a… |
| 06-14 19:29:13 | (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x960ec2… |
| 06-14 19:29:13 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x960ec2… |
| 06-14 19:29:07 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x1029c5… |
| 06-14 19:29:07 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xf4f0cf… |
| 06-14 19:29:07 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xf5ff57… |
| 06-14 19:29:07 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xf5ff57… |
| 06-14 19:29:07 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xf4f0cf… |
| 06-14 19:29:07 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x1029c5… |
| 06-14 19:28:57 | (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xd973f7… |
| 06-14 19:28:57 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xd973f7… |
| 06-14 19:28:55 | (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xc18bf3… |
| 06-14 19:28:55 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xc18bf3… |
| 06-14 19:28:54 | (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xb574fc… |
| 06-14 19:28:54 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xb574fc… |
| 06-14 19:28:48 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x3484ee… |
| 06-14 19:28:48 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x6ed182… |
| 06-14 19:28:48 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x6ed182… |
| 06-14 19:28:48 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x3484ee… |
| 06-14 19:28:46 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x2436c3… |
| 06-14 19:28:46 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x2436c3… |
| 06-14 19:28:18 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xf4409f… |
| 06-14 19:28:18 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xbc6052… |
| 06-14 19:28:18 | (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xf4409f… |
| 06-14 19:28:18 | (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xbc6052… |