Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
open
Total volume
$90,626
$4,780 in 24h
Trades
7,721
Unique wallets
2,558
Liquidity
$42,243
Latest YES mid
50¢
Latest NO mid
50¢
End date
2026-07-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-01 06:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.3¢
(top1%: 42% YES on $13.6K
vs crowd: 40% YES on $55.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $14.0K | $10.3K | +$3.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $4.7K | $3.6K | +$1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 51 | $392 | $2.2K | $1.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2,473 | $2.7K | $17.2K | $14.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $5.7K | $7.9K | $2.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $11 | $1.0K | $998 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $5.7K | $109 | +$5.6K |
| Median | 48 | $4.4K | $1.3K | +$3.2K |
| Below median | 108 | $575 | $919 | $343 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $46 | $254 | $208 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $39 | $181 | $143 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $24 | $2.6K | $2.6K |
| unranked | 2,349 | $5.3K | $19.2K | $13.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8b6d…1280 | No | +7,765 | $3,882 | $3,882 | 1 | 07-22 01:42 |
| Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | +6,891 | $3,377 | $3,377 | 1,029 | 08-01 06:15 |
| Mundane-Bungalow 0x1405…9db0 | Yes | +5,577 | $2,789 | $2,789 | 20 | 07-22 21:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f9a…58f0 | No | +4,827 | $2,414 | $2,414 | 2 | 06-06 12:04 |
| Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | +4,351 | $2,175 | $2,175 | 680 | 08-01 06:15 |
| Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | +3,932 | $1,891 | $9,541 | 411 | 07-22 01:42 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +2,693 | $1,285 | $7,495 | 501 | 07-30 01:08 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | Yes | +1,210 | $605 | $605 | 21 | 07-03 22:22 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | +1,051 | $527 | $674 | 6 | 07-29 16:52 |
| Intrepid-Threat 0x02b8…ff77 | No | +1,000 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 07-31 03:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf75…02d1 | No | +1,000 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-28 13:51 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | +870 | $466 | $3,534 | 31 | 07-29 17:20 |
| Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | +400 | $200 | $200 | 4 | 07-30 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xa136…9977 | No | +400 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-18 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xe63e…3204 | No | +364 | $182 | $182 | 4 | 06-01 12:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6c3…de2e | No | +295 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 07-17 20:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | +260 | $130 | $130 | 94 | 08-01 04:50 |
| Fond-Barracks 0xa3b0…4aab | No | +228 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 06-23 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xa940…9bf1 | No | +200 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-31 16:00 |
| All-Oversight 0x1315…f2e5 | No | +200 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-27 07:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x6add…ce5d | No | +200 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-28 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x310c…f648 | No | +193 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-17 06:23 |
| Gummy-Yang 0x53f8…5ce0 | No | +147 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 07-16 02:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x34c4…c3df | No | +144 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 06-23 07:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x1399…6917 | No | +106 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 07-15 19:47 |
| Interesting-Trek 0x442c…3db8 | No | +100 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-16 18:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x67db…b9d8 | No | +100 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-14 05:58 |
| Accurate-Investigation 0xcb4f…92c0 | No | +100 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-02 06:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x8653…0d6b | No | +100 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-31 12:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c32…cac2 | No | +100 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-14 02:07 |
| Exemplary-Fifth 0xd8c1…16c0 | No | +100 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-15 06:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbeb…53e6 | No | +93 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-04 02:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | +91 | $46 | $46 | 42 | 08-01 06:01 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | +83 | $31 | $981 | 38 | 07-12 17:59 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +81 | $41 | $41 | 4 | 07-29 18:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xa279…351d | No | +80 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-28 11:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e50…c665 | Yes | +47 | $24 | $24 | 4 | 07-31 16:00 |
| Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | +43 | $-14 | $3,601 | 233 | 07-03 09:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 06:15:56 | Grateful-Locality 0x0b18…72e6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xc9743c… |
| 08-01 06:15:56 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xc9743c… |
| 08-01 06:15:53 | Grateful-Locality 0x0b18…72e6 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x0f9967… |
| 08-01 06:15:53 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x0f9967… |
| 08-01 06:15:50 | Grateful-Locality 0x0b18…72e6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xd5257f… |
| 08-01 06:15:50 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xd5257f… |
| 08-01 06:15:47 | (anonymous) 0xddc3…fd24 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x355796… |
| 08-01 06:15:47 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x355796… |
| 08-01 06:11:41 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x2a1a8d… |
| 08-01 06:11:41 | (anonymous) 0x3cd9…24aa | No | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x2a1a8d… |
| 08-01 06:11:33 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xf785e3… |
| 08-01 06:11:33 | (anonymous) 0x5da5…fd3a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xf785e3… |
| 08-01 06:10:00 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xd1640d… |
| 08-01 06:10:00 | (anonymous) 0xdf81…1830 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xd1640d… |
| 08-01 06:09:54 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xde7bb3… |
| 08-01 06:09:54 | (anonymous) 0xddd0…e499 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xde7bb3… |
| 08-01 06:05:21 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x2efc8f… |
| 08-01 06:05:21 | (anonymous) 0x4799…8cf6 | No | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x2efc8f… |
| 08-01 06:05:20 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x13de17… |
| 08-01 06:05:20 | (anonymous) 0x393c…8d2c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x13de17… |
| 08-01 06:04:57 | (anonymous) 0xfbf5…51f6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xbb5419… |
| 08-01 06:04:57 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xbb5419… |
| 08-01 06:04:57 | (anonymous) 0xd414…929d | No | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x37f41d… |
| 08-01 06:04:57 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x37f41d… |
| 08-01 06:03:30 | (anonymous) 0x681a…8e58 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xfc812c… |
| 08-01 06:03:30 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xfc812c… |
| 08-01 06:03:15 | (anonymous) 0x0394…c5c2 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x193290… |
| 08-01 06:03:15 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x193290… |
| 08-01 06:01:38 | (anonymous) 0xabf2…801b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x5b8d75… |
| 08-01 06:01:38 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x5b8d75… |
| 08-01 06:01:26 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xb9d8ae… |
| 08-01 06:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x2ba0…93fd | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xb9d8ae… |
| 08-01 06:01:03 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xe09277… |
| 08-01 06:01:03 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xe09277… |
| 08-01 06:01:00 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xa7f911… |
| 08-01 06:01:00 | (anonymous) 0x3df8…4e03 | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xa7f911… |
| 08-01 05:56:48 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x1f207a… |
| 08-01 05:56:48 | (anonymous) 0xf979…a47b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x1f207a… |
| 08-01 05:56:06 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x18e53b… |
| 08-01 05:56:06 | (anonymous) 0xb705…e2f5 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x18e53b… |
| 08-01 05:41:47 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x3c5f4f… |
| 08-01 05:41:47 | (anonymous) 0x79ec…d596 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x3c5f4f… |
| 08-01 05:41:23 | (anonymous) 0xbdaf…b429 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xd940f0… |
| 08-01 05:41:23 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xd940f0… |
| 08-01 05:40:08 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x31022f… |
| 08-01 05:40:08 | (anonymous) 0xa6f1…c74f | No | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x31022f… |
| 08-01 05:39:47 | (anonymous) 0x3e39…7404 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xb24438… |
| 08-01 05:39:47 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xb24438… |
| 08-01 05:36:15 | (anonymous) 0x611c…90f4 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x63075d… |
| 08-01 05:36:15 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x63075d… |
| 08-01 05:36:12 | (anonymous) 0x611c…90f4 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xba47a0… |
| 08-01 05:36:12 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xba47a0… |
| 08-01 05:35:41 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x59824e… |
| 08-01 05:35:41 | (anonymous) 0x1af6…b635 | No | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x59824e… |
| 08-01 05:26:53 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x08a5b5… |
| 08-01 05:26:53 | (anonymous) 0x63ae…0b42 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x08a5b5… |
| 08-01 05:26:18 | (anonymous) 0xb5a2…518b | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xf8ceed… |
| 08-01 05:26:18 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xf8ceed… |
| 08-01 05:22:33 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 3 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xe307ba… |
| 08-01 05:22:33 | (anonymous) 0xeacb…f8f3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xe307ba… |
| 08-01 05:22:05 | (anonymous) 0x1a8b…2641 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x6add94… |
| 08-01 05:22:05 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x6add94… |
| 08-01 05:21:33 | (anonymous) 0x603b…9790 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x14d55b… |
| 08-01 05:21:33 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x14d55b… |
| 08-01 05:21:30 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xff24f7… |
| 08-01 05:21:30 | (anonymous) 0xb362…f58c | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xff24f7… |
| 08-01 05:18:32 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 3 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xe28fe1… |
| 08-01 05:18:32 | (anonymous) 0xd6e6…8b91 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xe28fe1… |
| 08-01 05:18:14 | (anonymous) 0x94b5…6322 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x769c4b… |
| 08-01 05:18:14 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x769c4b… |
| 08-01 05:15:20 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x1e61fe… |
| 08-01 05:15:20 | (anonymous) 0x8f7c…9903 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x1e61fe… |
| 08-01 05:15:03 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x8dedef… |
| 08-01 05:15:03 | (anonymous) 0x8305…e821 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x8dedef… |
| 08-01 05:14:11 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x99d0a8… |
| 08-01 05:14:11 | (anonymous) 0xa0be…5c5b | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x99d0a8… |
| 08-01 05:14:02 | (anonymous) 0x63cc…24bf | No | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x8b72bf… |
| 08-01 05:14:02 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x8b72bf… |
| 08-01 05:13:53 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xf4d33b… |
| 08-01 05:13:53 | (anonymous) 0x9f22…dd81 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xf4d33b… |
| 08-01 05:12:05 | (anonymous) 0x9fec…fc96 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x99de4d… |
| 08-01 05:12:05 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x99de4d… |
| 08-01 05:12:05 | (anonymous) 0xa67f…dc62 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x2a5aca… |
| 08-01 05:12:05 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x2a5aca… |
| 08-01 05:10:27 | (anonymous) 0x7167…f252 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x3396eb… |
| 08-01 05:10:27 | (anonymous) 0x0643…18c6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x324087… |
| 08-01 05:10:27 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x324087… |
| 08-01 05:10:27 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x3396eb… |
| 08-01 05:10:17 | (anonymous) 0xca6f…70ac | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x347998… |
| 08-01 05:10:17 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x347998… |
| 08-01 05:09:57 | (anonymous) 0xccdf…1061 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x2bf7e7… |
| 08-01 05:09:57 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x2bf7e7… |
| 08-01 05:08:47 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x6a93d5… |
| 08-01 05:08:47 | (anonymous) 0xddc3…fd24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x6a93d5… |
| 08-01 05:08:41 | (anonymous) 0xeb40…c1fa | No | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x4afbdf… |
| 08-01 05:08:41 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x4afbdf… |
| 08-01 05:08:39 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xe8042d… |
| 08-01 05:08:39 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xf781da… |
| 08-01 05:08:39 | (anonymous) 0xd58c…131f | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xf781da… |
| 08-01 05:08:39 | (anonymous) 0x6b74…0a2c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xe8042d… |