Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
open
Total volume
$79,148
$936 in 24h
Trades
4,390
Unique wallets
1,086
Liquidity
$37,642
Latest YES mid
50¢
Latest NO mid
50¢
End date
2026-07-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-27 16:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.0¢
(top1%: 39% YES on $9.0K
vs crowd: 38% YES on $44.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $10.7K | $7.9K | +$2.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $4.6K | $3.6K | +$1.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 45 | $291 | $2.0K | $1.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1,006 | $1.4K | $14.4K | $13.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $3.5K | $5.5K | $2.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $5.7K | $1.0K | +$4.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $2 | $109 | $107 |
| Median | 43 | $3.3K | $1.3K | +$2.0K |
| Below median | 100 | $535 | $877 | $342 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | — | $119 | $119 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $36 | $205 | $169 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $24 | $2.6K | $2.6K |
| unranked | 888 | $3.9K | $16.2K | $12.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8b6d…1280 | No | +7,765 | $3,882 | $3,882 | 1 | 07-22 01:42 |
| Mundane-Bungalow 0x1405…9db0 | Yes | +5,577 | $2,789 | $2,789 | 20 | 07-22 21:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f9a…58f0 | No | +4,827 | $2,414 | $2,414 | 2 | 06-06 12:04 |
| Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | +3,932 | $1,891 | $9,541 | 411 | 07-22 01:42 |
| Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | +2,018 | $989 | $989 | 269 | 07-27 16:03 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | Yes | +1,210 | $605 | $605 | 21 | 07-03 22:22 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | +1,042 | $522 | $669 | 5 | 07-27 13:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf75…02d1 | No | +1,000 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-28 13:51 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | +889 | $475 | $3,525 | 30 | 07-27 07:34 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +401 | $138 | $6,349 | 275 | 07-27 16:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xa136…9977 | No | +400 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-18 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xe63e…3204 | No | +364 | $182 | $182 | 4 | 06-01 12:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6c3…de2e | No | +295 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 07-17 20:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xedd2…230e | No | +258 | $129 | $129 | 1 | 07-25 17:39 |
| Fond-Barracks 0xa3b0…4aab | No | +228 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 06-23 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x6add…ce5d | No | +200 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-28 14:33 |
| All-Oversight 0x1315…f2e5 | No | +200 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-27 07:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x310c…f648 | No | +193 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-17 06:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | +150 | $75 | $75 | 44 | 07-27 09:55 |
| Gummy-Yang 0x53f8…5ce0 | No | +147 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 07-16 02:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x34c4…c3df | No | +144 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 06-23 07:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x1399…6917 | No | +106 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 07-15 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x67db…b9d8 | No | +100 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-14 05:58 |
| Accurate-Investigation 0xcb4f…92c0 | No | +100 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-02 06:49 |
| Exemplary-Fifth 0xd8c1…16c0 | No | +100 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-15 06:33 |
| Interesting-Trek 0x442c…3db8 | No | +100 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-16 18:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c32…cac2 | No | +100 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-14 02:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbeb…53e6 | No | +93 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-04 02:50 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | +83 | $31 | $981 | 38 | 07-12 17:59 |
| Concrete-Independence 0xf3c4…9bd5 | No | +68 | $34 | $34 | 9 | 06-23 06:00 |
| Electric-Casement 0x1f25…c471 | No | +68 | $34 | $49 | 17 | 06-02 17:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xb353…fcdc | No | +55 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-01 11:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x2171…a782 | No | +55 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 07-03 22:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xe63a…0679 | No | +52 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-20 19:09 |
| Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | +43 | $-14 | $3,601 | 233 | 07-03 09:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 16:03:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x2999e3… |
| 07-27 16:03:18 | (anonymous) 0x2d43…4cb6 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x2999e3… |
| 07-27 16:03:18 | (anonymous) 0x33cd…75c4 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xcac069… |
| 07-27 16:03:18 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xcac069… |
| 07-27 16:01:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xf4884b… |
| 07-27 16:01:18 | (anonymous) 0xa177…aae0 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xf4884b… |
| 07-27 16:01:18 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xedeb09… |
| 07-27 16:01:18 | (anonymous) 0xe58e…d148 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xedeb09… |
| 07-27 15:58:43 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x5a9479… |
| 07-27 15:58:43 | (anonymous) 0xffb3…fc0c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x5a9479… |
| 07-27 15:58:42 | (anonymous) 0x663d…5bca | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xccbecf… |
| 07-27 15:58:42 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xccbecf… |
| 07-27 15:51:18 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xc4a9d5… |
| 07-27 15:51:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x7f393b… |
| 07-27 15:51:18 | (anonymous) 0x374a…7549 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x7f393b… |
| 07-27 15:51:18 | (anonymous) 0x5fd4…a958 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xc4a9d5… |
| 07-27 15:50:33 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xe42d72… |
| 07-27 15:50:33 | (anonymous) 0x68d9…65ce | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xe42d72… |
| 07-27 15:50:31 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xd0bdb4… |
| 07-27 15:50:31 | (anonymous) 0x919c…3b22 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xd0bdb4… |
| 07-27 15:37:16 | (anonymous) 0x29fa…6158 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xc9d621… |
| 07-27 15:37:16 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x5fc203… |
| 07-27 15:37:16 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xc9d621… |
| 07-27 15:37:16 | (anonymous) 0x8468…8902 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x5fc203… |
| 07-27 15:24:34 | (anonymous) 0xedb6…b8dc | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xbc5005… |
| 07-27 15:24:34 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xbc5005… |
| 07-27 15:19:10 | (anonymous) 0x395e…34e2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x5e389f… |
| 07-27 15:19:10 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 3 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x5e389f… |
| 07-27 15:19:09 | (anonymous) 0xae4e…8db1 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x181e7d… |
| 07-27 15:19:09 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x181e7d… |
| 07-27 15:19:07 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x6b4498… |
| 07-27 15:19:07 | (anonymous) 0x68a2…8369 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x6b4498… |
| 07-27 15:01:27 | (anonymous) 0xe205…65e9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x051831… |
| 07-27 15:01:27 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x051831… |
| 07-27 15:01:27 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xd89cf2… |
| 07-27 15:01:27 | (anonymous) 0x56e5…ab22 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xd89cf2… |
| 07-27 14:48:37 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xc1c2dc… |
| 07-27 14:48:37 | (anonymous) 0x130a…b35b | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xca8f10… |
| 07-27 14:48:37 | (anonymous) 0xaf9b…4f98 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xc1c2dc… |
| 07-27 14:48:37 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xca8f10… |
| 07-27 14:25:31 | (anonymous) 0xba20…d012 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x278ef2… |
| 07-27 14:25:31 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x278ef2… |
| 07-27 14:25:30 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x18907d… |
| 07-27 14:25:30 | (anonymous) 0x69b4…8a62 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x18907d… |
| 07-27 14:09:30 | (anonymous) 0xfd10…f6c2 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xeda06f… |
| 07-27 14:09:30 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xeda06f… |
| 07-27 14:09:28 | (anonymous) 0x975d…0b7c | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x81db84… |
| 07-27 14:09:28 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x81db84… |
| 07-27 13:43:07 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | BUY | 1,042 | 50¢ | $521 | 0x2427c1… |
| 07-27 13:43:07 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 1,042 | 50¢ | $521 | 0x2427c1… |
| 07-27 13:35:06 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x74fd71… |
| 07-27 13:35:06 | (anonymous) 0x2a62…0760 | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x74fd71… |
| 07-27 13:35:06 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x157c4d… |
| 07-27 13:35:06 | (anonymous) 0x82aa…b7d1 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x157c4d… |
| 07-27 13:28:40 | (anonymous) 0x06d3…1e4f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x0aecca… |
| 07-27 13:28:40 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 3 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x0aecca… |
| 07-27 13:28:30 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xb20d9f… |
| 07-27 13:28:30 | (anonymous) 0x2c82…2a9c | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xb20d9f… |
| 07-27 09:55:03 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x7864e4… |
| 07-27 09:55:03 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x7864e4… |
| 07-27 09:54:58 | (anonymous) 0x6a18…0b2b | No | SELL | 11 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x8d0008… |
| 07-27 09:54:58 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 11 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x8d0008… |
| 07-27 08:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x00fc…ba02 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xb8324f… |
| 07-27 08:54:33 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 3 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xb8324f… |
| 07-27 08:42:34 | (anonymous) 0x8b2d…a9cd | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x1a479d… |
| 07-27 08:42:34 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x1a479d… |
| 07-27 07:46:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xac5538… |
| 07-27 07:46:40 | Handmade-Colonization 0xe797…8a2b | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xac5538… |
| 07-27 07:36:13 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x9da349… |
| 07-27 07:36:13 | (anonymous) 0x6e6d…2d64 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x9da349… |
| 07-27 07:34:43 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 500 | 50¢ | $250 | 0xd9fb2f… |
| 07-27 07:34:43 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | SELL | 60 | 50¢ | $30 | 0xd9fb2f… |
| 07-27 07:34:43 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 383 | 50¢ | $191 | 0xd9fb2f… |
| 07-27 07:34:43 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xd9fb2f… |
| 07-27 07:34:43 | (anonymous) 0xcccb…986d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xd9fb2f… |
| 07-27 07:34:43 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 1,905 | 50¢ | $952 | 0xd9fb2f… |
| 07-27 07:34:43 | Obedient-Mind 0xe22d…635d | No | SELL | 250 | 50¢ | $125 | 0xd9fb2f… |
| 07-27 07:34:43 | (anonymous) 0x7310…e776 | No | SELL | 697 | 50¢ | $349 | 0xd9fb2f… |
| 07-27 07:34:34 | (anonymous) 0x3492…1f7d | No | BUY | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x865880… |
| 07-27 07:34:34 | (anonymous) 0x7310…e776 | No | SELL | 3 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x865880… |
| 07-27 07:34:33 | (anonymous) 0x3df1…a7ed | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x18b401… |
| 07-27 07:34:33 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x18b401… |
| 07-27 07:25:09 | (anonymous) 0xb50d…e579 | No | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x4869c2… |
| 07-27 07:25:09 | (anonymous) 0x7310…e776 | No | SELL | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x4869c2… |
| 07-27 07:15:13 | (anonymous) 0x7310…e776 | No | SELL | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xf6c8a4… |
| 07-27 07:15:13 | (anonymous) 0x8160…c9ae | No | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xf6c8a4… |
| 07-27 06:27:15 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x294246… |
| 07-27 06:27:15 | (anonymous) 0x7310…e776 | No | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x294246… |
| 07-27 06:27:10 | (anonymous) 0xb39b…7aff | Yes | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x9ba0fb… |
| 07-27 06:27:10 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0x9ba0fb… |
| 07-27 06:16:55 | (anonymous) 0xa1a0…2746 | No | BUY | 51 | 50¢ | $26 | 0xdab879… |
| 07-27 06:16:55 | (anonymous) 0x7310…e776 | No | SELL | 51 | 50¢ | $26 | 0xdab879… |
| 07-27 06:16:00 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xaa4a2f… |
| 07-27 06:16:00 | (anonymous) 0x8886…e762 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xaa4a2f… |
| 07-27 05:59:13 | (anonymous) 0x6a18…0b2b | No | BUY | 11 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xf93011… |
| 07-27 05:59:13 | (anonymous) 0x7310…e776 | No | SELL | 11 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xf93011… |
| 07-27 05:18:19 | (anonymous) 0x7310…e776 | No | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x42567c… |
| 07-27 05:18:19 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x42567c… |
| 07-27 05:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x7334…cc1c | No | SELL | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x0b0ad7… |
| 07-27 05:18:16 | Damp-Accountant 0x2d99…4ca3 | No | BUY | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x0b0ad7… |