Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
open
Total volume
$57,212
$456 in 24h
Trades
2,756
Unique wallets
538
Liquidity
$99,606
Latest YES mid
50¢
Latest NO mid
50¢
End date
2026-07-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-07 10:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+8.1¢
(top1%: 44% YES on $8.0K
vs crowd: 36% YES on $28.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $7.4K | $5.4K | +$2.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $1.8K | $2.2K | $363 |
| 🐟 Fish | 33 | $291 | $1.6K | $1.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 484 | $681 | $9.1K | $8.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $3.5K | $4.5K | $995 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $11 | $944 | $933 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $3.8K | — | +$3.8K |
| Median | 32 | $1.9K | $223 | +$1.7K |
| Below median | 76 | $442 | $600 | $158 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | — | $80 | $80 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $36 | $123 | $87 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $24 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| unranked | 392 | $504 | $10.7K | $10.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x2f9a…58f0 | No | +4,827 | $2,414 | $2,414 | 2 | 06-06 12:04 |
| Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | +2,069 | $973 | $7,009 | 434 | 07-07 10:35 |
| Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | +1,250 | $563 | $6,937 | 281 | 07-03 09:37 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | Yes | +1,210 | $605 | $605 | 21 | 07-03 22:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf75…02d1 | No | +1,000 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-28 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | +440 | $191 | $1,699 | 49 | 06-29 11:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xa136…9977 | No | +400 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-18 19:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xe63e…3204 | No | +364 | $182 | $182 | 4 | 06-01 12:26 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | +346 | $163 | $849 | 37 | 06-30 12:37 |
| Fond-Barracks 0xa3b0…4aab | No | +228 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 06-23 14:58 |
| Proper-Opening 0x0d09…dd55 | No | +200 | $98 | $98 | 2 | 07-03 09:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x6add…ce5d | No | +200 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-28 14:33 |
| All-Oversight 0x1315…f2e5 | No | +200 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-27 07:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x310c…f648 | No | +193 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-17 06:23 |
| Well-Documented-Discrimination 0xe788…736b | No | +187 | $96 | $301 | 87 | 07-05 17:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x27c4…f633 | No | +147 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 06-21 13:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x34c4…c3df | No | +144 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 06-23 07:22 |
| Required-Economics 0xf9df…421e | Yes | +120 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 07-01 22:04 |
| Overlooked-Insurgence 0xce07…18e5 | No | +120 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 07-01 22:04 |
| Accurate-Investigation 0xcb4f…92c0 | No | +100 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-02 06:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbeb…53e6 | No | +93 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-04 02:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f95…2ac7 | No | +86 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-16 18:43 |
| Concrete-Independence 0xf3c4…9bd5 | No | +68 | $34 | $34 | 9 | 06-23 06:00 |
| Electric-Casement 0x1f25…c471 | No | +68 | $34 | $49 | 17 | 06-02 17:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +65 | $31 | $170 | 7 | 07-03 09:37 |
| Thankful-Wildebeest 0x5923…9e92 | No | +60 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-06 08:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xb353…fcdc | No | +55 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-01 11:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x2171…a782 | No | +55 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 07-03 22:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xe63a…0679 | No | +52 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-20 19:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd681…4c5a | No | +51 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-04 16:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xa015…7dda | No | +50 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-01 20:41 |
| Talkative-Temporariness 0x31a0…5911 | No | +48 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-20 07:03 |
| Neat-Vineyard 0x111b…d904 | No | +46 | $23 | $23 | 23 | 06-03 18:51 |
| Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | +43 | $-14 | $3,601 | 233 | 07-03 09:37 |
| Weak-Airplane 0xc921…9220 | Yes | +29 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 05-29 14:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | +26 | $13 | $25 | 32 | 06-15 03:55 |
| That-Trove-Tune 0x3437…2840 | Yes | +24 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 06-06 12:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 10:35:13 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xd9fd99… |
| 07-07 10:35:13 | (anonymous) 0x61b2…ede5 | No | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xd9fd99… |
| 07-07 10:35:10 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x4194b0… |
| 07-07 10:35:10 | (anonymous) 0x61b2…ede5 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x4194b0… |
| 07-07 03:22:23 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 31 | 50¢ | $15 | 0x52341e… |
| 07-07 03:22:23 | (anonymous) 0x7060…f0e2 | No | BUY | 31 | 50¢ | $15 | 0x52341e… |
| 07-07 03:09:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 16 | 50¢ | $8 | 0xe3de94… |
| 07-07 03:09:40 | Impish-Earmuffs 0x9795…a7c0 | No | BUY | 16 | 50¢ | $8 | 0xe3de94… |
| 07-06 22:33:44 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xde3d3a… |
| 07-06 22:33:44 | Buoyant-Knee 0x3a00…6d82 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xde3d3a… |
| 07-06 22:33:43 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $3 | 0x076964… |
| 07-06 22:33:43 | Buttery-Candidacy 0xcee6…fa06 | No | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $3 | 0x076964… |
| 07-06 22:33:40 | Wooden-Girlfriend 0x3faa…eed2 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 50¢ | $9 | 0xd5388b… |
| 07-06 22:33:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 18 | 50¢ | $9 | 0xd5388b… |
| 07-06 22:33:38 | Excellent-Centurion 0xcc24…8d86 | No | SELL | 19 | 49¢ | $9 | 0x2d0df8… |
| 07-06 22:33:38 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 19 | 49¢ | $9 | 0x2d0df8… |
| 07-06 22:27:43 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x15598e… |
| 07-06 22:27:43 | Buoyant-Knee 0x3a00…6d82 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x15598e… |
| 07-06 22:27:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0xdad806… |
| 07-06 22:27:40 | Buttery-Candidacy 0xcee6…fa06 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0xdad806… |
| 07-06 22:23:46 | Wooden-Girlfriend 0x3faa…eed2 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 51¢ | $9 | 0xed8865… |
| 07-06 22:23:46 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 18 | 49¢ | $9 | 0xed8865… |
| 07-06 22:23:44 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 19 | 50¢ | $9 | 0xce81ee… |
| 07-06 22:23:44 | Excellent-Centurion 0xcc24…8d86 | No | BUY | 19 | 50¢ | $9 | 0xce81ee… |
| 07-06 20:07:20 | (anonymous) 0xef97…5213 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xfbe1ce… |
| 07-06 20:07:20 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xfbe1ce… |
| 07-06 18:42:52 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 30 | 49¢ | $15 | 0x4e29a6… |
| 07-06 18:42:52 | (anonymous) 0x7060…f0e2 | No | SELL | 30 | 49¢ | $15 | 0x4e29a6… |
| 07-06 15:28:47 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xca4132… |
| 07-06 15:28:47 | Productive-Committee-Mammoth 0xc329…6a58 | No | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xca4132… |
| 07-06 13:11:56 | (anonymous) 0xd93a…b913 | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x594e3c… |
| 07-06 13:11:56 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x594e3c… |
| 07-06 11:49:59 | Wordy-Volume 0x5ee1…118a | No | SELL | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xb72601… |
| 07-06 11:49:59 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xb72601… |
| 07-06 11:21:43 | Wordy-Volume 0x5ee1…118a | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x76314a… |
| 07-06 11:21:43 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x76314a… |
| 07-06 10:05:05 | Lighthearted-Nation-Gander 0xc349…11be | No | SELL | 13 | 49¢ | $7 | 0xd5d516… |
| 07-06 10:05:05 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 13 | 49¢ | $7 | 0xd5d516… |
| 07-06 10:05:04 | Wooden-Girlfriend 0x3faa…eed2 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 50¢ | $7 | 0x36f26c… |
| 07-06 10:05:04 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 13 | 50¢ | $7 | 0x36f26c… |
| 07-06 09:59:53 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 13 | 50¢ | $7 | 0xc8d4ad… |
| 07-06 09:59:53 | Lighthearted-Nation-Gander 0xc349…11be | No | BUY | 13 | 50¢ | $7 | 0xc8d4ad… |
| 07-06 09:59:50 | Wooden-Girlfriend 0x3faa…eed2 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 51¢ | $7 | 0xd1d472… |
| 07-06 09:59:50 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 13 | 49¢ | $7 | 0xd1d472… |
| 07-06 08:30:32 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 60 | 50¢ | $30 | 0xed1b8e… |
| 07-06 08:30:32 | Thankful-Wildebeest 0x5923…9e92 | No | BUY | 60 | 50¢ | $30 | 0xed1b8e… |
| 07-06 08:05:53 | Dearest-Founding 0xb15c…3c28 | No | SELL | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xfe7bba… |
| 07-06 08:05:53 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xfe7bba… |
| 07-06 06:08:11 | (anonymous) 0xf4c1…7a01 | No | BUY | 12 | 50¢ | $6 | 0x319eaa… |
| 07-06 06:08:11 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 50¢ | $6 | 0x319eaa… |
| 07-06 05:55:35 | (anonymous) 0x1d7c…1623 | No | SELL | 72 | 49¢ | $35 | 0x00dce4… |
| 07-06 05:55:35 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 72 | 49¢ | $35 | 0x00dce4… |
| 07-06 03:54:56 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0x85240e… |
| 07-06 03:54:56 | cuutytr 0xd8f8…10b3 | No | BUY | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0x85240e… |
| 07-06 02:24:37 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 40 | 49¢ | $20 | 0xad92aa… |
| 07-06 02:24:37 | (anonymous) 0x48c9…a894 | No | SELL | 40 | 49¢ | $20 | 0xad92aa… |
| 07-06 02:22:35 | (anonymous) 0x48c9…a894 | No | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0xc98446… |
| 07-06 02:22:35 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0xc98446… |
| 07-05 23:21:43 | (anonymous) 0x9957…e29c | No | SELL | 34 | 49¢ | $16 | 0x8d038d… |
| 07-05 23:21:43 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 34 | 49¢ | $16 | 0x8d038d… |
| 07-05 23:05:25 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 14 | 49¢ | $7 | 0xcd7c4c… |
| 07-05 23:05:25 | (anonymous) 0x2789…4237 | No | SELL | 14 | 49¢ | $7 | 0xcd7c4c… |
| 07-05 22:53:23 | (anonymous) 0xe2c2…8858 | No | SELL | 100 | 49¢ | $49 | 0xfba481… |
| 07-05 22:53:23 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 100 | 49¢ | $49 | 0xfba481… |
| 07-05 22:51:37 | (anonymous) 0xe2c2…8858 | No | BUY | 100 | 50¢ | $50 | 0x3a45b0… |
| 07-05 22:51:37 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 50¢ | $50 | 0x3a45b0… |
| 07-05 22:06:05 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x6f3478… |
| 07-05 22:06:05 | (anonymous) 0x8442…5a8c | No | SELL | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x6f3478… |
| 07-05 20:39:37 | (anonymous) 0x0042…fc82 | No | SELL | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xa88543… |
| 07-05 20:39:37 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xa88543… |
| 07-05 20:35:43 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xa780fb… |
| 07-05 20:35:43 | (anonymous) 0x0042…fc82 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xa780fb… |
| 07-05 17:41:22 | Well-Documented-Discrimination 0xe788…736b | No | BUY | 29 | 50¢ | $15 | 0x5bce5f… |
| 07-05 17:41:22 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 29 | 50¢ | $15 | 0x5bce5f… |
| 07-05 17:40:52 | (anonymous) 0x06c0…15c4 | No | SELL | 294 | 49¢ | $144 | 0xd4683e… |
| 07-05 17:40:52 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 294 | 49¢ | $144 | 0xd4683e… |
| 07-05 17:05:04 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 31 | 50¢ | $15 | 0xb080bf… |
| 07-05 17:05:04 | Well-Documented-Discrimination 0xe788…736b | No | BUY | 31 | 50¢ | $15 | 0xb080bf… |
| 07-05 17:04:56 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xc48cc0… |
| 07-05 17:04:56 | (anonymous) 0x2789…4237 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xc48cc0… |
| 07-05 17:04:41 | (anonymous) 0x06c0…15c4 | No | SELL | 306 | 49¢ | $150 | 0x8ba691… |
| 07-05 17:04:41 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 306 | 49¢ | $150 | 0x8ba691… |
| 07-05 13:14:01 | (anonymous) 0x32f3…a059 | No | SELL | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x1bd9bd… |
| 07-05 13:14:01 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x1bd9bd… |
| 07-05 09:39:02 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0x802e3b… |
| 07-05 09:39:02 | (anonymous) 0x0f21…91a2 | No | BUY | 40 | 50¢ | $20 | 0x802e3b… |
| 07-05 09:31:37 | (anonymous) 0xa2dc…a089 | No | BUY | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x41105a… |
| 07-05 09:31:37 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x41105a… |
| 07-05 07:11:11 | (anonymous) 0xa534…7cc5 | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xdc5461… |
| 07-05 07:11:11 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xdc5461… |
| 07-05 07:06:37 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x80f33f… |
| 07-05 07:06:37 | Live-Synergy 0x01f2…66e9 | No | SELL | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x80f33f… |
| 07-05 07:02:49 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x211110… |
| 07-05 07:02:49 | Live-Synergy 0x01f2…66e9 | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x211110… |
| 07-05 03:30:23 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xb16786… |
| 07-05 03:30:23 | (anonymous) 0x2789…4237 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xb16786… |
| 07-05 03:30:04 | Gullible-Catastrophe 0xa3d4…4128 | No | SELL | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0xcff0cd… |
| 07-05 03:30:04 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0xcff0cd… |
| 07-04 22:57:40 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0xb5a159… |
| 07-04 22:57:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0xb5a159… |