Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
open
Total volume
$21,394
$355 in 24h
Trades
991
Unique wallets
228
Liquidity
$38,053
Latest YES mid
50¢
Latest NO mid
50¢
End date
2026-07-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-17 09:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+45.1¢
(top1%: 85% YES on $2.4K
vs crowd: 39% YES on $10.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $2.6K | $383 | +$2.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $980 | $1.3K | $270 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $190 | $128 | +$62 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 198 | $250 | $4.4K | $4.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $2.1K | $377 | +$1.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $5 | $1 | +$4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $481 | $245 | +$236 |
| Median | 20 | $1.0K | $134 | +$886 |
| Below median | 38 | $242 | $263 | $21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $36 | — | +$36 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $138 | $138 |
| unranked | 148 | $180 | $5.0K | $4.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x2f9a…58f0 | No | +4,827 | $2,414 | $2,414 | 2 | 06-06 12:04 |
| Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | +944 | $472 | $472 | 40 | 06-17 09:17 |
| Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | +678 | $326 | $1,607 | 128 | 06-17 09:17 |
| Accurate-Geyser 0x31ab…86cf | No | +500 | $245 | $245 | 14 | 06-08 08:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xe63e…3204 | No | +364 | $182 | $182 | 4 | 06-01 12:26 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | No | +346 | $165 | $589 | 21 | 06-08 18:59 |
| Specific-Choker 0xa17e…cfcd | No | +249 | $122 | $122 | 1 | 05-29 10:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x310c…f648 | No | +193 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 06-17 06:23 |
| Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | +149 | $78 | $268 | 37 | 06-17 09:17 |
| Accurate-Investigation 0xcb4f…92c0 | No | +100 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-02 06:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbeb…53e6 | No | +93 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-04 02:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f95…2ac7 | No | +86 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-16 18:43 |
| Electric-Casement 0x1f25…c471 | No | +68 | $34 | $49 | 17 | 06-02 17:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +60 | $29 | $73 | 5 | 06-06 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb353…fcdc | No | +55 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-01 11:57 |
| Concrete-Independence 0xf3c4…9bd5 | No | +52 | $26 | $26 | 7 | 06-12 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd681…4c5a | No | +51 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-04 16:20 |
| Neat-Vineyard 0x111b…d904 | No | +46 | $23 | $23 | 23 | 06-03 18:51 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +43 | $22 | $49 | 2 | 06-13 20:53 |
| Understated-Dessert 0xa090…a400 | No | +41 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-29 03:43 |
| High-Level-Silica 0xfd94…fe9f | No | +40 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-31 00:11 |
| Rigid-Forestry 0xed06…529b | No | +40 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-14 22:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x7060…f0e2 | No | +30 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-10 17:51 |
| Excellent-Steamroller 0x7a4a…f6d1 | No | +30 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-28 16:31 |
| Weak-Airplane 0xc921…9220 | Yes | +29 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 05-29 14:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a34…c5d8 | Yes | +26 | $13 | $25 | 32 | 06-15 03:55 |
| That-Trove-Tune 0x3437…2840 | Yes | +24 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 06-06 12:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x0949…5d15 | No | +23 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-14 21:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6231…bd9d | No | +22 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-04 17:10 |
| Sophisticated-Deputy 0xd29a…618a | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-29 05:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ac2…b483 | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 12:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x52a9…da2e | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-10 12:16 |
| Decent-Muskrat 0x4024…959f | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-05 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x2775…2d08 | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 07:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x0bf0…b2eb | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-17 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x4875…2eb3 | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 04:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xd955…ba8e | No | +18 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-14 10:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a80…173f | Yes | +13 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 06-12 06:02 |
| Prestigious-Jot-Humor 0x0573…877b | Yes | +12 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-06 12:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 09:17:53 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xb28a3b… |
| 06-17 09:17:53 | Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xb28a3b… |
| 06-17 09:17:16 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 51¢ | $12 | 0x2cc6b5… |
| 06-17 09:17:16 | Linear-Vault 0xf8a0…90df | No | SELL | 23 | 49¢ | $11 | 0x2cc6b5… |
| 06-17 06:23:19 | Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | BUY | 193 | 50¢ | $96 | 0x22cca5… |
| 06-17 06:23:19 | (anonymous) 0x310c…f648 | No | BUY | 193 | 50¢ | $96 | 0x22cca5… |
| 06-17 06:06:41 | (anonymous) 0x0bf0…b2eb | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x75908a… |
| 06-17 06:06:41 | Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x75908a… |
| 06-16 20:01:22 | Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x76b7a6… |
| 06-16 20:01:22 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x76b7a6… |
| 06-16 20:00:59 | Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x863a54… |
| 06-16 20:00:59 | Boiling-Experimentation-Treatment 0x0fc3…bcdf | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x863a54… |
| 06-16 20:00:41 | Boiling-Experimentation-Treatment 0x0fc3…bcdf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x58964f… |
| 06-16 20:00:41 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x58964f… |
| 06-16 19:41:23 | Boiling-Experimentation-Treatment 0x0fc3…bcdf | Yes | SELL | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xc77aa1… |
| 06-16 19:41:23 | Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xc77aa1… |
| 06-16 19:41:02 | Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x5f37df… |
| 06-16 19:41:02 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x5f37df… |
| 06-16 19:40:56 | Boiling-Experimentation-Treatment 0x0fc3…bcdf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x0fb961… |
| 06-16 19:40:56 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x0fb961… |
| 06-16 18:51:47 | Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xa23ef4… |
| 06-16 18:51:47 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xa23ef4… |
| 06-16 18:43:22 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 9 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x5522b7… |
| 06-16 18:43:22 | Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x5522b7… |
| 06-16 18:43:22 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 11 | 50¢ | $6 | 0xe7e2e3… |
| 06-16 18:43:22 | Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 50¢ | $6 | 0xe7e2e3… |
| 06-16 18:43:13 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 51¢ | $31 | 0xa65786… |
| 06-16 18:43:13 | (anonymous) 0x7def…4ba1 | No | SELL | 200 | 49¢ | $98 | 0xa65786… |
| 06-16 18:43:13 | (anonymous) 0x3f95…2ac7 | No | BUY | 86 | 49¢ | $42 | 0xa65786… |
| 06-16 13:00:16 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xb130be… |
| 06-16 13:00:16 | Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | BUY | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xb130be… |
| 06-16 13:00:09 | (anonymous) 0x1efa…903f | No | SELL | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xf0e55c… |
| 06-16 13:00:09 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xf0e55c… |
| 06-16 10:34:12 | (anonymous) 0x4bbc…d041 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 50¢ | $19 | 0x78a8ad… |
| 06-16 10:34:12 | Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | BUY | 38 | 50¢ | $19 | 0x78a8ad… |
| 06-16 09:29:46 | Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 50¢ | $6 | 0x9d4efe… |
| 06-16 09:29:46 | (anonymous) 0x694e…8449 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 50¢ | $6 | 0x9d4efe… |
| 06-16 09:24:33 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x80e5fd… |
| 06-16 09:24:33 | Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x80e5fd… |
| 06-16 09:23:51 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 51¢ | $6 | 0x337524… |
| 06-16 09:23:51 | (anonymous) 0x694e…8449 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 51¢ | $6 | 0x337524… |
| 06-16 08:35:31 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x646da0… |
| 06-16 08:35:31 | Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x646da0… |
| 06-16 08:35:16 | (anonymous) 0x8954…c465 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x78e887… |
| 06-16 08:35:16 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x78e887… |
| 06-16 03:51:27 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xc3184e… |
| 06-16 03:51:27 | Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0xc3184e… |
| 06-16 03:50:54 | Jam-Packed-Probability 0xff32…8932 | No | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x3080e8… |
| 06-16 03:50:54 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x3080e8… |
| 06-16 03:41:27 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x20eadc… |
| 06-16 03:41:27 | Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x20eadc… |
| 06-16 03:41:12 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xc15bcb… |
| 06-16 03:41:12 | (anonymous) 0xe92d…68be | No | SELL | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xc15bcb… |
| 06-16 01:21:46 | (anonymous) 0xe244…0bdc | No | SELL | 24 | 50¢ | $12 | 0x81b651… |
| 06-16 01:21:46 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 57 | 50¢ | $29 | 0x81b651… |
| 06-16 01:21:46 | Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b | Yes | BUY | 109 | 50¢ | $55 | 0x81b651… |
| 06-16 01:21:46 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 190 | 50¢ | $95 | 0x81b651… |
| 06-16 00:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xc135f5… |
| 06-16 00:19:04 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xc135f5… |
| 06-16 00:18:46 | (anonymous) 0xd761…4ac9 | No | SELL | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x0c94a7… |
| 06-16 00:18:46 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x0c94a7… |
| 06-15 22:11:34 | (anonymous) 0x623b…5c90 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xe837bf… |
| 06-15 22:11:34 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xe837bf… |
| 06-15 19:12:37 | Stupendous-Statue 0x8de3…f0d4 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xc09bfd… |
| 06-15 19:12:37 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xc09bfd… |
| 06-15 18:41:57 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 18 | 50¢ | $9 | 0x2e1f56… |
| 06-15 18:41:57 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 18 | 50¢ | $9 | 0x2e1f56… |
| 06-15 18:41:24 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 51¢ | $51 | 0x281ff3… |
| 06-15 18:41:24 | Positive-Painter 0x608d…3933 | No | SELL | 100 | 49¢ | $49 | 0x281ff3… |
| 06-15 18:11:57 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x606d10… |
| 06-15 18:11:57 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 0 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x606d10… |
| 06-15 16:47:55 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x781935… |
| 06-15 16:47:55 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x781935… |
| 06-15 16:47:40 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x86b695… |
| 06-15 16:47:40 | (anonymous) 0x74a9…a577 | No | SELL | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x86b695… |
| 06-15 14:54:13 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 38 | 50¢ | $19 | 0xd101e6… |
| 06-15 14:54:13 | (anonymous) 0x4f62…8185 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 50¢ | $19 | 0xd101e6… |
| 06-15 14:26:15 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x3e93fc… |
| 06-15 14:26:15 | Stupendous-Statue 0x8de3…f0d4 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x3e93fc… |
| 06-15 14:26:13 | Miniature-Recreation 0x5a58…1c33 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xdad5ac… |
| 06-15 14:26:13 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xdad5ac… |
| 06-15 13:36:51 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x34ba52… |
| 06-15 13:36:51 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x34ba52… |
| 06-15 13:36:37 | (anonymous) 0xc3f6…3910 | No | SELL | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x82b58f… |
| 06-15 13:36:37 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x82b58f… |
| 06-15 13:30:10 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x0f91b7… |
| 06-15 13:30:10 | (anonymous) 0xc3f6…3910 | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x0f91b7… |
| 06-15 12:49:15 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x88c03e… |
| 06-15 12:49:15 | (anonymous) 0x49fd…fc05 | No | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x88c03e… |
| 06-15 12:02:37 | (anonymous) 0x7ac2…b483 | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x065bf8… |
| 06-15 12:02:37 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x065bf8… |
| 06-15 11:03:10 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 32 | 50¢ | $16 | 0xcef31f… |
| 06-15 11:03:10 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 32 | 50¢ | $16 | 0xcef31f… |
| 06-15 11:03:03 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 51¢ | $102 | 0xd50418… |
| 06-15 11:03:03 | Unselfish-Handful 0x3d6a…45e0 | No | SELL | 200 | 49¢ | $98 | 0xd50418… |
| 06-15 10:54:07 | Rewarding-Nonconformist 0xf66e…7dcc | Yes | SELL | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x3d10c6… |
| 06-15 10:54:07 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x3d10c6… |
| 06-15 10:53:40 | Near-Epauliere 0x612f…aa53 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x242b6e… |
| 06-15 10:53:40 | (anonymous) 0x89a0…e717 | No | SELL | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x242b6e… |
| 06-15 08:22:24 | (anonymous) 0x9c0e…e6bb | Yes | SELL | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x7b9dbc… |