Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

44.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$70

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-31

last 11-13 10:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

70% 55% -$4

Politics

27% 36% -$9

Tech

3% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No		+2	$1	61¢	$1	+$0	11-10 11:27
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	No		+1	$1	72¢	$1	$0	11-11 03:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ng dip to 2 70 by august 3 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-03 17:51
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-02 00:31
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-04 01:52
will trump say waitress during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421458	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-05 02:22
will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-04 09:53
will abnb reach 162 by august 3 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-03 09:50
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-01 16:26
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-04 18:22
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-31 22:04
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	07-31 14:03
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	08-01 06:04
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-02 21:07
will abnb reach 164 by september 21 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-23 08:17
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-21 08:13
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	11-10 11:27
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 07:49
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-07 11:55
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	11-01 19:06
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $219 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-12 02:39
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	09-30 02:14
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-11 09:39
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-10 11:59
spx up or down on october 2 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	-$1	10-02 06:03
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-11 01:25
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$2	10-05 08:17
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	09-30 18:50
trump renames ai by september 30	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-27 20:48
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on November 6?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	11-06 17:41
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-08 19:47
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	10-08 00:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 10:57:27	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 15?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe7cfe5…
11-11 03:40:22	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x12db0d…
11-10 19:39:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbc21d0…
11-10 11:27:43	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe9bb6f…
11-07 15:18:49	Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9cf55c…
11-07 06:42:58	Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x397d9e…
11-06 17:41:42	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on November 6?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc24d9c…
11-05 10:26:01	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xac75ad…
11-05 01:08:01	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa80bef…
11-01 19:06:06	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6e58df…
11-01 05:08:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbe2199…
10-21 08:13:54	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xde17e9…
10-18 12:02:45	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfa78ad…
10-15 11:56:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfd1620…
10-12 02:39:05	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $219 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf037b7…
10-11 18:38:48	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2a4123…
10-11 09:39:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xef334a…
10-11 01:25:15	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x19123f…
10-10 11:59:12	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2d2756…
10-09 11:48:49	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x28e941…
10-09 03:48:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfd133b…
10-08 19:47:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x299dc7…
10-08 10:01:15	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x96bb3f…
10-08 00:32:41	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x770116…
10-07 16:32:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb0a820…
10-05 08:17:07	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3b765a…
10-04 23:10:56	will tsla dip to 360 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbd1454…
10-03 02:14:15	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe5d143…
10-02 14:38:14	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x42ac75…
10-02 14:16:42	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xeab438…
10-02 06:03:45	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb78261…
10-01 11:55:35	wti up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x40e093…
10-01 03:55:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x16ac97…
09-30 18:50:00	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2c3a2d…
09-30 10:19:18	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3c9d92…
09-30 02:14:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaf8ba1…
09-28 17:12:12	will xagusd reach 64 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa83537…
09-27 20:48:50	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x543711…
09-27 06:12:41	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x409049…
09-26 21:28:18	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x952572…
09-26 07:49:26	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x26fe40…
09-23 08:17:10	will abnb reach 164 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd2e7e3…
09-23 00:11:05	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $710 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xfd80ea…
09-07 11:55:00	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x371721…
08-21 14:16:27	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x74fb82…
08-21 05:42:33	will tsla reach 352 50 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x459e91…
08-05 02:22:54	will trump say waitress during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421458	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xd50748…
08-04 18:22:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd782de…
08-04 09:53:24	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x37ea72…
08-04 01:52:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4aedb2…
08-03 17:51:42	will ng dip to 2 70 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x7eef09…
08-03 09:50:36	will abnb reach 162 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x1a3782…
08-02 21:07:51	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x933ff8…
08-02 00:31:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x80f778…
08-01 16:26:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xaba1e8…
08-01 06:04:57	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x37f41d…
07-31 22:04:35	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf4f7b1…
07-31 14:03:26	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3a2f23…