S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$41,656

Trades

2,216

Unique wallets

484

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-10-01

First seen

2026-09-30

last 10-01 20:30

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0 +14,174 Naive-Lotion +3,006 Irresponsible-Pop +2,281 (anon) +993 Hearty-Coast +900 Drab-Diploma +763 (anon) +762 Winged-Researcher +600

NO holders

Snarling-Pantology +3,558 (anon) +2,680 Irresponsible-Pop +2,590 (anon) +2,345 Naive-Lotion +2,074 Motherly-Coliseum +1,514 Disloyal-Dart +985 Instructive-Pagoda +833

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -17.7¢ (top1%: 46% YES on $12.9K vs crowd: 63% YES on $35.3K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	16	$17.0K	$4.7K	+$12.3K
🐬 Dolphin	58	$4.7K	$6.6K	$1.9K
🐟 Fish	43	$458	$1.2K	$737
🦐 Shrimp	367	$330	$470	$140

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	23	$5.9K	$7.0K	$1.1K
🏆 Top 5%	48	$961	$1.6K	$682
✅ Top 10%	8	$80	$300	$220
Median	266	$254	$512	$258
Below median	99	$197	$84	+$113
⚠️ Bottom 10%	13	$131	$557	$426
🔻 Bottom 5%	17	$432	$1.1K	$705
💀 Bottom 1%	10	$14.5K	$1.7K	+$12.8K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0 0xdefe…17f4	Up	+14,174	$11,075	$11,087	190	10-01 19:43
Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851	Down	+3,558	$668	$668	22	10-01 19:06
Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac	Up	+3,006	$1,675	$1,675	20	10-01 18:35
(anonymous) 0x1790…85f0	Down	+2,680	$859	$859	15	10-01 18:09
Irresponsible-Pop 0x06b2…9f35	Down	+2,590	$674	$674	20	10-01 18:06
(anonymous) 0x9994…08b0	Down	+2,345	$1,155	$1,155	45	10-01 15:01
Irresponsible-Pop 0x06b2…9f35	Up	+2,281	$1,628	$1,628	31	10-01 19:14
Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac	Down	+2,074	$1,095	$1,095	11	10-01 16:56
Motherly-Coliseum 0xadb4…1295	Down	+1,514	$90	$659	98	10-01 19:38
(anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4	Up	+993	$719	$719	12	10-01 12:45
Disloyal-Dart 0xf9e1…0458	Down	+985	$303	$1,444	149	10-01 16:50
Hearty-Coast 0x731a…033f	Up	+900	$899	$899	1	10-01 20:30
Instructive-Pagoda 0xb5b6…1fda	Down	+833	$100	$100	3	10-01 19:14
Petty-Archaeology 0x6f2a…de7d	Down	+816	-$23	$561	19	10-01 19:27
(anonymous) 0x9e8d…b0e1	Down	+800	$281	$525	29	10-01 14:03
Charming-Diffuse 0xf259…7592	Down	+800	$54	$54	3	10-01 19:37
Forceful-Emphasis 0x1d2f…ee71	Down	+788	$51	$199	25	10-01 19:38
Drab-Diploma 0xc2e5…b3a5	Up	+763	$340	$340	4	10-01 14:35
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e	Up	+762	$461	$461	56	10-01 19:59
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e	Down	+754	$296	$296	63	10-01 19:59
Watchful-Swordfish 0x24f6…7ce9	Down	+657	$42	$62	24	10-01 20:00
Winged-Researcher 0x5d63…9075	Up	+600	$508	$815	72	10-01 17:35
(anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4	Down	+565	$153	$153	11	10-01 11:40
Frail-Item 0x06ce…0b8b	Down	+506	$319	$395	41	10-01 19:31
Far-Precipitation 0x4df3…788f	Up	+481	$223	$223	2	10-01 15:05
Drab-Diploma 0xc2e5…b3a5	Down	+476	$116	$116	4	10-01 18:28
(anonymous) 0x88d9…35c7	Up	+421	$306	$306	7	10-01 11:05
Essential-Establishment 0xcbd0…dec4	Up	+404	$399	$399	2	10-01 19:50
Busy-Soap 0x0e68…826b	Down	+368	$136	$136	8	10-01 14:40
(anonymous) 0x760d…81bd	Down	+352	$130	$217	10	10-01 15:01
(anonymous) 0x9994…08b0	Up	+350	$247	$247	12	10-01 13:49
White-Generation 0x0a6e…00b9	Down	+338	$14	$148	62	10-01 19:43
Unpleasant-Distinction 0xf9ef…20eb	Up	+321	$199	$199	7	10-01 09:52
Flippant-Trader 0xc320…7637	Down	+291	$76	$336	21	10-01 18:23
Busy-Soap 0x0e68…826b	Up	+264	$168	$168	12	10-01 14:47
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	Up	+262	$163	$163	31	10-01 15:05
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	Down	+262	$104	$104	38	10-01 15:12
(anonymous) 0x58e8…8219	Down	+262	$60	$60	1	10-01 10:59
Frail-Item 0x06ce…0b8b	Up	+258	$282	$320	11	10-01 20:01
(anonymous) 0x115a…9d44	Down	+254	$3	$3	1	10-01 19:49
Unconscious-Cobbler 0x9876…38e6	Down	+249	$50	$50	4	10-01 17:31
(anonymous) 0x88d9…35c7	Down	+240	$69	$69	3	10-01 10:43
e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0 0xdefe…17f4	Down	+200	$172	$249	15	10-01 18:38
Pitiful-Retrospective 0xff63…b322	Down	+200	$42	$42	1	10-01 04:08
(anonymous) 0x08c8…7bfc	Down	+195	$150	$150	1	10-01 15:47
Far-Precipitation 0x4df3…788f	Down	+170	$32	$32	1	10-01 06:41
(anonymous) 0x3211…9ee3	Up	+105	$68	$68	5	10-01 18:33
Advanced-Mortgage 0xa8ae…8eb7	Up	+100	$13	$277	3	10-01 17:04
(anonymous) 0x9ab4…99e3	Up	+100	$46	$46	1	10-01 14:37
Loose-Participation 0x6aa4…236c	Up	+100	$54	$54	1	10-01 18:09
Personal-Communion 0x9e62…9d88	Up	+100	$53	$53	1	09-30 19:46
(anonymous) 0x5950…8c48	Up	+100	$37	$37	4	10-01 14:21
Dry-Instance 0x162e…fe52	Up	+96	$94	$94	7	10-01 19:58
(anonymous) 0x59bc…d222	Up	+88	$64	$71	4	10-01 18:22
(anonymous) 0xb607…60fb	Up	+73	$27	$27	4	10-01 15:38
Mortified-App 0x3b79…2886	Up	+65	$43	$43	7	10-01 00:30
(anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e	Up	+63	$44	$44	8	10-01 19:08
(anonymous) 0x5d3d…8105	Up	+55	$36	$36	6	10-01 19:08
(anonymous) 0x8b30…876e	Up	+51	$33	$33	6	10-01 18:28
(anonymous) 0xf1a2…516a	Up	+42	$23	$23	5	10-01 18:13