Lavish-Inglenook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

219

lifetime

Volume

$3.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$26

1 position

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-09 10:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

53% 100% +$2

Politics

43% 100% +$0

Crypto

2% 100% +$1

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		-31	$-28	84¢	$-26	+$2	06-08 10:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on june 4 2026	10	$282	382	121	+262	open	—	06-04 08:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	10	$202	118	118	+0	open	—	05-28 20:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$176	228	0	+228	open	—	05-29 19:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	6	$171	67	114	-47	open	—	06-06 11:02
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	7	$162	120	120	+0	open	—	06-02 18:23
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	3	$121	61	61	+0	open	—	05-24 17:03
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	6	$114	57	74	-17	open	—	06-04 07:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$107	59	59	+0	open	—	06-08 11:04
spx up or down on june 8 2026	7	$105	351	0	+351	open	—	06-08 11:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$102	71	71	+0	open	—	05-28 19:01
spx up or down on june 5 2026	7	$102	228	37	+191	open	—	06-05 13:37
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 29?	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	05-29 13:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$90	98	0	+98	open	—	05-17 12:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	4	$85	45	45	+0	open	—	06-01 13:31
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 2?	2	$85	33	55	-22	open	—	06-02 17:39
ukx up or down on june 4 2026	5	$80	86	0	+86	open	—	06-04 15:32
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 15?	2	$63	66	0	+66	open	—	05-15 10:12
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 1?	7	$61	65	11	+54	open	—	06-01 13:28
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	3	$61	113	113	+0	open	—	06-03 17:26
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on June 3?	5	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	06-03 15:04
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on June 1?	5	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	06-01 13:26
spx up or down on june 9 2026	2	$49	60	0	+60	open	—	06-09 10:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$48	13	45	-31	open	—	06-08 10:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$47	85	0	+85	open	—	05-26 12:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	3	$46	52	0	+52	open	—	05-29 19:21
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 12?	4	$46	48	22	+27	open	—	05-12 15:20
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	3	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	06-08 10:51
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	05-25 22:08
djia up or down on june 5 2026	3	$40	42	18	+24	open	—	06-05 13:17
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 3?	2	$35	37	0	+37	open	—	06-03 14:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 10:56:39	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x34eebd…
06-09 10:55:24	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	48	82¢	$39	0x49419e…
06-08 11:04:48	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	123	30¢	$37	0xe474a9…
06-08 11:04:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	59	94¢	$55	0xf5fc84…
06-08 11:02:19	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xad9b8e…
06-08 11:02:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xb289fc…
06-08 11:01:30	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xf85c41…
06-08 10:52:33	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	48	29¢	$14	0x7630b1…
06-08 10:51:40	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0xce8873…
06-08 10:48:22	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	123	28¢	$35	0x41b5a1…
06-08 10:46:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	45	85¢	$38	0x106a5d…
06-08 08:20:03	dax up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xbee77d…
06-08 08:19:46	dax up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x49f309…
06-08 08:19:33	dax up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x4ceff3…
06-08 08:18:46	dax up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x32f07c…
06-08 06:40:13	dax up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xdc4369…
06-08 06:38:43	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xdb9173…
06-08 06:38:06	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0xd8513e…
06-08 06:36:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb0681d…
06-08 06:36:07	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xece536…
06-07 16:57:42	djia up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xbfbf2f…
06-07 16:57:25	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0d9e3c…
06-07 16:56:40	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd0e293…
06-06 11:02:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd98e3b…
06-05 19:08:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x71f09d…
06-05 19:08:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x2da08e…
06-05 19:07:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x69798f…
06-05 19:02:36	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x0f7b09…
06-05 16:15:03	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe5c147…
06-05 16:00:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xc96be4…
06-05 16:00:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7e94de…
06-05 13:37:00	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	23	91¢	$21	0x07daf0…
06-05 13:18:00	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x4ad247…
06-05 13:17:45	djia up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xe2884f…
06-05 13:13:22	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xc9b4af…
06-05 13:10:22	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x2a23e9…
06-05 13:09:24	djia up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x6deb77…
06-05 11:46:13	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x0bcd78…
06-05 11:24:19	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0x3e1380…
06-05 11:21:09	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x36b3c1…
06-05 11:08:39	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	77	5¢	$4	0xd6828c…
06-05 10:44:58	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xdbe3e4…
06-05 10:44:52	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x899047…
06-05 09:24:34	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x08a200…
06-05 08:58:13	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xaaea8d…
06-05 05:55:04	djia up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x0607ad…
06-04 15:32:27	ukx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6c6b3d…
06-04 15:32:15	ukx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x260d61…
06-04 15:32:01	ukx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa0ec61…
06-04 15:30:36	dax up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xb8358a…
06-04 15:26:43	ukx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x99366b…
06-04 10:09:28	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3c0ac2…
06-04 10:08:12	Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb38a15…
06-04 10:08:04	Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x24b1f7…
06-04 10:07:36	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc95e95…
06-04 08:45:34	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x5628b6…
06-04 08:44:55	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xbf6c25…
06-04 08:30:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xb88bcf…
06-04 08:30:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x7a0feb…
06-04 08:28:16	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x152433…
06-04 08:07:49	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x9b924e…
06-04 07:56:01	dax up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x38ad9d…
06-04 07:55:19	ukx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xeec453…
06-04 07:54:49	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	72	40¢	$29	0x08b283…
06-04 07:37:48	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	57	95¢	$54	0x88aafb…
06-04 07:29:45	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x03f1c0…
06-04 07:28:43	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xd891fb…
06-04 07:26:00	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	49	57¢	$28	0x6dcf6e…
06-04 07:22:57	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	49	62¢	$30	0x1b90e0…
06-04 07:22:37	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	72	42¢	$30	0x91045b…
06-04 07:18:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	114	96¢	$108	0x1649cc…
06-03 17:26:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	113	0¢	$1	0xf4c61a…
06-03 15:04:24	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb8909e…
06-03 15:03:57	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x092429…
06-03 15:03:27	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xedf092…
06-03 14:52:51	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x3317c4…
06-03 14:52:36	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x0d9cfe…
06-03 14:26:03	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xd65af5…
06-03 11:15:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x828366…
06-03 10:48:18	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x335f37…
06-03 09:06:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x3ccfc9…
06-03 07:55:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x7137cd…
06-02 18:23:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	120	85¢	$102	0x0de121…
06-02 17:39:34	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xf1ae69…
06-02 10:56:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe9c579…
06-02 09:41:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x5bd52b…
06-02 09:40:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x35137b…
06-02 08:05:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x0c61c4…
06-02 08:05:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x1f06b1…
06-02 08:04:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc0bb42…
06-02 08:04:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x3c7fa2…
06-02 08:02:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x9efa89…
06-02 07:59:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x4e6760…
06-02 07:44:57	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x1edd26…
06-01 19:49:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9b198c…
06-01 18:09:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xd25984…
06-01 13:31:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	45	100¢	$44	0x219070…
06-01 13:28:46	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xab725a…
06-01 13:26:49	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x69d3b9…
06-01 13:26:35	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x968ff0…