Lavish-Inglenook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$358

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

188

Trades

483

lifetime

Volume

$3.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 10-16 03:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

48% 68% -$418

Politics

38% 95% +$149

Crypto

10% 62% -$57

Sports

4% 48% -$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on june 4 2026	10	$282	382	121	+262	Up	-$168	06-04 08:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	9	$215	127	114	+13	No	+$15	06-06 11:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	10	$202	118	118	+0	No	+$0	05-28 20:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$176	228	0	+228	No	+$52	05-29 19:54
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	7	$162	120	120	+0	Up	+$42	06-02 18:23
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	7	$124	74	74	+0	No	+$4	06-04 07:37
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	3	$121	61	61	+0	Yes	+$1	05-24 17:03
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	8	$117	10,059	59	+10,000	Yes	-$7	06-17 15:48
spx up or down on june 8 2026	7	$105	351	0	+351	Up	-$105	06-08 11:04
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 2?	3	$105	55	55	+0	Up	+$5	06-02 17:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$102	71	71	+0	No	+$6	05-28 19:01
spx up or down on june 5 2026	7	$102	228	37	+191	Down	-$38	06-05 13:37
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 29?	2	$101	51	51	+0	Up	+$1	05-29 13:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$90	98	0	+98	No	+$8	05-17 12:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	4	$85	45	45	+0	Up	+$3	06-01 13:31
ukx up or down on june 4 2026	5	$80	86	0	+86	Up	+$6	06-04 15:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$69	45	45	+0	Yes	+$7	06-08 10:46
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 15?	2	$63	66	0	+66	Down	+$3	05-15 10:12
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 1?	7	$61	65	11	+54	Down	-$5	06-01 13:28
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	3	$61	113	113	+0	Down	-$59	06-03 17:26
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on June 3?	5	$50	53	0	+53	Down	+$3	06-03 15:04
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on June 1?	5	$50	53	0	+53	Down	+$3	06-01 13:26
spx up or down on june 9 2026	2	$49	60	0	+60	Down	-$49	06-09 10:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$47	85	0	+85	No	+$38	05-26 12:56
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	3	$46	52	0	+52	Up	+$6	05-29 19:21
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on May 12?	4	$46	48	22	+27	Down	-$17	05-12 15:20
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	3	$44	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	06-08 10:51
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$43	23	23	+0	Yes	+$3	05-25 22:08
djia up or down on june 5 2026	3	$40	42	18	+24	Down	-$20	06-05 13:17
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 3?	2	$35	37	0	+37	Down	+$2	06-03 14:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 03:40:13	ukx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x94d7e6…
10-14 19:17:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x4f178a…
10-14 19:16:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x824421…
10-14 19:15:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x408017…
10-14 19:15:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x9202a3…
10-14 19:14:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf4f244…
10-14 19:11:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x696435…
10-14 19:11:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x1db044…
10-14 19:10:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x0f69bb…
10-14 19:10:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xd72701…
10-14 19:05:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1796c4…
10-14 19:04:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:05 UTC	Down	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xb97d22…
10-14 19:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd474b1…
10-14 19:02:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xb0f9d9…
10-14 19:01:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x48938e…
10-14 19:01:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x108cb8…
10-14 18:59:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd93733…
10-14 18:58:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:55 UTC	Down	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x2a1435…
10-14 18:52:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1f22fd…
10-14 18:48:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x82e350…
10-14 18:48:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x006567…
10-14 18:47:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x73bf6e…
10-14 18:46:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0x7d2b40…
10-14 18:43:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfd1ea4…
10-14 18:42:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:40 UTC	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xc5cd67…
10-14 18:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x412943…
10-14 18:37:04	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcafa82…
10-14 16:39:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2635db…
10-14 16:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf4abf1…
10-14 16:32:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x52010e…
10-14 16:32:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x914a33…
10-14 16:30:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xc679f7…
10-14 16:29:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfe7558…
10-14 16:22:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8047bb…
10-14 16:21:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbbe862…
10-14 16:21:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x869393…
10-14 16:19:55	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb4bf69…
10-12 06:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2473a4…
10-12 06:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xca412f…
10-12 06:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x328ad5…
10-12 06:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x91f4b8…
10-09 06:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe4f077…
10-09 06:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb1c102…
10-08 18:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc667c9…
10-08 18:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x225aa1…
10-08 18:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4a277f…
10-08 17:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa4fbec…
10-08 17:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb6211a…
10-08 17:06:15	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x082a57…
10-08 17:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x019ed4…
10-08 17:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x92acbd…
10-08 17:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x015261…
10-08 17:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x9909b5…
10-08 17:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x57d551…
10-08 17:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xad52f6…
10-08 16:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb617d9…
10-08 16:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5774de…
10-08 16:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xdc544e…
10-08 16:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x98a132…
10-08 16:54:06	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xc5e488…
10-08 10:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0xcf3310…
10-08 10:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xc680c2…
10-08 10:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x94a2b7…
10-08 10:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x903e1f…
10-08 10:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb748da…
10-08 10:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x632c8d…
10-08 10:15:02	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x715a16…
10-08 10:14:41	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xff02ed…
10-08 05:19:29	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa8bf18…
10-07 22:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3e7662…
10-07 17:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0bb4cf…
10-07 17:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe0f120…
10-07 17:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xed2fb7…
10-07 17:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x485a6f…
10-07 17:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc68b7c…
10-07 17:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xebfabe…
10-07 17:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x3275a5…
10-07 17:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3d8af5…
10-07 17:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x079607…
10-07 17:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x321cda…
10-07 17:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xeacad7…
10-07 17:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x015660…
10-07 17:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x26f257…
10-07 16:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5afa65…
10-07 16:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xc40e3c…
10-07 16:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf74c88…
10-07 16:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0d58e2…
10-07 16:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x38b2ce…
10-07 16:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc205cd…
10-07 16:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x20a277…
10-07 16:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7413b2…
10-07 16:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x881e43…
10-07 16:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x434678…
10-07 16:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xd6e009…
10-07 16:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7ed57f…
10-07 16:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x11b56e…
10-07 16:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcaf941…
10-07 16:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x626055…
10-07 16:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa66cdb…
10-07 16:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x9a1a9c…