Frail-Item — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$221

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

Trades

5,877

lifetime

Volume

$89.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 07-01 12:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

100% 53% +$221

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 270 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spy up or down on june 23 2026	51	$2.2K	1,132	1,128	+5	open	—	06-23 17:17
spy up or down on june 25 2026	92	$1.8K	1,449	1,448	+1	open	—	06-25 20:00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	96	$1.8K	1,654	1,275	+379	open	—	05-15 20:23
spx up or down on june 8 2026	75	$1.7K	1,533	1,480	+53	open	—	06-08 19:57
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	65	$1.6K	1,657	811	+846	open	—	05-27 20:15
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	76	$1.4K	1,485	1,099	+386	open	—	05-28 19:45
spy up or down on june 29 2026	51	$1.3K	779	766	+13	open	—	06-29 17:34
spy up or down on june 8 2026	75	$1.3K	1,662	1,507	+155	open	—	06-08 19:57
spy up or down on june 9 2026	47	$1.2K	898	895	+3	open	—	06-09 19:58
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 28?	74	$1.1K	1,298	776	+522	open	—	05-28 19:38
spy up or down on june 24 2026	60	$1.1K	1,301	582	+719	open	—	06-24 19:21
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	48	$1.1K	930	922	+8	open	—	05-18 19:59
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	56	$1.1K	1,033	1,144	-111	open	—	06-02 19:29
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	57	$1.1K	1,033	1,144	-111	open	—	06-02 19:29
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 26?	38	$1.1K	886	349	+537	open	—	05-26 17:38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	78	$1.0K	1,185	877	+308	open	—	05-14 20:11
spx up or down on june 25 2026	75	$1.0K	1,378	991	+387	open	—	06-25 19:29
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 22?	33	$1.0K	999	742	+257	open	—	05-22 20:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 14?	76	$1.0K	1,168	870	+298	open	—	05-14 18:35
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	55	$1.0K	938	761	+176	open	—	05-27 20:20
spy up or down on june 12 2026	51	$982	1,047	537	+510	open	—	06-12 19:40
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 13?	57	$942	1,039	730	+308	No	+$78	05-13 18:16
spy closes above 755 on june 16 2026	51	$893	575	560	+15	open	—	06-16 19:45
spx up or down on june 16 2026	79	$880	1,185	1,137	+48	open	—	06-16 19:45
spy up or down on june 11 2026	67	$875	917	870	+47	open	—	06-11 19:05
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?	57	$855	1,345	533	+813	open	—	05-26 16:05
spy up or down on june 30 2026	51	$848	730	206	+524	open	—	06-30 17:04
wti closes above 90 on june 8 2026	30	$848	491	477	+14	open	—	06-08 15:24
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	35	$845	713	713	+0	open	—	05-19 19:39
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	62	$844	1,049	740	+308	Down	+$11	05-13 18:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 13:34:19	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x64d135…
07-01 13:34:04	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x977583…
07-01 13:32:10	nvda up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x6b8d29…
07-01 13:31:44	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x6e1eee…
07-01 13:31:44	wti closes above 70 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x642233…
07-01 13:31:40	wti closes above 70 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x8741a9…
07-01 13:31:40	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x274404…
07-01 13:31:35	wti closes above 70 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xe8c9ea…
07-01 13:31:35	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x3269ba…
07-01 13:30:56	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xdf6399…
07-01 13:30:56	wti closes above 70 on july 1 2026	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x91d75e…
07-01 13:30:53	wti closes above 70 on july 1 2026	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xb8f85c…
07-01 13:30:53	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x357dbf…
07-01 13:30:14	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xeb5bf6…
07-01 13:30:13	wti closes above 70 on july 1 2026	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xaafa2c…
07-01 13:30:02	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xefe353…
07-01 13:30:02	wti closes above 70 on july 1 2026	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x3b3262…
07-01 13:08:19	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xeb5e97…
07-01 13:06:35	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0ea54a…
07-01 13:06:22	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xb69d81…
07-01 13:06:20	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x93ee06…
07-01 12:55:47	nvda up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x3004b2…
07-01 12:45:04	nvda close above 200 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xf37413…
07-01 12:45:04	nvda up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x1af499…
07-01 12:45:01	nvda up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa43d7e…
07-01 12:44:59	nvda close above 200 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcc1826…
07-01 12:44:50	nvda up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x1adc1c…
07-01 12:29:04	googl up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xc42728…
07-01 12:25:02	googl up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xc42c91…
07-01 12:24:55	googl up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xc21607…
07-01 12:24:38	googl up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xafae9f…
07-01 12:24:31	googl up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x1ef6c2…
07-01 12:19:35	googl up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x784f54…
07-01 12:19:31	googl up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x08b538…
07-01 12:19:26	wti closes above 70 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0x937e1e…
07-01 12:19:25	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	45	12¢	$5	0xcc62de…
07-01 12:08:07	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	45	12¢	$5	0xe4f449…
07-01 12:08:07	wti closes above 70 on july 1 2026	No	SELL	45	89¢	$40	0xbdd732…
07-01 11:53:55	wti closes above 70 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x348dfe…
07-01 11:53:55	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x324b5c…
07-01 11:53:52	wti closes above 70 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x3af242…
07-01 11:53:52	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x338c60…
07-01 11:53:49	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x6fe420…
07-01 11:53:47	wti closes above 70 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xf37f95…
07-01 10:06:43	meta up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xf6e8ef…
07-01 02:43:25	pltr up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x48cf60…
07-01 02:43:20	pltr up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x9435ba…
07-01 02:43:14	pltr up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xa1e4ab…
07-01 02:28:10	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x234442…
07-01 02:28:10	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x11c532…
07-01 02:28:05	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xd99431…
07-01 02:28:05	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x2355cb…
07-01 02:28:02	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x202c4a…
07-01 02:28:01	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x77c00e…
07-01 02:27:58	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x52e22c…
07-01 02:27:58	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x2b8e89…
07-01 02:06:56	googl up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xed8eda…
07-01 02:06:50	googl up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xe2804d…
07-01 02:06:25	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xe0a8a7…
07-01 02:05:49	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x0fd27f…
07-01 02:04:46	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x88074b…
07-01 01:56:35	wti closes above 70 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	39	56¢	$22	0x677b93…
07-01 01:56:35	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	39	41¢	$16	0x5d9e37…
07-01 01:56:32	wti up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xdb76b4…
07-01 01:56:32	wti closes above 70 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x960770…
07-01 01:35:59	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x8dc4cf…
07-01 01:33:56	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x6a2d5a…
07-01 01:26:23	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x520dfa…
07-01 01:26:23	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x379a62…
07-01 01:17:35	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x1ffddc…
07-01 01:17:19	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xbfec4a…
07-01 01:11:44	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xafbb80…
07-01 01:10:41	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xf8b4eb…
06-30 23:56:31	tsla up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x45ccc1…
06-30 23:40:32	meta up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xb1cb7e…
06-30 23:40:28	meta up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xe3395e…
06-30 22:53:10	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd14e70…
06-30 22:53:10	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x080223…
06-30 22:53:07	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd87a7e…
06-30 22:53:07	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5b869e…
06-30 22:53:04	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x6966f7…
06-30 22:53:02	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x0c8e7a…
06-30 22:17:07	tsla up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x195a48…
06-30 21:49:07	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xa83b45…
06-30 21:49:07	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x3afa94…
06-30 21:33:52	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xec3a9c…
06-30 21:33:52	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3db243…
06-30 21:28:38	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x8a5a62…
06-30 21:28:38	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x131cbc…
06-30 21:25:52	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xdffd93…
06-30 21:25:52	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd34dd4…
06-30 19:53:40	wti up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x59f840…
06-30 19:53:02	wti up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x8ed55a…
06-30 19:49:04	wti up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x1818bd…
06-30 19:26:07	amzn up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa7f1c0…
06-30 19:25:46	amzn up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xe37810…
06-30 19:25:46	amzn up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x551448…
06-30 19:23:40	amzn close above 240 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x7d7e5e…
06-30 19:01:37	tsla up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x468777…
06-30 19:01:28	tsla up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xda7bae…