Advanced-Mortgage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$607

Unrealized P&L

-$270

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

524

lifetime

Volume

$78.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$149

Open exposure

$260

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-06 19:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

77% 0% $-337

Politics

18% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-270

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+1,000	$190	17¢	$170	$-20	07-06 19:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+2,000	$340	4¢	$90	$-250	07-05 20:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$16.6K	10,400	10,400	+0	open	—	06-25 09:30
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	13	$9.4K	6,094	6,094	+0	open	—	07-04 10:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	21	$8.9K	0	9,386	-9,386	open	—	06-04 19:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$4.6K	5,060	3,060	+2,000	open	—	07-05 20:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$3.4K	1,828	1,828	+0	open	—	05-26 20:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$3.0K	1,640	1,640	+0	open	—	04-27 20:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-12 13:09
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$2.5K	1,670	1,670	+0	open	—	02-24 07:36
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	6	$2.1K	2,029	2,000	+29	open	—	03-11 22:21
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$1.7K	1,228	1,228	+0	open	—	03-21 15:24
iran strike on israel by february 28	12	$1.2K	700	700	+0	open	—	02-27 07:19
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$1.2K	1,514	0	+1,514	open	—	04-15 13:00
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	5	$954	880	880	+0	open	—	02-27 07:19
nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	4	$937	695	695	+0	open	—	02-23 11:17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	12	$904	1,543	0	+1,543	open	—	01-24 17:38
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	6	$901	500	500	+0	open	—	07-03 05:51
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	2	$730	500	500	+0	open	—	02-24 07:39
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	2	$702	858	0	+858	open	—	02-06 07:06
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	5	$596	500	500	+0	open	—	03-23 11:30
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	3	$574	400	400	+0	open	—	01-26 12:39
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$546	300	300	+0	open	—	02-11 11:06
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$539	620	620	+0	open	—	03-19 08:55
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by december 31	3	$531	751	0	+751	open	—	02-19 08:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$529	630	630	+0	open	—	05-11 21:08
bitcoin up or down on february 4	5	$514	1,168	0	+1,168	open	—	02-04 11:46
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?	1	$473	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	02-27 09:55
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$453	750	0	+750	open	—	03-06 06:42
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	2	$435	500	0	+500	open	—	01-15 08:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$427	240	240	+0	open	—	05-27 06:27
will powell say median during january press conference 776	2	$400	818	0	+818	open	—	01-28 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 19:04:43	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	19¢	$190	0xe64eeb…
07-05 20:31:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	17¢	$170	0xc3261f…
07-04 23:09:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	496	17¢	$84	0xaec99a…
07-04 22:58:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	504	17¢	$86	0xd0eec8…
07-04 10:59:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	234	95¢	$223	0x5be62a…
07-04 10:59:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x620d8f…
07-04 10:59:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	67	95¢	$63	0x46f0da…
07-04 10:59:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x27f30f…
07-04 10:59:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1,773	95¢	$1,684	0xe493a3…
07-04 06:50:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,530	76¢	$1,163	0x9e41e0…
07-03 16:30:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1,702	93¢	$1,583	0x48331c…
07-03 16:28:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x85e188…
07-03 16:20:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,530	75¢	$1,148	0xb77f8c…
07-03 16:18:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	420	93¢	$390	0x06c4c1…
07-03 05:51:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0x6ac377…
06-28 20:28:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	60¢	$600	0xe01437…
06-26 21:11:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	19	81¢	$16	0x6eef3a…
06-26 21:10:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x923014…
06-26 21:10:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	34	81¢	$28	0x98cdd0…
06-26 21:09:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	405	81¢	$328	0x85c83f…
06-26 21:08:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x6b8add…
06-25 15:27:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1,830	66¢	$1,208	0xd97c14…
06-25 09:35:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,830	65¢	$1,190	0x07689c…
06-25 09:30:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	600	5¢	$30	0x836a32…
06-24 09:53:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$15	0x9f9f70…
06-22 21:40:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2,822	71¢	$2,000	0xd8ddda…
06-22 18:11:23	btc updown 5m 1782151800	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc9d890…
06-22 18:01:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,433	70¢	$1,000	0xc3e749…
06-20 13:37:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	9,800	91¢	$8,918	0x240e50…
06-14 20:14:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xb38eeb…
06-04 19:11:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,900	67¢	$1,273	0x8d6b34…
06-04 19:10:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1,305	96¢	$1,255	0xf3291e…
06-04 19:07:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6,500	84¢	$5,460	0x68e29e…
06-04 19:06:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	3,000	96¢	$2,886	0x51545b…
06-04 19:06:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	2,696	96¢	$2,594	0x16f6cd…
06-03 17:19:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	160	65¢	$104	0x39cc00…
05-28 09:06:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,300	66¢	$2,164	0xd3ea85…
05-28 07:48:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1,448	92¢	$1,332	0x7a14d4…
05-28 07:47:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	34	92¢	$31	0xa0a111…
05-28 07:44:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x2ae812…
05-28 07:36:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	54	92¢	$50	0x7d3053…
05-28 07:13:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	300	92¢	$276	0x10b1e7…
05-28 07:12:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x03b3dc…
05-28 07:10:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9e7c3a…
05-28 07:09:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xa6512a…
05-28 06:37:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xbb61c6…
05-28 06:37:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xdc34c7…
05-28 06:37:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0xb24d7e…
05-28 06:37:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb9b3b1…
05-28 06:37:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2c7b20…
05-28 06:26:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	395	92¢	$363	0xfb5233…
05-28 05:57:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x53d1a3…
05-28 05:56:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9cce15…
05-28 05:56:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0xc4664b…
05-28 05:39:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	77	92¢	$71	0x63a3ed…
05-27 06:27:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	240	99¢	$237	0x47ec38…
05-26 20:00:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,795	98¢	$1,759	0x6c5ca7…
05-26 19:44:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$33	0x9425eb…
05-15 10:01:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	240	79¢	$190	0xb53145…
05-12 13:10:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,538	91¢	$1,400	0xd1c3c9…
05-12 13:09:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1,500	99¢	$1,491	0x2caaca…
05-11 21:11:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	290	88¢	$255	0xa734ef…
05-11 21:08:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	630	25¢	$158	0x1baf69…
05-05 08:03:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	BUY	770	10¢	$77	0x49b665…
05-05 08:01:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	BUY	444	9¢	$40	0xba4b95…
05-05 08:01:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	BUY	69	8¢	$6	0x165b31…
05-05 07:27:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	BUY	1,175	9¢	$106	0xbf15e6…
05-05 07:09:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	BUY	1,140	8¢	$91	0xd91c42…
05-05 07:09:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	BUY	214	8¢	$17	0x3d04e2…
04-27 21:02:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xfc2a63…
04-27 20:58:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xaf164b…
04-27 20:58:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	59¢	$206	0x3bd5d4…
04-27 20:54:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	273	59¢	$161	0xeb7f7c…
04-27 20:51:56	Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$17	0xcd84a2…
04-27 20:45:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1,500	83¢	$1,245	0x1a106d…
04-27 20:37:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,640	100¢	$1,633	0xf02567…
04-23 09:10:58	spy closes above 700 on april 23 2026	No	BUY	390	13¢	$50	0xc5c191…
04-22 09:27:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x8bc81a…
04-15 13:00:00	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	585	81¢	$474	0x94e6b0…
04-09 10:43:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	240	75¢	$180	0xa28c63…
04-07 21:13:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	121	72¢	$87	0xe38849…
04-07 21:13:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x611ff5…
04-07 21:13:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	271	72¢	$195	0x863788…
04-07 21:06:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	98	7¢	$7	0x374104…
04-07 21:05:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	402	7¢	$28	0x344adf…
03-23 16:55:51	will bitcoin reach 72k on march 23	Yes	BUY	80	32¢	$26	0x5ddcbf…
03-23 16:47:55	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	120	64¢	$77	0x413217…
03-23 11:42:41	will bitcoin reach 72k on march 23	Yes	BUY	400	53¢	$212	0xca7f4e…
03-23 11:30:37	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	500	54¢	$271	0xf1592d…
03-23 07:25:51	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	68¢	$64	0x7eedc7…
03-23 07:06:03	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0xa0557d…
03-23 06:44:21	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xcf23f5…
03-23 06:44:13	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x7f427b…
03-23 06:44:13	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x1da215…
03-21 15:24:15	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	767	65¢	$500	0x7c7e7b…
03-21 14:39:57	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	76¢	$91	0xe01bdc…
03-21 14:26:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	461	65¢	$301	0x1bed0e…
03-20 15:08:35	will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$1	0x4b69f2…
03-19 08:55:57	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	537	44¢	$236	0x956b33…
03-19 08:52:57	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x0506c5…