Advanced-Mortgage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$607

Unrealized P&L

+$1.30K

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

494

lifetime

Volume

$55.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

$10.3K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 06-04 19:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

69% 0% $-337

Politics

25% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-270

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+9,800	$7,624	90¢	$8.9K	+$1,245	06-04 19:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+2,060	$1,377	70¢	$1.4K	+$55	06-04 19:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	21	$8.9K	0	9,386	-9,386	open	—	06-04 19:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$7.6K	9,800	0	+9,800	open	—	06-04 19:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$3.4K	1,828	1,828	+0	open	—	05-26 20:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$3.0K	1,640	1,640	+0	open	—	04-27 20:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-12 13:09
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$2.5K	1,670	1,670	+0	open	—	02-24 07:36
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	6	$2.1K	2,029	2,000	+29	open	—	03-11 22:21
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$1.7K	1,228	1,228	+0	open	—	03-21 15:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$1.4K	2,060	0	+2,060	open	—	06-04 19:11
iran strike on israel by february 28	12	$1.2K	700	700	+0	open	—	02-27 07:19
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$1.2K	1,514	0	+1,514	open	—	04-15 13:00
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	5	$954	880	880	+0	open	—	02-27 07:19
nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	4	$937	695	695	+0	open	—	02-23 11:17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	12	$904	1,543	0	+1,543	open	—	01-24 17:38
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	2	$730	500	500	+0	open	—	02-24 07:39
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	2	$702	858	0	+858	open	—	02-06 07:06
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	5	$596	500	500	+0	open	—	03-23 11:30
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	3	$574	400	400	+0	open	—	01-26 12:39
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$546	300	300	+0	open	—	02-11 11:06
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$539	620	620	+0	open	—	03-19 08:55
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by december 31	3	$531	751	0	+751	open	—	02-19 08:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$529	630	630	+0	open	—	05-11 21:08
bitcoin up or down on february 4	5	$514	1,168	0	+1,168	open	—	02-04 11:46
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?	1	$473	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	02-27 09:55
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$453	750	0	+750	open	—	03-06 06:42
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	2	$435	500	0	+500	open	—	01-15 08:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$427	240	240	+0	open	—	05-27 06:27
will powell say median during january press conference 776	2	$400	818	0	+818	open	—	01-28 14:25
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	4	$382	457	0	+457	open	—	01-23 11:41
iran strike on israel by january 31	3	$381	450	0	+450	open	—	01-22 13:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 19:11:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,900	67¢	$1,273	0x8d6b34…
06-04 19:10:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1,305	96¢	$1,255	0xf3291e…
06-04 19:07:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6,500	84¢	$5,460	0x68e29e…
06-04 19:06:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	3,000	96¢	$2,886	0x51545b…
06-04 19:06:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	2,696	96¢	$2,594	0x16f6cd…
06-03 17:19:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	160	65¢	$104	0x39cc00…
05-28 09:06:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,300	66¢	$2,164	0xd3ea85…
05-28 07:48:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1,448	92¢	$1,332	0x7a14d4…
05-28 07:47:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	34	92¢	$31	0xa0a111…
05-28 07:44:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x2ae812…
05-28 07:36:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	54	92¢	$50	0x7d3053…
05-28 07:13:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	300	92¢	$276	0x10b1e7…
05-28 07:12:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x03b3dc…
05-28 07:10:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9e7c3a…
05-28 07:09:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xa6512a…
05-28 06:37:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xbb61c6…
05-28 06:37:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xdc34c7…
05-28 06:37:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0xb24d7e…
05-28 06:37:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb9b3b1…
05-28 06:37:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2c7b20…
05-28 06:26:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	395	92¢	$363	0xfb5233…
05-28 05:57:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x53d1a3…
05-28 05:56:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9cce15…
05-28 05:56:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0xc4664b…
05-28 05:39:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	77	92¢	$71	0x63a3ed…
05-27 06:27:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	240	99¢	$237	0x47ec38…
05-26 20:00:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,795	98¢	$1,759	0x6c5ca7…
05-26 19:44:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$33	0x9425eb…
05-15 10:01:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	240	79¢	$190	0xb53145…
05-12 13:10:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,538	91¢	$1,400	0xd1c3c9…
05-12 13:09:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1,500	99¢	$1,491	0x2caaca…
05-11 21:11:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	290	88¢	$255	0xa734ef…
05-11 21:08:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	630	25¢	$158	0x1baf69…
05-05 08:03:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	BUY	770	10¢	$77	0x49b665…
05-05 08:01:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	BUY	444	9¢	$40	0xba4b95…
05-05 08:01:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	BUY	69	8¢	$6	0x165b31…
05-05 07:27:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	BUY	1,175	9¢	$106	0xbf15e6…
05-05 07:09:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	BUY	1,140	8¢	$91	0xd91c42…
05-05 07:09:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	BUY	214	8¢	$17	0x3d04e2…
04-27 21:02:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xfc2a63…
04-27 20:58:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xaf164b…
04-27 20:58:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	59¢	$206	0x3bd5d4…
04-27 20:54:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	273	59¢	$161	0xeb7f7c…
04-27 20:51:56	Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$17	0xcd84a2…
04-27 20:45:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1,500	83¢	$1,245	0x1a106d…
04-27 20:37:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,640	100¢	$1,633	0xf02567…
04-23 09:10:58	spy closes above 700 on april 23 2026	No	BUY	390	13¢	$50	0xc5c191…
04-22 09:27:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x8bc81a…
04-15 13:00:00	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	585	81¢	$474	0x94e6b0…
04-09 10:43:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	240	75¢	$180	0xa28c63…
04-07 21:13:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	121	72¢	$87	0xe38849…
04-07 21:13:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x611ff5…
04-07 21:13:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	271	72¢	$195	0x863788…
04-07 21:06:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	98	7¢	$7	0x374104…
04-07 21:05:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	402	7¢	$28	0x344adf…
03-23 16:55:51	will bitcoin reach 72k on march 23	Yes	BUY	80	32¢	$26	0x5ddcbf…
03-23 16:47:55	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	120	64¢	$77	0x413217…
03-23 11:42:41	will bitcoin reach 72k on march 23	Yes	BUY	400	53¢	$212	0xca7f4e…
03-23 11:30:37	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	500	54¢	$271	0xf1592d…
03-23 07:25:51	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	68¢	$64	0x7eedc7…
03-23 07:06:03	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0xa0557d…
03-23 06:44:21	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xcf23f5…
03-23 06:44:13	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x7f427b…
03-23 06:44:13	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x1da215…
03-21 15:24:15	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	767	65¢	$500	0x7c7e7b…
03-21 14:39:57	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	76¢	$91	0xe01bdc…
03-21 14:26:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	461	65¢	$301	0x1bed0e…
03-20 15:08:35	will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$1	0x4b69f2…
03-19 08:55:57	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	537	44¢	$236	0x956b33…
03-19 08:52:57	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x0506c5…
03-19 08:45:35	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	78	44¢	$34	0x85b246…
03-17 07:46:53	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	580	85¢	$495	0xaf41d6…
03-14 15:11:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	160	91¢	$146	0x349fc8…
03-11 22:24:43	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	620	43¢	$267	0x044f13…
03-11 22:22:53	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1,068	69¢	$739	0x4514cb…
03-11 22:21:37	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0x0b6ab6…
03-11 22:17:15	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	1,000	43¢	$426	0xd4c93f…
03-11 13:26:03	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xa2144e…
03-11 09:39:49	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0x834773…
03-10 17:06:35	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	590	60¢	$354	0xc357d5…
03-10 17:06:05	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	287	60¢	$172	0xd5a5b1…
03-10 16:45:11	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	123	60¢	$74	0x63e40b…
03-10 15:39:29	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	2,000	53¢	$1,069	0x1d0571…
03-10 15:16:35	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0x500e45…
03-10 15:13:35	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	300	63¢	$189	0x9a2cad…
03-06 09:51:09	Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x73f578…
03-06 06:42:11	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	150	55¢	$82	0x2bb9e3…
03-05 18:19:35	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x881ac9…
03-05 09:17:15	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xe78fc6…
03-05 09:14:47	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x86d110…
03-05 09:14:45	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf8e5ce…
03-05 09:14:45	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	492	65¢	$320	0x4e3676…
03-04 17:21:21	Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x6bea54…
03-04 12:29:01	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x4ad9ca…
03-04 11:50:33	Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x79fe6e…
03-04 11:50:01	Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x2e5d69…
03-04 11:49:53	Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xaef182…
03-04 07:15:33	crint zaf nzl 2026 03 04 toss winner	South Africa	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdbd82b…
03-04 03:54:41	Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0xfb4ff9…
03-04 01:32:37	Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x67ae0c…