Advanced-Mortgage 0xa8ae9f…a38eb7
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$13.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.27K
Hit rate
80.5%
Resolved
287
Trades
1,166
lifetime
Volume
$214.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$184
Open exposure
$18.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-27 15:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 131 days
Categories
Other
65% 48% +$9,151
Politics
25% 57% +$3,205
Tech
5% 50% +$1,210
Crypto
3% 34% -$185
Sports
2% 38% -$326
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -7,000 -$5,880 96¢ $-6730 -$850 05-26 21:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +2,700 $1,992 97¢ $2.6K +$627 10-07 07:34
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +1,240 $919 88¢ $1.1K +$179 08-24 18:55
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +1,388 $734 58¢ $812 +$77 10-03 14:11
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +800 $686 97¢ $772 +$86 10-05 07:33
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1,401 $901 38¢ $538 -$363 09-16 11:25
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +700 $447 68¢ $480 +$32 10-09 06:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +800 $260 52¢ $412 +$152 10-02 19:37
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -940 $601 44¢ $-409 -$1,010 07-23 19:27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$358 16¢ $-399 -$41 08-05 19:24
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +415 $270 89¢ $369 +$99 10-06 21:25
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +375 $172 88¢ $328 +$156 09-10 05:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +400 $337 82¢ $326 -$11 10-02 20:36
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +390 $300 82¢ $318 +$18 08-31 20:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +320 $259 94¢ $299 +$40 10-08 14:44
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No +400 $255 74¢ $298 +$43 09-15 21:18
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +500 $371 59¢ $295 -$76 09-15 07:24
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +600 $327 46¢ $279 -$48 10-02 19:47
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +800 $412 34¢ $268 -$144 09-14 07:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +320 $170 76¢ $243 +$74 09-23 08:27
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -256 -$223 94¢ $-242 -$19 07-27 11:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +373 $284 64¢ $241 -$43 10-27 15:11
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +600 $298 32¢ $195 -$103 08-31 19:43
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +300 $250 65¢ $194 -$56 10-01 14:44
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -800 -$168 18¢ $-146 +$22 08-05 19:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922 Yes +378 $200 38¢ $142 -$59 10-01 19:34
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +135 $128 95¢ $128 +$1 10-26 20:12
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No -123 -$102 96¢ $-118 -$16 05-12 04:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +600 $150 20¢ $117 -$33 10-01 15:09
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +100 $82 82¢ $82 $0 09-20 10:37