Advanced-Mortgage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$607

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

698

lifetime

Volume

$134.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$193

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 08-18 16:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

67% 0% $-337

Politics

27% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-270

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$16.6K	10,400	10,400	+0	open	—	06-25 09:30
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	13	$9.4K	6,094	6,094	+0	open	—	07-04 10:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	21	$8.9K	0	9,386	-9,386	open	—	06-04 19:10
iran full airspace closure by august 15	7	$6.9K	4,324	3,595	+729	open	—	08-08 09:28
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	23	$5.0K	3,030	3,030	+0	open	—	08-11 03:05
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	3	$4.8K	6,112	0	+6,112	open	—	08-07 16:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$4.6K	5,060	3,060	+2,000	open	—	07-05 20:31
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	5	$4.3K	5,090	0	+5,090	open	—	07-25 08:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$3.4K	1,828	1,828	+0	open	—	05-26 20:00
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	4	$3.0K	1,795	1,795	+0	open	—	07-27 19:55
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	6	$3.0K	2,001	1,570	+431	open	—	07-29 23:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$3.0K	1,640	1,640	+0	open	—	04-27 20:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-12 13:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	5	$2.6K	1,482	1,482	+0	open	—	08-10 07:39
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$2.5K	1,670	1,670	+0	open	—	02-24 07:36
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	6	$2.1K	2,029	2,000	+29	open	—	03-11 22:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	2	$1.8K	2,120	0	+2,120	open	—	07-09 14:11
will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	3	$1.8K	2,582	0	+2,582	open	—	07-25 08:02
us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-23 08:00
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$1.7K	1,228	1,228	+0	open	—	03-21 15:24
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	7	$1.6K	1,828	829	+1,000	open	—	08-11 09:02
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	5	$1.6K	1,723	0	+1,723	open	—	07-21 08:35
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	4	$1.4K	667	1,200	-533	open	—	07-21 16:35
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	4	$1.3K	1,997	200	+1,797	open	—	08-11 18:54
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	2	$1.3K	1,045	1,045	+0	open	—	08-10 07:28
iran strike on israel by february 28	12	$1.2K	700	700	+0	open	—	02-27 07:19
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$1.2K	1,514	0	+1,514	open	—	04-15 13:00
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	5	$954	880	880	+0	open	—	02-27 07:19
nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	4	$937	695	695	+0	open	—	02-23 11:17
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	2	$930	1,000	250	+750	open	—	08-18 16:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 16:53:52	will the spacex starship launch from florida by december 31 2026 20260617154758584	No	BUY	63	77¢	$49	0x686733…
08-18 16:48:46	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	SELL	250	84¢	$210	0x7956b3…
08-18 14:21:46	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	72	83¢	$60	0xff4382…
08-18 13:03:27	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	460	75¢	$347	0x4c7607…
08-18 11:40:39	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 14 starship 563	Yes	BUY	368	28¢	$103	0x26643e…
08-17 20:15:06	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	SELL	250	78¢	$195	0xfa5ec2…
08-17 18:56:36	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	SELL	250	78¢	$195	0x8c24f9…
08-17 14:28:16	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 14 starship 563	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x32624b…
08-17 10:27:33	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0xc51c44…
08-17 10:25:36	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	171	89¢	$153	0xb40d47…
08-17 10:21:43	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 15	No	BUY	1,000	33¢	$328	0x3bc69f…
08-17 10:20:40	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 14 starship 563	Yes	BUY	112	37¢	$41	0xec9fb7…
08-17 10:19:57	will spacex starship flight test 14 superheavy pop 933	No	SELL	1,608	21¢	$338	0x382b84…
08-17 10:16:42	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	115	9¢	$10	0x9da137…
08-17 10:14:06	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	No	BUY	250	93¢	$232	0x7fda5f…
08-17 08:55:48	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	SELL	86	9¢	$8	0x811d89…
08-17 08:31:27	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x3cc2df…
08-17 07:32:10	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x61b7a9…
08-17 07:04:30	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	180	81¢	$146	0xe01eab…
08-17 05:23:42	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0x5a0999…
08-17 05:15:33	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x4a290d…
08-17 05:09:54	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xfac1e3…
08-17 05:08:04	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xcc97ed…
08-17 05:02:13	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$14	0x6ae201…
08-17 05:00:54	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 15	No	BUY	830	33¢	$273	0x869fd9…
08-11 19:26:18	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	No	BUY	439	74¢	$327	0xa2dc2b…
08-11 19:25:39	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x5094fe…
08-11 18:54:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	1,797	64¢	$1,150	0x7af432…
08-11 09:02:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	171	94¢	$161	0xd87f49…
08-11 09:00:58	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 15	No	BUY	170	24¢	$42	0x63a924…
08-11 08:58:16	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	210	71¢	$149	0xa469c3…
08-11 07:32:16	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	115	8¢	$9	0xa5d88f…
08-11 03:05:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	858	99¢	$852	0x84a5a3…
08-11 02:55:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	199	99¢	$197	0xdcd0f9…
08-11 02:47:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	155	99¢	$154	0x7a63de…
08-11 02:38:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	199	99¢	$197	0x2fd86a…
08-11 02:29:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x7e3ab4…
08-11 02:25:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	169	99¢	$167	0xfc7803…
08-11 02:14:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	167	99¢	$166	0xa917f1…
08-11 02:05:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x7bdaa7…
08-11 02:03:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x7a54ac…
08-11 01:49:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x205e32…
08-11 01:49:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	269	99¢	$267	0xa8c353…
08-11 00:53:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	158	99¢	$157	0x31e63f…
08-11 00:39:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	121	99¢	$120	0xbbfca2…
08-10 22:11:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0x6ebdb3…
08-10 22:06:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xa630e7…
08-10 22:05:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x169b56…
08-10 22:01:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x96c1fc…
08-10 21:37:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0xece983…
08-10 21:08:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	305	99¢	$303	0x07971a…
08-10 21:08:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xe41cd9…
08-10 21:02:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x009c33…
08-10 20:47:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xa4bc2c…
08-10 07:39:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	515	99¢	$510	0xcb11d6…
08-10 07:36:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	968	99¢	$958	0xe45a05…
08-10 07:28:09	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	1,045	54¢	$564	0x334275…
08-09 06:34:54	will ukraine target moscow by august 14 2026 20260807123536607	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xd4ff59…
08-08 19:47:25	bitcoin above 68k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	2,825	0¢	$11	0xc5265d…
08-08 19:46:12	atp lehecka jodar 2026 08 08	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x73cae8…
08-08 19:23:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	416	89¢	$370	0xd7ab5b…
08-08 19:22:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	233	88¢	$205	0x9de338…
08-08 09:30:21	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,045	67¢	$700	0xdc901e…
08-08 09:29:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	833	72¢	$600	0x0e113e…
08-08 09:28:28	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	729	96¢	$700	0x9efb98…
08-08 09:26:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	3,030	66¢	$2,000	0x67515a…
08-07 16:34:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	3,644	93¢	$3,379	0xbb499a…
08-07 16:33:40	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	3,595	94¢	$3,379	0xc2a2ce…
08-05 19:28:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	1,875	60¢	$1,121	0x31ed16…
08-05 19:27:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,241	29¢	$360	0x7a944e…
08-05 11:00:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	594	54¢	$320	0x441ef1…
08-05 10:58:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	SELL	326	99¢	$322	0xd800fb…
08-04 08:06:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0xe1d7ce…
08-04 08:04:57	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	159	88¢	$140	0xa2ce64…
08-04 08:02:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1,241	24¢	$300	0x4abd1a…
08-04 08:01:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	829	53¢	$442	0x99440b…
08-03 19:39:42	will spacex starship flight test 14 superheavy pop	No	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0x0d7dcd…
08-03 19:26:39	will trump fly in original air force 1 again this month 20260710003923849	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x7c1b93…
08-02 09:26:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	633	56¢	$354	0x96a151…
08-02 09:22:50	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026	No	BUY	200	7¢	$13	0xa84314…
07-30 06:33:44	wti up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	370	65¢	$240	0x30850f…
07-29 23:06:32	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	431	93¢	$400	0x5fa942…
07-29 23:05:24	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	98	31¢	$30	0x5f83bd…
07-29 23:04:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	No	BUY	327	61¢	$200	0x743f42…
07-29 22:58:42	will trump fly in original air force 1 again this month 20260710003923849	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x79ba51…
07-29 22:56:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	326	92¢	$300	0x80f175…
07-29 22:36:20	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	BUY	1,158	4¢	$50	0xc32776…
07-29 22:31:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	919	37¢	$340	0x9f0a6d…
07-29 13:01:54	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	1,486	71¢	$1,060	0x348257…
07-29 13:01:21	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	1,178	90¢	$1,063	0x920b3a…
07-29 09:18:18	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	340	78¢	$265	0xca94d6…
07-29 09:17:00	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	392	95¢	$373	0xc729e7…
07-28 07:14:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	622	47¢	$291	0x1f6575…
07-27 20:21:36	atp krumich henning 2026 07 27	Philip Henning	BUY	556	36¢	$200	0x5dcdd2…
07-27 19:59:55	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	1,220	82¢	$1,000	0xc7d647…
07-27 19:55:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1,795	93¢	$1,669	0xaf27fe…
07-27 11:10:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	385	50¢	$192	0x660a00…
07-27 11:09:12	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x89a16e…
07-27 11:06:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	222	50¢	$111	0x5d0faa…
07-27 11:04:15	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	256	87¢	$223	0xe2c3c8…