Advanced-Mortgage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$607

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

608

lifetime

Volume

$105.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$174

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-29 09:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

67% 0% $-337

Politics

28% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-270

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$16.6K	10,400	10,400	+0	open	—	06-25 09:30
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	13	$9.4K	6,094	6,094	+0	open	—	07-04 10:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	21	$8.9K	0	9,386	-9,386	open	—	06-04 19:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$4.6K	5,060	3,060	+2,000	open	—	07-05 20:31
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	5	$4.3K	5,090	0	+5,090	open	—	07-25 08:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$3.4K	1,828	1,828	+0	open	—	05-26 20:00
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	4	$3.0K	1,795	1,795	+0	open	—	07-27 19:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$3.0K	1,640	1,640	+0	open	—	04-27 20:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-12 13:09
iran full airspace closure by august 15	4	$2.7K	3,435	0	+3,435	open	—	07-29 13:01
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	5	$2.6K	1,570	1,570	+0	open	—	07-29 13:01
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$2.5K	1,670	1,670	+0	open	—	02-24 07:36
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	6	$2.1K	2,029	2,000	+29	open	—	03-11 22:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	2	$1.8K	2,120	0	+2,120	open	—	07-09 14:11
will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	3	$1.8K	2,582	0	+2,582	open	—	07-25 08:02
us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-23 08:00
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$1.7K	1,228	1,228	+0	open	—	03-21 15:24
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	5	$1.6K	1,723	0	+1,723	open	—	07-21 08:35
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	4	$1.4K	667	1,200	-533	open	—	07-21 16:35
iran strike on israel by february 28	12	$1.2K	700	700	+0	open	—	02-27 07:19
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$1.2K	1,514	0	+1,514	open	—	04-15 13:00
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	5	$954	880	880	+0	open	—	02-27 07:19
nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	4	$937	695	695	+0	open	—	02-23 11:17
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	7	$925	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	07-25 11:17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	12	$904	1,543	0	+1,543	open	—	01-24 17:38
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	6	$901	500	500	+0	open	—	07-03 05:51
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$823	1,000	3,500	-2,500	open	—	07-23 19:27
iran full airspace closure by july 24	1	$800	915	0	+915	open	—	07-23 19:28
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	2	$730	500	500	+0	open	—	02-24 07:39
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	1	$720	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	07-13 19:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 13:01:54	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	1,486	71¢	$1,060	0x348257…
07-29 13:01:21	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	1,178	90¢	$1,063	0x920b3a…
07-29 09:18:18	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	340	78¢	$265	0xca94d6…
07-29 09:17:00	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	392	95¢	$373	0xc729e7…
07-28 07:14:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	622	47¢	$291	0x1f6575…
07-27 20:21:36	atp krumich henning 2026 07 27	Philip Henning	BUY	556	36¢	$200	0x5dcdd2…
07-27 19:59:55	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	1,220	82¢	$1,000	0xc7d647…
07-27 19:55:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1,795	93¢	$1,669	0xaf27fe…
07-27 11:10:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	385	50¢	$192	0x660a00…
07-27 11:09:12	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x89a16e…
07-27 11:06:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	222	50¢	$111	0x5d0faa…
07-27 11:04:15	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	256	87¢	$223	0xe2c3c8…
07-27 10:29:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	15	51¢	$7	0xae9eff…
07-27 07:56:45	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	390	85¢	$331	0xe8a5a1…
07-25 11:17:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	1,000	76¢	$760	0x3607de…
07-25 08:05:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x49547b…
07-25 08:03:27	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	900	79¢	$711	0x31a46c…
07-25 08:02:01	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	519	77¢	$400	0x7c481b…
07-24 07:46:49	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 24 2026 20260630182730902	No	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xa27de4…
07-23 21:13:10	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	82	65¢	$53	0x78111f…
07-23 19:28:30	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	915	87¢	$800	0xa12179…
07-23 19:27:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,500	18¢	$633	0x8105f2…
07-23 19:20:49	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	400	65¢	$260	0x7a4ff2…
07-23 10:01:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0xe9b564…
07-23 08:00:40	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,067	75¢	$800	0x5ce9b0…
07-23 08:00:16	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1,000	86¢	$860	0x04b686…
07-22 08:56:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	519	40¢	$208	0x3620dd…
07-22 08:55:06	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	400	70¢	$280	0x9f839b…
07-22 08:53:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	443	67¢	$297	0x5bfef5…
07-22 08:53:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	157	67¢	$105	0x49b475…
07-22 08:51:46	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	996	62¢	$616	0xb57ff5…
07-21 16:53:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	170	66¢	$112	0xeef4c1…
07-21 16:50:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	19	66¢	$12	0xc4bc21…
07-21 16:49:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x7ada8b…
07-21 16:49:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x918276…
07-21 16:49:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xd1e83e…
07-21 16:47:22	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xfa1c55…
07-21 16:46:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	400	38¢	$152	0xe1dd30…
07-21 16:45:07	spcx above 150 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x4534ad…
07-21 16:35:55	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	950	100¢	$949	0x6d90f5…
07-21 11:19:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	Yes	BUY	84	49¢	$41	0x3d6b31…
07-21 09:50:06	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	No	SELL	48	71¢	$34	0xef7616…
07-21 08:35:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	379	94¢	$354	0xbf4697…
07-21 08:35:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	111	94¢	$104	0x59f9cc…
07-20 06:58:54	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	BUY	490	94¢	$461	0x75afa6…
07-20 06:50:09	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	270	71¢	$192	0xa34d46…
07-19 22:42:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x4157f3…
07-19 22:39:55	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	167	89¢	$149	0x0cd8c9…
07-18 21:39:48	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x5b7db0…
07-18 21:20:54	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	300	73¢	$219	0xc08f39…
07-18 18:48:07	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	300	77¢	$230	0x9fffbf…
07-18 18:42:15	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x1f319e…
07-18 13:53:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x56a931…
07-17 19:44:45	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	BUY	39	66¢	$26	0x50f41e…
07-17 19:38:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	900	86¢	$774	0xa964d4…
07-17 19:37:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	1,590	84¢	$1,336	0x73281b…
07-17 18:11:19	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x1fdde3…
07-17 16:16:48	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x1ac7f3…
07-17 16:12:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0xb9c3f2…
07-16 15:29:17	btc updown 5m 1784215800	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xde0227…
07-16 15:22:07	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	250	51¢	$126	0xe62570…
07-16 07:49:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0x7f006d…
07-15 06:52:43	iran successfully targets shipping on july 16	No	BUY	120	65¢	$78	0x06a9db…
07-14 21:42:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	227	81¢	$184	0x64863e…
07-14 21:35:23	iran successfully targets shipping on july 15	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xf663f0…
07-14 21:31:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	121	47¢	$57	0xc6e97e…
07-14 21:29:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	700	81¢	$566	0xfc8a64…
07-14 18:47:23	iran successfully targets shipping on july 16	No	BUY	69	69¢	$48	0xfcdeb2…
07-14 18:46:59	iran successfully targets shipping on july 15	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x1ac0a3…
07-14 18:46:17	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	No	BUY	48	65¢	$31	0x0d91b5…
07-14 18:44:17	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	400	76¢	$304	0x0c5b7d…
07-14 13:09:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	300	66¢	$197	0x1bd16f…
07-14 13:07:29	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0xe080a7…
07-14 07:03:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0xa06639…
07-14 07:03:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	300	88¢	$263	0x43c1dd…
07-14 07:02:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	79	41¢	$33	0x084c6c…
07-14 07:01:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	124	64¢	$80	0x21d973…
07-13 20:05:44	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x5dfcc4…
07-13 20:05:20	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	500	33¢	$165	0x773e75…
07-13 19:14:13	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1,000	72¢	$720	0x8386cd…
07-13 18:23:04	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	400	73¢	$292	0xfb3e28…
07-11 20:17:49	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	307	20¢	$61	0xe810a9…
07-09 14:11:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0x19c1ca…
07-09 13:58:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	1,120	86¢	$963	0x3b2692…
07-09 12:13:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	668	60¢	$400	0xa1d4f4…
07-09 12:04:52	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	400	23¢	$91	0x189011…
07-06 19:04:43	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	19¢	$190	0xe64eeb…
07-05 20:31:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	17¢	$170	0xc3261f…
07-04 23:09:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	496	17¢	$84	0xaec99a…
07-04 22:58:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	504	17¢	$86	0xd0eec8…
07-04 10:59:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	234	95¢	$223	0x5be62a…
07-04 10:59:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x620d8f…
07-04 10:59:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	67	95¢	$63	0x46f0da…
07-04 10:59:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x27f30f…
07-04 10:59:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1,773	95¢	$1,684	0xe493a3…
07-04 06:50:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,530	76¢	$1,163	0x9e41e0…
07-03 16:30:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1,702	93¢	$1,583	0x48331c…
07-03 16:28:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x85e188…
07-03 16:20:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,530	75¢	$1,148	0xb77f8c…
07-03 16:18:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	420	93¢	$390	0x06c4c1…