Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

768

Trades

1,403

lifetime

Volume

$7.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-27 18:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

36% 83% -$59

Crypto

32% 89% +$18

Politics

31% 88% -$14

Sports

1% 67% +$8

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+5	$3	66¢	$3	+$0	10-26 08:53
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes		-7	$0	2¢	$-0	+$0	08-02 08:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 29?	4	$187	94	94	+0	Yes	+$1	09-30 13:30
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	3	$122	62	62	+0	Yes	+$2	10-09 17:20
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 15?	4	$121	64	63	+1	Yes	+$1	09-15 18:27
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	10	$120	89	38	+51	Yes	-$1	10-16 17:11
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 17?	17	$118	123	0	+123	Yes	+$5	10-17 17:35
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 14?	3	$117	60	60	+0	Yes	+$2	09-15 06:50
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 20?	5	$115	114	2	+112	Yes	+$1	09-20 19:00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 2?	6	$111	56	56	-0	Yes	+$1	09-02 17:44
will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	18	$104	85	30	+55	No	-$4	10-22 15:04
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 2?	6	$98	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	09-02 06:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:35 UTC	11	$94	64	39	+25	Up	-$18	08-20 16:40
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 27?	3	$94	95	0	+95	Yes	+$1	09-27 21:13
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?	9	$91	95	0	+95	open	—	10-25 14:53
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?	9	$91	70	68	+2	open	—	10-07 13:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:00 UTC	13	$89	82	30	+51	Up	+$1	08-19 15:03
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 3?	4	$89	90	0	+90	Yes	+$1	10-03 19:24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 31?	2	$88	44	44	+0	Yes	+$0	08-31 22:04
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 31?	3	$88	44	44	+0	Yes	+$0	08-31 15:26
Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	2	$74	38	38	+0	Yes	+$2	09-16 02:29
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	12	$74	79	0	+79	Yes	+$5	10-26 15:20
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	15	$73	70	31	+39	Yes	-$16	10-24 02:47
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 20 million views on day 1?	5	$67	69	0	+69	No	+$2	10-15 18:55
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	9	$63	37	37	+0	Yes	-$3	10-26 08:18
Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?	2	$62	74	0	+74	Yes	-$62	05-10 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:05 UTC	8	$60	64	0	+64	Up	+$4	08-19 15:07
Will Trump say "Failing New York Times" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	1	$58	62	0	+62	No	+$4	05-02 02:05
Will Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" this week? (April 20 - 26)	1	$57	59	0	+59	No	+$2	04-26 11:09
will trump say nuke this week april 19	2	$55	61	0	+61	No	+$6	04-18 17:27
will trump say witch this week april 12	1	$52	53	0	+53	No	+$1	04-11 23:50
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	5	$51	28	28	+0	Yes	+$2	10-20 07:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:26:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x02d3cb…
10-27 18:25:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3fffeb…
10-27 18:22:11	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x73e0f7…
10-27 11:53:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xe00721…
10-27 11:28:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3b48f6…
10-27 11:08:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3144be…
10-27 11:08:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x50dad6…
10-27 10:04:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x34bd13…
10-27 09:02:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x09f509…
10-27 08:06:14	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x79bd8b…
10-27 08:00:51	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf64217…
10-27 06:31:48	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x85d754…
10-27 06:31:35	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb86508…
10-26 21:41:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2ebd67…
10-26 20:19:08	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc1ccad…
10-26 15:20:29	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3c3b2b…
10-26 15:13:57	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x3a5acd…
10-26 15:13:44	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbaca1e…
10-26 15:13:38	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x289dda…
10-26 15:12:38	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x866546…
10-26 15:08:18	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbe6bb0…
10-26 15:07:47	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x907149…
10-26 15:06:39	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x861abc…
10-26 15:06:27	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc7a9cc…
10-26 15:06:18	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x05d1ad…
10-26 15:01:53	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xc22274…
10-26 08:53:56	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2c8648…
10-26 08:38:41	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8bec20…
10-26 08:38:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x453313…
10-26 08:18:32	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	81¢	$30	0x868134…
10-26 07:48:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf1f45d…
10-26 07:41:32	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xd523ac…
10-26 07:40:41	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x82916b…
10-26 07:04:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x44c179…
10-26 00:35:05	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x716e10…
10-25 23:41:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x28177a…
10-25 21:33:20	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x613065…
10-25 21:32:57	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd131ed…
10-25 21:32:41	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x35ff58…
10-25 19:52:35	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x2d7a8c…
10-25 17:15:08	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x37946d…
10-25 15:36:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95a847…
10-25 15:35:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x948b80…
10-25 14:53:02	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfd8aa3…
10-25 14:09:47	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x904764…
10-25 14:09:12	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb610f6…
10-25 14:06:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xbfb80b…
10-25 13:29:29	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7b60e2…
10-25 13:28:54	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcfa3ac…
10-25 13:28:44	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8842fb…
10-25 11:41:21	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2b6cae…
10-25 10:23:30	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x164188…
10-25 10:22:26	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x68a2c4…
10-25 10:22:09	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x995d69…
10-25 10:22:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3aa216…
10-25 10:21:38	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9f30d6…
10-25 10:21:24	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa74782…
10-25 10:21:11	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa631c8…
10-25 10:20:56	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc55c06…
10-24 23:49:38	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x68316b…
10-24 23:39:45	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3317a2…
10-24 21:17:11	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5c5514…
10-24 21:15:54	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x136809…
10-24 19:35:44	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x0dc081…
10-24 15:33:45	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa41218…
10-24 15:33:29	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1502f8…
10-24 15:33:11	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfdde92…
10-24 15:32:42	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd396e4…
10-24 15:30:26	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x93ce64…
10-24 14:39:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6d74a7…
10-24 14:34:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x8677b0…
10-24 13:05:56	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x278362…
10-24 13:05:14	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8eccda…
10-24 04:16:00	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x53637c…
10-24 03:52:35	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x98c24d…
10-24 03:39:06	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7e173a…
10-24 03:24:23	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf6392f…
10-24 03:18:30	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x7f9432…
10-24 03:17:36	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf578ce…
10-24 03:16:59	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x08ced2…
10-24 03:16:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x44274d…
10-24 02:47:50	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd53532…
10-24 02:47:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x77f568…
10-24 02:33:56	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x04369b…
10-24 02:21:29	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x5a8bf1…
10-24 02:15:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcad74e…
10-24 02:10:35	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9661f9…
10-24 02:10:17	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xdc5616…
10-24 02:08:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x29ccba…
10-23 22:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfb7a2b…
10-23 22:15:47	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?	Yes	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x47ce2f…
10-23 20:45:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x0203a1…
10-23 20:40:56	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x547737…
10-23 20:35:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x34be15…
10-23 20:33:41	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x8b1b42…
10-23 20:19:20	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x5390a1…
10-23 18:28:50	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2575ba…
10-23 18:28:15	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5281fd…
10-23 18:24:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x28b0fa…
10-23 18:23:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb58d3b…