Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved

792

Trades

1,468

lifetime

Volume

$8.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-02 03:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Other

38% 83% -$84

Crypto

30% 89% +$18

Politics

30% 87% -$10

Sports

1% 67% +$8

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+5	$3	72¢	$4	+$0	10-26 08:53
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes		-7	$0	2¢	$-0	+$0	08-02 08:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 29?	4	$187	94	94	+0	Yes	+$1	09-30 13:30
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?	12	$186	95	95	+0	Yes	+$4	11-01 08:42
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	3	$122	62	62	+0	Yes	+$2	10-09 17:20
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 15?	4	$121	64	63	+1	Yes	+$1	09-15 18:27
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	10	$120	89	38	+51	Yes	-$1	10-16 17:11
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 17?	17	$118	123	0	+123	Yes	+$5	10-17 17:35
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 14?	3	$117	60	60	+0	Yes	+$2	09-15 06:50
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 20?	5	$115	114	2	+112	Yes	+$1	09-20 19:00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 2?	6	$111	56	56	-0	Yes	+$1	09-02 17:44
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	18	$104	85	30	+55	No	-$4	10-22 15:04
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 2?	6	$98	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	09-02 06:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:35 UTC	11	$94	64	39	+25	Up	-$18	08-20 16:40
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 27?	3	$94	95	0	+95	Yes	+$1	09-27 21:13
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?	9	$91	70	68	+2	open	—	10-07 13:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:00 UTC	13	$89	82	30	+51	Up	+$1	08-19 15:03
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 3?	4	$89	90	0	+90	Yes	+$1	10-03 19:24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 31?	2	$88	44	44	+0	Yes	+$0	08-31 22:04
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 31?	3	$88	44	44	+0	Yes	+$0	08-31 15:26
Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	2	$74	38	38	+0	Yes	+$2	09-16 02:29
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	12	$74	79	0	+79	Yes	+$5	10-26 15:20
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	15	$73	70	31	+39	Yes	-$16	10-24 02:47
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 20 million views on day 1?	5	$67	69	0	+69	No	+$2	10-15 18:55
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	9	$63	37	37	+0	Yes	-$3	10-26 08:18
Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?	2	$62	74	0	+74	Yes	-$62	05-10 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:05 UTC	8	$60	64	0	+64	Up	+$4	08-19 15:07
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	7	$59	65	15	+50	No	+$0	11-02 00:36
Will Trump say "Failing New York Times" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	1	$58	62	0	+62	No	+$4	05-02 02:05
Will Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" this week? (April 20 - 26)	1	$57	59	0	+59	No	+$2	04-26 11:09
will trump say nuke this week april 19	2	$55	61	0	+61	No	+$6	04-18 17:27
will trump say witch this week april 12	1	$52	53	0	+53	No	+$1	04-11 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 04:15:55	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x676d04…
11-02 03:08:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcef4ec…
11-02 02:30:51	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdd3788…
11-02 02:07:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x76ee13…
11-02 00:36:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda8f3b…
11-01 23:30:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x069d3b…
11-01 23:30:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1457ba…
11-01 22:05:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xeb4e26…
11-01 21:52:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xca2da8…
11-01 19:24:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21045a…
11-01 19:21:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x21073e…
11-01 19:17:54	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d5a91…
11-01 19:17:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f49af…
11-01 19:15:36	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1b4201…
11-01 17:18:33	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x42e28b…
11-01 12:23:04	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7e7cab…
11-01 12:22:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x0a7e2e…
11-01 08:42:34	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x7413f0…
11-01 08:42:03	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x86217e…
11-01 07:45:55	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x202223…
10-31 17:10:54	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x078250…
10-31 14:21:27	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xca680f…
10-31 14:00:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x49696d…
10-30 23:40:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8cdb6f…
10-30 19:33:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xabe9cc…
10-30 17:34:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x144a35…
10-30 17:31:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc276fb…
10-30 17:31:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2d4f63…
10-30 17:27:31	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6b0a8d…
10-30 16:29:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x014e9c…
10-30 16:13:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0x3d820a…
10-30 15:50:46	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x64b156…
10-30 14:32:07	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xf48fd7…
10-30 13:59:04	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x570d97…
10-30 13:55:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8d9f39…
10-30 13:55:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x95e10b…
10-30 13:45:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xc88f70…
10-30 13:40:55	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x09509e…
10-30 13:38:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0xa91eff…
10-30 12:01:57	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd2fe8a…
10-30 10:39:43	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe457e2…
10-30 10:34:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5ba718…
10-30 09:59:07	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcf65f0…
10-30 09:46:52	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x98fed4…
10-30 06:47:10	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa7615f…
10-30 06:40:58	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x948bdb…
10-30 06:36:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x7f73c6…
10-30 06:12:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xbe3d1c…
10-30 06:12:43	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0x59623e…
10-30 06:12:43	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x0b130f…
10-30 05:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x98a8d2…
10-29 23:55:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf5f12d…
10-29 23:11:01	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a7c4e…
10-29 22:24:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x793290…
10-29 22:19:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7f814d…
10-29 22:18:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x711c55…
10-29 22:14:58	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x04e974…
10-29 22:14:19	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7a990e…
10-29 17:24:46	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcdbbe1…
10-29 16:58:53	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xa1f104…
10-29 16:49:29	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x33193c…
10-29 09:54:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa8c907…
10-28 22:14:50	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3ffcdc…
10-28 19:29:41	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0xacc17f…
10-28 18:49:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xda0e96…
10-28 09:26:11	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x749118…
10-27 18:26:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x02d3cb…
10-27 18:25:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3fffeb…
10-27 18:22:11	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x73e0f7…
10-27 11:53:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xe00721…
10-27 11:28:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3b48f6…
10-27 11:08:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3144be…
10-27 11:08:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x50dad6…
10-27 10:04:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x34bd13…
10-27 09:02:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x09f509…
10-27 08:06:14	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x79bd8b…
10-27 08:00:51	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf64217…
10-27 06:31:48	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x85d754…
10-27 06:31:35	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb86508…
10-26 21:41:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2ebd67…
10-26 20:19:08	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc1ccad…
10-26 15:20:29	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3c3b2b…
10-26 15:13:57	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x3a5acd…
10-26 15:13:44	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbaca1e…
10-26 15:13:38	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x289dda…
10-26 15:12:38	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x866546…
10-26 15:08:18	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbe6bb0…
10-26 15:07:47	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x907149…
10-26 15:06:39	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x861abc…
10-26 15:06:27	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc7a9cc…
10-26 15:06:18	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x05d1ad…
10-26 15:01:53	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?	Yes	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xc22274…
10-26 08:53:56	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2c8648…
10-26 08:38:41	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8bec20…
10-26 08:38:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x453313…
10-26 08:18:32	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	81¢	$30	0x868134…
10-26 07:48:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf1f45d…
10-26 07:41:32	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xd523ac…
10-26 07:40:41	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x82916b…
10-26 07:04:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x44c179…