Realized P&L
-$5.73K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.33K
Hit rate
55.9%
Resolved
1,061
Trades
3,041
lifetime
Volume
$238.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$78
Open exposure
$36.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-10
last 10-31 01:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 39 days
Categories
Other
80% 40% -$5,729
Politics
20% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +5,156 $4,273 85¢ $4.4K +$110 10-29 16:38
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +6,000 $4,380 72¢ $4.3K -$90 10-30 12:22
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +6,000 $4,680 72¢ $4.3K -$390 10-29 02:50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +4,000 $2,680 70¢ $2.8K +$140 10-30 13:22
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +2,323 $1,513 89¢ $2.1K +$559 10-25 17:55
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? No +2,307 $492 78¢ $1.8K +$1,318 10-30 06:14
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +6,047 $1,668 29¢ $1.7K +$56 10-30 12:21
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +6,000 $1,378 29¢ $1.7K +$332 10-29 02:52
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +1,771 $1,458 95¢ $1.7K +$231 10-15 15:04
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +2,529 $1,649 64¢ $1.6K -$43 10-29 00:49
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +3,976 $1,352 30¢ $1.2K -$179 10-30 13:22
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +1,104 $1,022 97¢ $1.1K +$49 10-07 06:39
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? Yes +4,460 $3,836 22¢ $961 -$2,875 10-15 07:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +956 $331 100¢ $952 +$621 10-12 18:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +937 $875 100¢ $934 +$59 10-18 16:47
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +2,529 $913 36¢ $923 +$10 10-28 17:28
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? No +1,111 $445 78¢ $861 +$416 10-19 14:34
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? No +5,526 $1,050 15¢ $829 -$221 10-29 16:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +668 $553 100¢ $668 +$115 10-19 17:13
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? Yes +1,742 $784 22¢ $392 -$392 10-27 22:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? No +350 $118 100¢ $349 +$231 10-20 16:26
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +2,976 $1,115 11¢ $321 -$794 10-25 16:13
will wti dip to 90 in october 2026 from october 12 No +300 $89 100¢ $299 +$210 10-14 00:07
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027? Yes +200 $134 78¢ $155 +$21 10-25 00:13
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? Yes +1,695 $293 5¢ $79 -$214 10-25 18:27
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? Yes +1,010 $76 3¢ $30 -$46 10-23 21:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +69 $25 37¢ $26 +$1 10-26 22:16
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027? No +20 $6 22¢ $4 -$2 10-30 19:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? Yes +939 $499 0¢ $4 -$495 10-19 02:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? Yes +1,195 $67 0¢ $4 -$63 10-20 02:54