United-Alfalfa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$222

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.3%

Resolved

Trades

4,820

lifetime

Volume

$449.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-29 21:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

70% — —

Other

25% 50% $-1

Crypto

5% 0% $-221

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	68	$32.9K	16,737	17,737	-1,000	open	—	02-23 23:51
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	33	$24.2K	12,315	12,315	+0	open	—	02-23 00:07
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	30	$23.6K	12,344	12,344	+0	open	—	02-24 20:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	89	$22.4K	17,471	11,131	+6,339	open	—	03-31 19:59
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	39	$18.9K	13,370	11,565	+1,805	open	—	02-26 15:26
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	14	$13.3K	7,066	7,066	+0	open	—	02-20 19:18
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	34	$12.8K	6,302	7,097	-796	open	—	02-28 04:44
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	8	$12.6K	6,325	6,325	+0	open	—	02-15 01:49
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	80	$11.1K	11,456	11,456	+0	open	—	06-29 15:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	25	$11.0K	7,800	8,700	-900	open	—	04-07 22:57
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	13	$10.2K	4,326	6,087	-1,761	open	—	02-22 00:47
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	72	$7.9K	4,961	4,702	+260	open	—	03-28 17:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	31	$7.7K	4,340	4,338	+2	open	—	01-19 10:27
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	37	$7.2K	4,966	4,966	+0	open	—	01-24 00:22
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	35	$6.6K	6,442	6,442	+0	open	—	06-25 20:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	38	$6.1K	5,702	5,902	-200	open	—	04-07 22:58
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?	7	$6.0K	3,391	3,391	+0	open	—	01-20 21:03
will all of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	2	$5.7K	2,907	2,907	+0	open	—	01-21 19:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$5.5K	3,330	3,330	+0	open	—	01-21 19:29
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	112	$5.4K	6,750	7,448	-698	open	—	03-23 12:25
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	15	$5.3K	3,069	3,069	+0	open	—	02-28 04:51
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	5	$5.1K	2,750	2,750	+0	open	—	01-28 15:06
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	83	$4.9K	10,755	10,885	-129	open	—	03-29 22:12
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?	7	$4.8K	2,567	2,567	+0	open	—	01-20 20:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$4.4K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	05-27 12:47
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	37	$4.1K	3,128	2,401	+727	open	—	03-30 13:44
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	61	$4.0K	5,258	4,841	+417	open	—	03-09 02:26
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	13	$3.9K	5,637	8,670	-3,034	open	—	02-25 21:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-08 01:22
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	12	$3.7K	1,872	1,872	+0	open	—	02-14 02:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 21:16:49	will ng reach 3 40 by june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	53	20¢	$10	0xa7553c…
06-29 15:32:31	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	1,083	96¢	$1,040	0x94fdfb…
06-29 14:38:49	will ng reach 3 40 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$0	0x1971d8…
06-29 13:43:49	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	SELL	120	2¢	$2	0x181b2b…
06-29 12:39:17	will ng dip to 3 20 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x1e6c96…
06-29 12:35:10	will ng dip to 3 20 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xf118fb…
06-29 11:17:58	will ng reach 3 40 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$23	0x6be95e…
06-28 04:30:11	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x55a7cb…
06-28 02:59:20	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	46	70¢	$32	0x1103e5…
06-28 02:13:14	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0x889ecc…
06-27 23:17:35	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x0cb921…
06-27 22:31:53	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x91e0b5…
06-27 17:48:08	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	37	69¢	$26	0xa71924…
06-27 17:47:58	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0x00a223…
06-27 17:47:25	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xe4f0f6…
06-26 16:42:17	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xc1438a…
06-26 13:38:15	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	216	59¢	$127	0xd9e2cd…
06-26 12:42:53	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	300	20¢	$60	0xf9cfd0…
06-26 11:37:16	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x2a6010…
06-26 10:48:05	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	526	25¢	$131	0xd8147e…
06-26 02:28:13	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	1,006	70¢	$708	0xddf891…
06-26 00:49:38	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x883b7b…
06-25 23:45:32	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	216	56¢	$122	0x40556c…
06-25 22:03:52	xauusd up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0x3c17c1…
06-25 21:52:26	xauusd up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xb35545…
06-25 21:50:38	xauusd up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x647a06…
06-25 21:50:25	xauusd up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xd2988c…
06-25 20:22:59	ng up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x94dcb9…
06-25 20:22:41	ng up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x57ec2d…
06-25 20:10:16	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	654	3¢	$17	0x04be85…
06-25 16:08:38	ng up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xae2a19…
06-25 16:08:23	ng up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x8cffe5…
06-25 14:54:46	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	234	82¢	$192	0x7611c5…
06-25 14:37:55	ng up or down on june 25 2026	Down	SELL	25	62¢	$16	0x7e6e67…
06-25 14:36:56	ng up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x603dd6…
06-25 14:35:11	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$11	0x613d11…
06-25 14:33:02	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	354	3¢	$10	0xc05b2e…
06-25 14:32:34	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xbc32a1…
06-25 14:30:41	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	633	58¢	$369	0x69e729…
06-25 14:30:41	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	44	59¢	$26	0x1c880c…
06-25 14:30:31	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	183	45¢	$83	0xde063c…
06-25 10:08:43	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	551	78¢	$430	0x93e93c…
06-25 07:49:52	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x70526f…
06-24 15:26:41	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	154	35¢	$54	0x03fa08…
06-24 15:26:16	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x5f214b…
06-24 15:26:08	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	347	35¢	$121	0x707634…
06-24 13:03:10	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	686	33¢	$227	0x7ea6c0…
06-24 11:47:07	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	686	34¢	$233	0x7b9657…
06-24 10:58:04	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x908178…
06-23 23:19:59	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	289	80¢	$231	0x9ce070…
06-23 22:41:34	ng up or down on june 24 2026	Down	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0x8bf03c…
06-23 21:44:44	ng up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0xd3620d…
06-23 17:03:19	will ng dip to 3 10 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	85	58¢	$49	0xc658e1…
06-23 16:43:32	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	89	72¢	$64	0xa569ba…
06-23 16:43:26	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	200	75¢	$149	0x88adf1…
06-23 16:41:46	will ng dip to 3 10 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	85	56¢	$48	0xf5a87a…
06-23 13:27:49	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	256	70¢	$179	0x6e3fb8…
06-23 12:47:28	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	103	68¢	$70	0x585e0d…
06-23 11:07:07	ng up or down on june 23 2026	Down	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xb68d89…
06-23 11:06:52	ng up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x96bda6…
06-22 21:54:17	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xf363f7…
06-22 21:54:01	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	136	50¢	$68	0x25e068…
06-22 21:39:55	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	400	65¢	$260	0xbd853f…
06-22 21:38:52	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	603	45¢	$272	0x2850a3…
06-22 19:33:47	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x119f5d…
06-22 18:44:05	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x32efa5…
06-22 18:43:40	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	55	37¢	$20	0x85b587…
06-22 17:11:49	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xd13869…
06-22 16:36:38	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	28	39¢	$11	0x960834…
06-22 14:52:58	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x7bb6ef…
06-22 13:52:28	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xbe782d…
06-22 13:30:20	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	55	35¢	$19	0x0213fa…
06-22 13:00:44	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	1,169	40¢	$469	0x1e253a…
06-22 12:46:58	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	146	49¢	$72	0x6bd6fb…
06-22 12:44:58	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	174	41¢	$71	0x656b0a…
06-22 12:42:23	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0xa167ab…
06-22 12:37:19	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x3526b8…
06-22 12:36:25	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	27	29¢	$8	0x45e2d7…
06-22 12:33:04	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	60	29¢	$17	0x564a77…
06-22 11:36:44	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x9eba89…
06-22 11:36:35	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x6dc42d…
06-22 11:35:41	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xd6a7d8…
06-22 11:35:26	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xcf9a23…
06-22 11:31:04	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	47	37¢	$18	0x7eb491…
06-22 11:30:53	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	397	39¢	$155	0x4b4954…
06-22 11:25:17	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xa3048f…
06-22 11:25:02	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	800	26¢	$208	0xa0f9f1…
06-22 11:21:37	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	444	33¢	$147	0xcec01d…
06-22 02:10:46	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	28	27¢	$8	0x93230f…
06-22 02:05:22	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	580	32¢	$186	0xd3320f…
06-22 01:46:23	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	35	57¢	$20	0xb29c01…
06-22 01:41:31	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	130	41¢	$53	0x4734ce…
06-22 01:41:16	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	145	42¢	$61	0xeb4add…
06-22 01:37:17	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	685	56¢	$384	0xf61ee6…
06-22 01:24:08	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xe8ee53…
06-22 01:11:11	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	109	37¢	$40	0x0b2073…
06-22 01:06:25	will ng reach 3 40 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	700	35¢	$245	0xd02a1f…
06-21 22:34:49	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	728	40¢	$289	0x7f10e1…
06-21 22:34:11	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	47	37¢	$17	0xd30214…
06-21 22:16:02	will ng dip to 2 90 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x7f2eb7…