Realized P&L
-$157.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.00K
Hit rate
51.8%
Resolved
3,156
Trades
40,540
lifetime
Volume
$5.42M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$134
Open exposure
$56.1K
26 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 10-27 03:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 188 days
Categories
Other
82% 47% -$132,524
Sports
13% 48% -$11,143
Politics
4% 45% -$14,135
Crypto
0% 50% +$138
Tech
0% 20% -$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1041 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +15,813 $10,645 94¢ $14.9K +$4,298 10-15 01:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +14,097 $9,983 94¢ $13.3K +$3,268 10-16 07:53
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +10,923 $6,037 97¢ $10.6K +$4,553 10-26 21:23
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +4,744 $3,607 72¢ $3.4K -$215 10-03 15:11
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +9,711 $3,496 34¢ $3.3K -$243 10-08 17:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? Yes +4,812 $2,173 44¢ $2.1K -$80 10-26 19:01
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +3,000 $1,020 34¢ $1.0K +$15 10-04 21:51
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? No +1,022 $434 98¢ $1.0K +$567 10-05 16:20
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,139 $638 74¢ $837 +$199 08-20 01:57
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +1,189 $288 67¢ $795 +$508 10-08 01:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +13,251 $5,420 6¢ $729 -$4,692 09-30 07:36
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +2,816 $626 24¢ $674 +$48 09-28 18:54
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +645 $474 97¢ $625 +$151 10-21 14:16
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +587 $425 96¢ $561 +$136 10-21 20:59
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +763 $565 69¢ $526 -$38 10-04 18:34
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +1,393 $1,170 33¢ $461 -$709 10-08 03:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +777 $489 56¢ $439 -$50 10-26 13:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +5,371 $2,514 6¢ $322 -$2,192 09-29 18:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +2,400 $216 8¢ $180 -$36 10-07 19:23
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? Yes +7,438 $2,278 2¢ $149 -$2,129 10-09 04:24
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +2,287 $1,634 3¢ $70 -$1,564 10-26 19:23
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Yes +2,141 $411 3¢ $66 -$345 10-25 02:27
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? Yes +2,644 $486 1¢ $30 -$456 10-09 04:33
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +28 $25 91¢ $26 +$1 10-25 17:38
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +44 $14 44¢ $19 +$5 10-15 03:23
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +8 $1 29¢ $2 +$1 09-20 19:25