Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

893

Trades

944

lifetime

Volume

$9.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$60

7 positions

First seen

2026-09-20

last 11-01 03:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 94% +$39

Other

29% 89% -$95

Politics

4% 100% +$15

Sports

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	+16	$16	98¢	$16	+$0	10-20 03:50
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	+13	$13	72¢	$10	-$3	10-04 14:29
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	+9	$9	99¢	$9	+$0	10-31 15:10
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	+9	$9	98¢	$9	+$0	11-01 01:26
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	+9	$9	97¢	$9	$0	11-01 03:52
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+7	$7	95¢	$7	+$0	10-27 22:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+11	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	09-21 06:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$35	41	0	+41	Down	+$6	09-23 06:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$34	17	17	+0	Down	$0	10-19 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11AM ET	2	$32	33	0	+33	Up	+$1	10-11 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$30	18	18	+0	Up	-$4	10-19 07:39
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m?	2	$29	16	16	+0	No	-$2	10-11 08:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:15 UTC	2	$28	16	16	+0	Down	-$1	10-17 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$23	17	17	+0	Down	-$9	10-20 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$22	17	17	+0	Up	-$10	10-20 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$22	18	18	+0	Down	-$12	10-19 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$20	14	14	+0	Up	-$5	10-19 09:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	1	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	10-16 13:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 12:45 UTC	1	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	10-16 12:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:00 UTC	1	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	10-16 13:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:45 UTC	1	$20	22	0	+22	Up	-$20	10-16 13:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 13:15 UTC	1	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	10-16 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	10-16 07:35
Belgium vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 3.5	2	$20	20	0	+20	Under	+$0	10-02 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	10-15 20:50
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	2	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	10-03 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6AM ET	2	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	10-08 10:33
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	2	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	10-16 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10PM ET	2	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	10-17 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:15 UTC	2	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	10-17 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	10-11 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	Up	+$2	10-15 20:23
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 15?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	10-15 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$19	21	0	+21	Up	+$2	10-15 19:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 15?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	10-15 15:18
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 15?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-15 15:38
Solana Up or Down on October 15?	1	$19	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	10-15 15:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 03:52:52	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xa37b11…
11-01 03:49:45	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x6794ef…
11-01 03:22:58	Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb7c1c2…
11-01 02:44:45	Colorado Rapids SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x86570f…
11-01 01:26:30	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x3a1db9…
10-31 15:44:16	XRP Up or Down on October 31?	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x745a3f…
10-31 15:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xeb0215…
10-31 15:10:46	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x8ef63b…
10-31 12:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xf19dae…
10-31 12:43:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xc407a9…
10-31 11:16:55	Democratic Senate odds >68% on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xbea728…
10-31 11:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 31?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xada8c2…
10-31 11:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x0a3e68…
10-31 02:56:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xe5f060…
10-30 23:42:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xe953a6…
10-30 23:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xf618b1…
10-30 23:24:19	AA Estudiantes vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x213874…
10-30 23:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xa3fb72…
10-30 23:03:07	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x94336e…
10-30 22:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x71ab2b…
10-30 22:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x467d89…
10-30 22:00:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xa1a71b…
10-30 21:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xcd9df9…
10-30 21:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x7486c2…
10-30 20:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xb5a68a…
10-30 19:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xe21d27…
10-30 18:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x76b03b…
10-30 15:35:55	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x3c7b9e…
10-30 14:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x73ccc1…
10-30 14:27:57	Democratic Senate odds >68% on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xedd896…
10-30 14:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x55b2fb…
10-30 12:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x6b34e5…
10-30 11:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x45fabf…
10-30 11:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xfdc566…
10-30 10:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x6d47f4…
10-30 10:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x897bb4…
10-30 09:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xbf4bfe…
10-30 07:40:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x487828…
10-30 07:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xecb4ad…
10-30 06:47:34	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x9610a0…
10-30 06:40:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xab93ed…
10-30 05:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x820362…
10-30 04:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x0694fe…
10-30 04:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x6e6851…
10-30 03:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x7c256b…
10-30 02:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x56a66f…
10-30 01:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xeaccff…
10-30 01:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xf4cde4…
10-30 01:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x8ec828…
10-30 00:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x453e56…
10-30 00:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xeea970…
10-29 23:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xdbf46f…
10-29 23:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xeaee13…
10-29 23:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x38dc1b…
10-29 22:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0xc17161…
10-29 22:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0xb88bf6…
10-29 21:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xc9f61f…
10-29 21:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0xf581a5…
10-29 21:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x4425db…
10-29 21:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0xf0e971…
10-29 21:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x403a7a…
10-29 20:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x814cf3…
10-29 01:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xc82b24…
10-29 01:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x4e5d15…
10-29 01:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x160beb…
10-29 00:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x98cdd1…
10-28 21:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x09e781…
10-28 19:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xeecb5c…
10-28 18:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x8ccc88…
10-28 18:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x3365b5…
10-28 15:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xc45860…
10-28 14:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x604c5b…
10-28 14:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xf68c6b…
10-28 13:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x899b8b…
10-28 08:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0xc98d19…
10-28 07:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x9fb6a2…
10-28 01:32:54	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0x72003c…
10-28 00:40:05	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0x01e17b…
10-28 00:25:15	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xfd5ecb…
10-28 00:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xb8ff34…
10-28 00:04:26	Will Leigh Gray win the next Brighton mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0xe78ee9…
10-27 23:17:35	Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x50ccd7…
10-27 22:56:59	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x5437a9…
10-27 22:07:20	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x18deb3…
10-27 21:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x1e6d88…
10-27 21:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xc7bb31…
10-27 18:27:39	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas not air?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x4659fb…
10-27 17:59:53	Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xc65a08…
10-27 17:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xc19b9c…
10-27 16:04:03	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas not air?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x88834f…
10-27 15:47:42	Solana Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x6e7f1f…
10-27 14:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x9c6f04…
10-27 14:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x2e80ea…
10-27 13:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x98e48d…
10-27 12:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x7933b8…
10-27 11:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x388461…
10-27 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xc354d0…
10-27 07:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x7612ee…
10-27 06:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x8f90b7…
10-27 05:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x6ac2c0…