Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$609

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved

2,226

Trades

8,023

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-18

last 10-26 08:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

84% 38% -$518

Politics

11% 46% -$35

Sports

2% 26% -$64

Crypto

1% 50% +$1

Tech

1% 40% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 67% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 477 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	09-19 22:42
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1	$0	1¢	$0	$0	10-07 07:48
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	+0	$0	2¢	$0	+$0	09-26 07:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-09-25?	4	$121	147	147	+0	Yes	+$115	09-25 17:59
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	14	$77	677	677	+0	Yes	+$1	09-20 01:44
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$72	237	237	+0	Yes	-$4	10-04 23:05
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	17	$59	295	295	+0	Yes	+$2	09-21 00:24
Will Dallas Wings win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	45	$45	928	928	+0	No	+$4	10-01 03:51
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 4?	2	$41	70	70	+0	No	+$36	10-04 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 20?	8	$40	45	45	+0	No	+$1	09-19 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 13?	4	$40	186	186	+0	No	+$34	10-13 16:41
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1?	2	$38	93	93	+0	Up	+$32	10-01 22:47
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	13	$37	291	291	+0	open	—	10-16 00:25
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	4	$37	66	66	+0	open	—	09-19 20:22
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?	4	$37	392	392	+0	No	+$1	09-19 14:27
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?	4	$37	127	127	+0	open	—	09-19 12:56
Will HFX Wanderers FC win on 2026-10-03?	3	$36	199	199	+0	No	+$31	10-03 22:13
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 20?	6	$36	40	40	+0	No	+$1	09-19 20:42
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$35	86	86	+0	No	+$1	09-19 07:40
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?	2	$35	50	50	+0	open	—	09-19 22:48
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	5	$32	416	366	+50	No	-$1	09-25 11:06
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	11	$32	1,039	1,039	+0	open	—	10-10 18:20
Villena: Deigo Dedura-Palomero vs Vadym Ursu	10	$31	63	29	+34	Deigo Dedura-Palomero	+$25	10-05 13:40
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	17	$30	1,084	1,084	+0	Yes	+$5	10-04 20:02
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10?	4	$30	128	128	+0	No	+$19	10-10 01:34
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on October 1?	9	$29	324	324	+0	No	+$18	10-01 16:55
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$29	50	50	+0	open	—	09-23 02:31
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	9	$29	340	340	+0	No	+$6	10-04 20:42
Will Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?	5	$28	274	274	+0	Yes	+$19	10-07 20:59
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	14	$28	745	745	+0	No	+$15	10-10 04:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20?	4	$27	37	35	+2	No	$0	09-19 08:25
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	10	$27	366	366	+0	Yes	+$3	09-30 19:34
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?	3	$27	80	80	+0	open	—	10-03 23:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:46:38	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x73cb30…
10-21 20:51:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0xd536e8…
10-21 02:40:48	Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x9aa510…
10-20 17:58:27	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x6b7e1d…
10-20 17:58:24	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xdde588…
10-20 13:32:20	Will "Wildwood" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xf38169…
10-20 13:32:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x256c71…
10-20 13:32:12	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x4373ac…
10-20 13:32:02	Will Patrick Von Dohlen win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	103	1¢	$1	0x64f173…
10-19 20:14:44	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x0fdc50…
10-19 07:53:21	Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x00842b…
10-19 01:50:15	Will Jordan Love win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x5320fd…
10-18 18:30:44	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 975m and 980m by October 31?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x3bffd7…
10-18 16:38:32	Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x7c3bf5…
10-18 16:35:42	Will AZ win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x65e677…
10-18 16:35:24	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $200 in October?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xd693e7…
10-18 16:35:20	Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x313ac8…
10-18 16:35:15	Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x7e1d9f…
10-18 16:35:09	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x6308a2…
10-18 16:35:03	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xaaf7f8…
10-18 16:34:59	Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x2282d0…
10-18 16:34:56	Will Trump speak to Miguel Díaz-Canel by October 31?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x84ecad…
10-18 16:34:51	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xd84122…
10-18 16:34:44	Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xca4898…
10-18 16:34:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x1b6693…
10-18 16:34:35	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xdbe423…
10-18 16:34:27	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0xbe6cc4…
10-18 16:34:23	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x32fb57…
10-18 16:34:11	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0xa361f9…
10-18 16:34:06	Will Fjord win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	39	1¢	$0	0x22d400…
10-18 16:34:00	France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0x797b67…
10-18 16:33:53	Will Bo Nix win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	SELL	229	0¢	$1	0x649e7f…
10-18 10:51:44	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	1¢	$1	0xfc2b1f…
10-18 05:58:08	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0x21a200…
10-18 05:57:53	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?	Yes	SELL	76	0¢	$0	0x009410…
10-18 05:05:38	Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xb134eb…
10-18 02:48:30	Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xcfd876…
10-18 00:34:06	Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x17e8d4…
10-18 00:33:56	Will Adam Scheinherr be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	SELL	68	2¢	$1	0x26c2fd…
10-18 00:33:51	Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x7d5c4e…
10-18 00:33:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?	Yes	SELL	141	1¢	$1	0x91e7b2…
10-18 00:33:42	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	208	0¢	$1	0x24b723…
10-18 00:33:39	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?	No	SELL	147	0¢	$1	0x9ba514…
10-18 00:33:29	Will Italy be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xb2fd8f…
10-18 00:33:02	Epic Games IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	97	1¢	$1	0x89084e…
10-18 00:32:57	Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by October 31?	Yes	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0x61c942…
10-18 00:32:53	Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by December 31?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0x61f4d5…
10-18 00:32:48	Will Brayden Burries win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	399	0¢	$2	0x3f0180…
10-18 00:32:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in October?	Yes	SELL	90	2¢	$1	0x32fa60…
10-18 00:32:14	Will VfB Stuttgart finish first in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	155	1¢	$2	0x6bef12…
10-18 00:32:02	Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	2¢	$2	0x0e56a4…
10-18 00:31:59	Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	49	3¢	$1	0x2cc117…
10-18 00:31:48	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x3b8a30…
10-18 00:31:03	Will Nir Barkat be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xfe9983…
10-18 00:30:42	Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x15b992…
10-18 00:30:29	Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xd1e343…
10-18 00:30:05	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x12b37e…
10-18 00:29:23	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	126	2¢	$2	0x80e225…
10-17 23:56:38	Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x8427ae…
10-17 23:50:48	Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xedba33…
10-17 20:58:47	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in October?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xe63e73…
10-17 19:05:20	Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x97cf1f…
10-17 18:45:29	Netanyahu drops out before election?	Yes	SELL	77	2¢	$1	0xd14653…
10-17 17:36:56	Will the Republican Party win the CA-30 House seat?	Yes	SELL	47	3¢	$1	0x6de8bf…
10-17 17:08:42	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	SELL	111	3¢	$4	0x6ed3da…
10-17 17:02:35	Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	59	5¢	$3	0x558fd7…
10-17 16:27:26	Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x616825…
10-17 15:52:45	Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0x6e0441…
10-17 15:17:47	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xcd4f91…
10-17 12:13:24	Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31?	Yes	SELL	62	1¢	$1	0x7c60eb…
10-17 11:46:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0xb26107…
10-17 10:50:21	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?	No	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x20ebfa…
10-17 10:50:06	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso?	No	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xe4c303…
10-17 10:47:56	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xe2cde1…
10-17 10:44:33	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?	No	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0xeff87c…
10-17 10:44:33	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x059b89…
10-17 09:56:05	Will Nir Barkat be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xc4a49d…
10-17 08:47:20	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$1	0x96a15b…
10-17 07:36:24	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xa1e976…
10-17 07:33:59	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xb9c6a5…
10-17 07:02:41	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	1¢	$1	0xbe49d4…
10-17 05:11:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in October?	Yes	SELL	133	1¢	$2	0x140ced…
10-17 05:02:47	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xb1d7db…
10-17 03:49:29	Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x3a0c2f…
10-17 03:13:06	Will John Turturro win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	215	2¢	$5	0x07d28d…
10-17 03:08:23	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?	No	SELL	70	1¢	$0	0x4ece52…
10-16 21:18:23	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x4fc954…
10-16 19:31:37	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xcb8f48…
10-16 19:16:01	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	115	2¢	$3	0x94bf7e…
10-16 19:13:56	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x783222…
10-16 19:13:37	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xdd29aa…
10-16 19:02:10	Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	79	2¢	$2	0xdcdfb7…
10-16 18:58:56	Will Germany win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0xe02d1e…
10-16 18:30:36	Will the Republican Party win the CA-30 House seat?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xe2db1c…
10-16 17:33:36	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x577746…
10-16 17:32:50	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	2¢	$1	0x3f2343…
10-16 17:06:48	Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	115	4¢	$5	0x6deee9…
10-16 15:36:55	trump approval rating at least 37pt2 on october 16 2026	No	SELL	68	1¢	$0	0xbe5599…
10-16 15:23:54	Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xf8b647…
10-16 15:09:04	Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xdbe0a8…