Realized P&L
+$347
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
70.5%
Resolved
18,335
Trades
104,374
lifetime
Volume
$415.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$289
25 positions
First seen
2026-08-05
last 11-05 07:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
82% 45% +$435
Crypto
18% 42% -$96
Tech
0% 50% +$5
Politics
0% 50% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1840 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +70 $52 78¢ $55 +$3 11-05 07:22
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 November 2-8? No +30 $26 87¢ $26 +$1 11-04 23:56
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? No +30 $24 78¢ $23 -$1 11-05 01:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 5? Yes +30 $12 72¢ $22 +$10 11-04 15:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5? No +20 $16 93¢ $19 +$3 11-05 08:09
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +80 $19 22¢ $17 -$2 11-05 07:27
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +29 $25 57¢ $17 -$8 11-05 00:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5? Yes +20 $10 73¢ $15 +$4 11-04 17:14
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +30 $6 43¢ $13 +$6 11-05 07:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 5? No +40 $19 28¢ $11 -$8 11-05 06:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8? No +10 $4 99¢ $10 +$6 11-04 03:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8? No +10 $7 97¢ $10 +$3 11-02 14:33
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +10 $7 89¢ $9 +$2 11-04 18:45
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 November 2-8? No +20 $6 42¢ $8 +$2 11-04 22:44
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +32 $6 22¢ $7 +$2 11-05 07:36
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +10 $8 66¢ $7 -$1 11-04 07:57
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 November 2-8? Yes +10 $5 57¢ $6 +$0 11-04 18:56
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +10 $2 34¢ $3 +$1 11-04 15:04
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5? No +11 $6 27¢ $3 -$3 11-04 21:14
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 November 2-8? Yes +24 $2 13¢ $3 +$1 11-04 17:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 5? Yes +30 $3 7¢ $2 -$1 11-05 08:11
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 November 2-8? No +3 $3 52¢ $2 -$1 11-04 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +10 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 11-03 17:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8? Yes +20 $9 3¢ $1 -$9 11-04 03:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5? No +10 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 11-04 14:47