Spectacular-Stopwatch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$916

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

489

Trades

1,548

lifetime

Volume

$28.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 07:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 191 days

Categories

Other

45% 31% +$996

Politics

30% 11% -$1,503

Crypto

23% 26% -$263

Sports

1% 0% -$135

Tech

0% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	81	$2.5K	11,273	5,071	+6,202	Yes	+$852	03-30 20:56
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	29	$943	3,482	2,270	+1,212	No	-$133	01-16 19:52
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?	4	$591	503	503	+0	Yes	+$414	09-01 13:13
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	39	$547	4,402	852	+3,550	Yes	-$310	10-20 15:57
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	20	$540	8,543	5,543	+3,000	No	-$184	01-26 19:11
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in September?	10	$519	450	450	+0	Yes	+$361	09-30 17:43
will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	27	$506	1,651	1,651	+0	No	-$140	03-30 21:03
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	25	$505	3,599	3,599	+0	No	+$72	03-25 22:22
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	14	$423	1,036	1,036	+0	No	-$17	06-12 05:47
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	2	$400	211	211	+0	Over	-$14	07-18 21:19
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	24	$384	1,281	954	+327	No	-$10	01-31 13:50
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	11	$379	1,979	1,480	+498	No	+$153	05-16 22:52
will israel strike lebanon on january 27 2026	5	$351	305	305	+0	Yes	+$85	01-27 09:22
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	17	$331	5,805	5,805	+0	No	-$39	01-24 06:21
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	2	$305	155	155	+0	Under	+$5	07-05 22:04
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 4pt5	2	$289	147	147	+0	Under	+$4	07-05 21:42
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	5	$269	300	200	+100	Yes	+$179	07-15 20:56
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	10	$268	1,405	1,405	+0	open	—	10-28 09:08
bitcoin above 64k on july 4 2026	2	$258	130	130	+0	No	+$2	07-04 15:10
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	16	$235	3,463	3,463	+0	No	-$91	01-24 06:20
ethereum above 3100 on january 2	10	$222	443	443	+0	Yes	+$178	01-02 16:15
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 Senegal?	2	$219	111	111	+0	No	+$2	07-01 21:43
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	10	$218	460	460	+0	No	+$46	06-12 20:54
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 DR Congo?	2	$212	108	108	+0	No	+$3	07-01 17:47
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?	5	$208	168	168	+0	Yes	+$103	09-28 14:53
bitcoin above 58k on july 1 2026	2	$206	104	104	+0	Yes	+$2	07-01 15:04
bitcoin above 62k on july 17 2026	1	$206	208	0	+208	Yes	+$2	07-17 14:26
bitcoin above 62k on july 16 2026	1	$202	203	0	+203	Yes	+$1	07-16 13:15
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	10	$202	2,105	1,605	+500	No	-$123	02-01 01:50
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	2	$201	101	101	+0	Yes	+$1	06-30 20:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 07:33:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$4	0x0ddabc…
11-01 15:36:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0xeb2ec3…
11-01 15:36:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x78a80d…
10-29 13:30:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	122	1¢	$2	0x5c8ae2…
10-28 22:37:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	122	23¢	$28	0x3cd4e6…
10-28 09:08:10	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$20	0x9b6aec…
10-27 21:32:14	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x7610a7…
10-27 20:04:38	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	300	6¢	$18	0x74a24d…
10-27 16:09:41	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	350	9¢	$32	0x5ff4d8…
10-27 11:24:44	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	650	9¢	$58	0x8de8b3…
10-24 11:18:33	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	185	14¢	$26	0xc92b31…
10-23 23:31:39	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	185	16¢	$30	0x864eab…
10-23 22:19:30	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	150	15¢	$22	0x1dcf5d…
10-23 07:11:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$5	0xcddd89…
10-22 20:35:12	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	70	15¢	$10	0xfd5b60…
10-22 14:29:11	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	220	16¢	$35	0xa17c1f…
10-22 13:09:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$13	0x9d7fa1…
10-20 15:57:42	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xbff8c4…
10-20 15:57:39	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0bc5cd…
10-20 15:57:33	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xd7c406…
10-20 15:56:15	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	90	4¢	$3	0x20b8ce…
10-20 15:56:00	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x32ebe0…
10-20 15:55:50	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x7fc9c3…
10-20 15:54:54	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0xd065c1…
10-20 15:54:54	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb0988c…
10-20 15:54:54	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x8025c6…
10-20 15:54:54	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x6e49a2…
10-20 15:54:21	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xc98637…
10-20 06:06:46	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	93	2¢	$2	0xbdcf13…
10-19 07:18:08	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	SELL	702	6¢	$41	0x34c21d…
10-17 10:48:35	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xbbbf9f…
10-17 10:06:42	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	193	12¢	$22	0x67d38c…
10-17 07:48:14	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	199	11¢	$21	0x81f268…
10-16 22:03:54	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	130	18¢	$23	0xe81d22…
10-16 04:28:24	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	SELL	150	52¢	$78	0x7fbd74…
10-15 17:41:16	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xb81457…
10-15 17:41:16	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	29	12¢	$3	0x7961d6…
10-15 17:39:04	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?	Yes	SELL	127	3¢	$4	0xff61c9…
10-15 15:46:04	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xdd7506…
10-15 15:46:02	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x718822…
10-15 15:45:59	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x3efe86…
10-15 15:45:55	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0xce0ad7…
10-15 15:45:55	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x927f1d…
10-15 15:44:53	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	491	8¢	$39	0xd16d9f…
10-15 15:22:17	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc84eb0…
10-15 11:31:19	ethereum above 2500 on october 15 2026	Yes	SELL	120	1¢	$1	0x7a271e…
10-15 06:01:19	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x17e721…
10-14 20:52:37	ethereum above 2500 on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x081b1e…
10-14 20:43:03	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	219	9¢	$19	0x047209…
10-13 13:55:01	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	481	9¢	$43	0xa955cc…
10-09 21:45:16	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	583	17¢	$97	0xefb953…
10-09 09:21:51	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?	Yes	BUY	27	13¢	$4	0x1a4706…
10-09 09:21:33	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x09d787…
10-08 22:23:45	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x762070…
10-07 13:25:40	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	215	6¢	$13	0x09f0f8…
10-06 23:29:17	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x47e74f…
10-06 04:17:36	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	140	8¢	$11	0xae9f5e…
10-03 20:24:20	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% in October?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xdcb27d…
10-03 20:24:07	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xe46db7…
10-03 20:19:23	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x1b68e7…
10-03 15:36:57	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	69	11¢	$8	0x7155c6…
10-03 15:35:56	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	870	10¢	$87	0x7b56ca…
10-03 15:28:57	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xc5db9f…
10-03 15:27:08	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xd99d41…
10-03 14:23:53	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?	Yes	BUY	54	29¢	$16	0x1c313e…
10-03 14:18:45	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?	Yes	BUY	178	29¢	$52	0x4b9277…
10-02 20:29:48	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb72980…
10-02 20:28:21	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% in October?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb7af62…
10-02 20:27:09	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xad4224…
10-02 20:25:53	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% in October?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6122ea…
10-02 20:22:35	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x360724…
10-02 20:22:06	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x70e188…
10-02 15:03:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 2?	Yes	SELL	127	0¢	$0	0xcb3830…
10-02 09:02:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	82	17¢	$14	0x878031…
10-02 09:01:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xaef866…
10-02 08:51:44	ethereum above 2800 on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0xaef9d6…
10-01 19:56:35	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x2ef818…
10-01 18:02:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x246d50…
10-01 18:02:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	80	35¢	$28	0x0008ea…
10-01 18:01:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	170	29¢	$49	0x55ba43…
10-01 17:38:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x01010e…
10-01 17:36:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	SELL	114	20¢	$23	0x69f025…
10-01 16:25:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	64	61¢	$39	0xcac815…
10-01 15:01:11	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x5702cf…
10-01 15:00:47	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x899e85…
10-01 14:01:53	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x74d44d…
10-01 13:33:14	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x3bb591…
10-01 07:53:09	will wti reach 105 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x164410…
10-01 06:05:06	ethereum above 2700 on october 1 2026	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xe3ee43…
10-01 06:04:36	ethereum above 2600 on october 1 2026	No	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x62f4ec…
09-30 23:20:41	ethereum above 2700 on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xbdfc18…
09-30 23:20:08	ethereum above 2600 on october 1 2026	No	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0x89d84b…
09-30 22:20:03	next astra model 6pt1 released by october 9 2026	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x24316d…
09-30 22:12:21	will wti reach 105 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xcce96f…
09-30 21:56:05	next astra model 6pt1 released by october 9 2026	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xe229e1…
09-30 20:18:44	ethereum above 2600 on october 1 2026	No	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x3f9d81…
09-30 17:43:18	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in September?	Yes	SELL	450	98¢	$440	0xe5bd73…
09-30 15:52:15	ethereum above 2700 on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xb1f068…
09-30 15:52:14	ethereum above 2700 on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x05f75c…
09-30 15:45:29	ethereum above 2700 on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb7cc6f…