Fluffy-Stag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$293

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.6%

Resolved

1,389

Trades

19,138

lifetime

Volume

$1.86M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 00:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 265 days

Categories

Other

84% 93% +$12,658

Crypto

7% 68% -$14,775

Sports

6% 89% +$1,169

Pop-Culture

1% 90% +$207

Politics

1% 92% +$449

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	82	$26.4K	25,805	1,015	+24,790	Yes	+$425	04-30 21:15
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	39	$26.0K	22,893	8,842	+14,052	No	-$2,444	05-04 17:39
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	70	$23.4K	15,190	17,602	-2,412	Yes	-$8,416	05-18 12:02
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	40	$21.4K	11,631	12,552	-922	Yes	+$1,205	02-09 04:24
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	16	$18.4K	12,556	6,000	+6,556	No	+$126	05-04 17:25
highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 11c	40	$16.2K	16,319	0	+16,319	No	+$128	04-20 12:04
will kanye release bully by april 3	15	$15.9K	15,914	0	+15,914	Yes	+$23	03-28 15:26
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	54	$15.7K	7,712	10,871	-3,159	Yes	-$1,894	05-18 11:30
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	2	$15.7K	15,711	0	+15,711	No	+$16	04-27 15:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?	16	$15.7K	15,815	0	+15,815	No	+$143	05-06 14:54
spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	37	$15.6K	15,890	1,312	+14,579	Up	-$1,051	04-09 17:55
spx up or down on april 23 2026	44	$13.9K	14,626	0	+14,626	Down	+$688	04-23 20:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	71	$12.3K	13,463	0	+13,463	Down	+$1,165	05-18 19:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	19	$12.1K	12,214	414	+11,800	No	-$265	06-03 13:55
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	280	$11.9K	7,083	6,745	+338	Yes	-$440	05-18 20:59
Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	51	$11.2K	11,083	439	+10,643	No	+$330	05-31 22:32
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 50m and 75m views in its first 7 days	99	$11.1K	7,930	3,410	+4,520	No	+$277	02-13 13:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4?	48	$10.1K	5,427	4,955	+472	No	+$206	06-04 18:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?	88	$10.1K	10,951	0	+10,951	Yes	+$851	05-01 17:24
highest temperature in london on april 4 2026 16c	20	$8.7K	8,195	567	+7,629	No	+$85	04-04 19:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 9?	48	$8.7K	7,879	895	+6,984	No	+$96	09-09 14:21
will stateside zara larsson pinkpantheress zara larsson be the 1 song on us spotify this week 112	91	$8.6K	6,872	2,034	+4,838	No	+$313	03-13 10:37
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 17c	30	$8.4K	8,440	185	+8,255	No	-$19	04-07 15:35
highest temperature in london on march 17 2026 16c	54	$8.4K	7,416	1,282	+6,134	No	+$252	03-17 18:12
spx up or down on april 21 2026	66	$8.4K	8,896	0	+8,896	Down	+$505	04-21 22:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 17?	19	$7.9K	7,927	0	+7,927	No	+$11	05-17 12:43
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 16c	54	$7.5K	7,498	0	+7,498	No	+$22	04-24 15:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?	40	$6.9K	7,240	0	+7,240	No	+$320	05-04 19:04
highest temperature in london on march 30 2026 13c	73	$6.8K	4,869	2,224	+2,645	No	+$61	03-30 19:13
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	70	$6.7K	6,833	135	+6,698	Yes	+$100	02-28 18:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:29:57	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	61¢	$23	0xee7569…
10-27 00:27:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xff5ca1…
10-27 00:25:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xb4f759…
10-27 00:24:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x0d3f73…
10-27 00:23:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x9eba1e…
10-27 00:23:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x144cf7…
10-27 00:18:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xd855a4…
10-26 15:17:14	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x8c53b2…
10-26 14:56:57	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	62¢	$10	0x1fa02c…
10-26 14:56:35	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x654cc9…
10-26 09:30:32	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	172	95¢	$164	0x9be89e…
10-25 23:51:42	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 25?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x898c54…
10-25 23:51:35	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x14e851…
10-25 23:51:29	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf4797e…
10-25 11:39:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0a157e…
10-25 11:37:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd5062e…
10-25 11:36:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x08d1d0…
10-25 11:36:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbfe87b…
10-25 11:30:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x933c7c…
10-25 11:28:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbeca6e…
10-25 11:28:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x069e8c…
10-25 11:27:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1,031	100¢	$1,030	0x049443…
10-24 20:11:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 24?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x834268…
10-24 20:11:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 24?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf7cacb…
10-24 18:00:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 24?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x2d2910…
10-24 17:17:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x055a5c…
10-24 12:46:54	Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb57ee…
10-24 12:45:17	Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on October 24?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x055b3f…
10-24 12:26:38	Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on October 24?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x68272e…
10-24 12:25:45	Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf736e1…
10-23 20:14:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x88ae57…
10-23 20:01:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x4fd0d7…
10-23 09:57:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0844a6…
10-22 17:59:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbe9ff2…
10-22 17:59:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7fdd42…
10-22 17:59:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x34123e…
10-22 17:59:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0f082f…
10-22 17:58:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdd2a57…
10-22 17:58:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x01bf75…
10-22 17:49:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2436a5…
10-22 17:48:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6da763…
10-22 04:26:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8ad48f…
10-22 04:26:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe6c64a…
10-22 04:26:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5a2dc0…
10-22 04:22:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0x5aed3d…
10-21 20:06:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4065dd…
10-21 11:35:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x15c0c8…
10-21 11:30:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 20?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6fff69…
10-21 08:55:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x3bd525…
10-20 23:52:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb99b09…
10-20 23:12:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x3f9503…
10-20 23:12:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x008746…
10-20 23:10:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 20?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$138	0x2f61f0…
10-20 23:10:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 20?	No	BUY	667	100¢	$665	0x91a435…
10-20 23:05:00	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd0c233…
10-20 23:03:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?	No	BUY	361	100¢	$360	0x097d94…
10-20 23:03:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x4b36a9…
10-20 22:54:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xc495a7…
10-20 22:53:15	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf51f63…
10-20 22:52:50	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 20?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x54f91d…
10-20 18:52:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xec89c2…
10-20 14:40:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0f909c…
10-20 13:02:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x8906c5…
10-20 12:52:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x104f5e…
10-20 12:51:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd8dc6e…
10-20 11:42:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa6d1d1…
10-20 09:45:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x324ad7…
10-20 09:44:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	147	98¢	$145	0x768f8e…
10-20 09:27:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x0eeff1…
10-20 09:26:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x7083d7…
10-20 09:17:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xdb6cf3…
10-20 08:49:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x839601…
10-20 08:49:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x61d5f6…
10-20 08:41:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c90ea…
10-20 08:36:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xd22269…
10-20 08:36:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x89e8b4…
10-20 08:36:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xc4dd44…
10-20 08:36:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xb9f2d3…
10-20 08:36:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xf113d2…
10-20 08:36:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x89b194…
10-20 08:36:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x93d7ca…
10-20 08:36:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x7915dd…
10-20 08:36:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x228ef8…
10-20 08:35:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xa70cd7…
10-20 08:35:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x5b50d4…
10-20 08:35:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x135381…
10-20 08:34:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x89b99d…
10-20 08:32:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x7a89ba…
10-20 08:31:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x8b57de…
10-20 08:31:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x8acf8c…
10-20 08:31:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xfc6e13…
10-20 08:31:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x1aac85…
10-20 08:31:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	233	99¢	$230	0x0cce8e…
10-20 08:30:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x3752e8…
10-20 08:30:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x5c3e93…
10-20 08:30:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xce181e…
10-20 08:30:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 20?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0xd5521c…
10-20 08:28:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0x57f521…
10-20 08:26:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0x2a6e60…
10-20 08:26:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x3e46dc…