Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

74.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$64

1 position

First seen

2026-02-06

last 11-02 21:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

92% 68% +$11

Sports

5% 33% -$59

Politics

3% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No		+65	$55	97¢	$64	+$9	08-09 21:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cze1 sso fmb 2026 04 04 spread away 1pt5	1	$59	65	0	+65	FK Mladá Boleslav	-$59	03-31 10:09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	1	$55	65	0	+65	open	—	08-09 21:31
will nvda reach 240 in july 2026	1	$53	55	0	+55	No	+$2	07-01 16:57
will nvda reach 264 in june 2026	1	$50	52	0	+52	No	+$2	06-04 17:52
bra2 csc ber 2026 03 21 total 1pt5	2	$49	72	0	+72	Over	+$22	03-21 16:33
sea nap laz 2026 04 18 spread away 1pt5	1	$40	41	0	+41	SS Lazio	-$40	04-12 16:30
euroleague baskonia zvezda 2026 03 25	1	$39	69	0	+69	KK Crvena Zvezda	+$30	03-24 20:57
Will Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?	1	$36	40	0	+40	open	—	10-03 19:17
lal rea ala 2026 04 21 spread away 1pt5	2	$36	37	0	+37	Real Madrid CF	+$1	04-17 20:27
bl2 h96 elv 2026 04 05 spread away 2pt5	1	$35	38	0	+38	Hannover 96	+$2	03-31 10:13
dota2 astini spirit1 2026 03 21 game1	2	$35	41	0	+41	Astini+5	+$6	03-21 00:10
lol es1 gal 2026 03 23	1	$34	42	0	+42	Galions	+$8	03-22 20:19
nba min gsw 2026 03 13 spread away 6pt5	1	$34	64	0	+64	Timberwolves	-$34	03-13 23:30
egy1 pyf ems 2026 04 11 spread away 1pt5	1	$31	33	0	+33	Pyramids FC	+$3	04-06 21:25
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	3	$30	32	0	+32	Yes	+$2	02-14 00:39
spx up or down on october 29 2026	3	$27	50	0	+50	Down	+$23	10-28 20:05
bkcba jil lia 2026 03 25	1	$26	38	0	+38	Jilin Northeast Tigers	-$26	03-24 23:22
cze1 ssp fvp 2026 04 11 spread away 1pt5	1	$26	28	0	+28	SK Slavia Praha	+$2	04-10 09:42
nba por min 2026 03 20 spread home 2pt5	1	$25	55	0	+55	Trail Blazers	-$25	03-20 22:41
bl2 ber fck 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	1	$25	26	0	+26	Hertha BSC	+$1	04-06 21:46
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?	2	$24	16	16	+0	Up	+$6	10-01 19:59
tur riz sam 2026 04 09 spread away 2pt5	2	$24	25	0	+25	Çaykur Rizespor	+$1	04-06 13:55
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	2	$23	15	15	+0	Up	+$7	10-15 21:18
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	2	$21	40	0	+40	Down	+$19	10-06 20:06
will germany strike iran by march 31	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-09 19:58
col aek cry 2026 03 19 spread home 1pt5	1	$20	22	0	+22	Crystal Palace FC	+$2	03-13 16:42
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?	1	$20	35	0	+35	Up	+$15	11-02 21:03
col spp az 2026 03 19 spread away 2pt5	1	$20	21	0	+21	AZ	-$20	03-14 19:00
bl2 s04 ksc 2026 04 05 spread away 1pt5	1	$18	19	0	+19	FC Schalke 04	+$1	03-31 16:32
nor vif vik 2026 04 06 spread away 2pt5	1	$17	19	0	+19	Vålerenga Fotball	+$3	04-02 20:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 21:03:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0xa122e3…
11-02 21:02:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x5a2100…
10-31 19:01:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xc90f4a…
10-28 20:05:32	spx up or down on october 29 2026	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x69b3e1…
10-28 20:05:32	spx up or down on october 29 2026	Down	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x58465b…
10-28 20:05:31	spx up or down on october 29 2026	Down	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xde95bc…
10-28 20:04:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xbc82de…
10-27 20:29:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xf11f84…
10-26 19:03:39	spx up or down on october 27 2026	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x865593…
10-23 19:31:48	spx up or down on october 26 2026	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xdd1415…
10-23 19:30:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x78de6d…
10-22 19:59:08	spx up or down on october 23 2026	Up	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xb061a9…
10-21 21:16:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5d6561…
10-21 20:38:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x488a0c…
10-21 19:46:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x76947c…
10-20 20:24:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xe6ec0d…
10-19 21:20:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x4fe882…
10-16 22:25:53	spx up or down on october 19 2026	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x2bbade…
10-15 21:21:48	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4fde34…
10-15 21:18:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfcf16b…
10-14 20:15:07	spx up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x2151df…
10-13 20:57:18	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf19723…
10-13 19:26:48	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xf3521d…
10-12 20:46:29	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb3279e…
10-12 15:27:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x261c57…
10-11 14:46:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x7e6c0a…
10-08 21:34:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0xe6889e…
10-07 21:10:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xfa58c2…
10-06 20:06:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x6bac85…
10-05 19:38:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xf40101…
10-04 22:01:02	spx up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x4267e9…
10-03 19:17:30	Will Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xd4d982…
10-01 20:13:47	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x50d215…
10-01 19:59:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0x5d3cda…
09-30 20:32:32	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0xd4c555…
09-30 10:43:53	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x346d81…
09-30 10:40:05	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf6cfb7…
08-09 21:31:58	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	65	84¢	$55	0x7ac49f…
07-01 16:57:05	will nvda reach 240 in july 2026	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0xffbfe2…
06-04 17:52:45	will nvda reach 264 in june 2026	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xa82367…
04-17 20:27:30	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 spread away 1pt5	Real Madrid CF	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x7521a5…
04-17 20:13:32	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 spread away 1pt5	Real Madrid CF	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xa6dfeb…
04-12 16:30:13	sea nap laz 2026 04 18 spread away 1pt5	SSC Napoli	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x166474…
04-10 09:42:17	cze1 ssp fvp 2026 04 11 spread away 1pt5	SK Slavia Praha	BUY	28	91¢	$26	0xa7782c…
04-06 21:46:53	bl2 ber fck 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	Hertha BSC	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xfcf68c…
04-06 21:25:11	egy1 pyf ems 2026 04 11 spread away 1pt5	Pyramids FC	BUY	33	92¢	$31	0x515632…
04-06 13:55:05	tur riz sam 2026 04 09 spread away 2pt5	Çaykur Rizespor	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xdf09e7…
04-06 13:45:43	tur riz sam 2026 04 09 spread away 2pt5	Çaykur Rizespor	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x9fae7f…
04-02 20:04:09	nor vif vik 2026 04 06 spread away 2pt5	Vålerenga Fotball	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0x26128d…
03-31 16:32:43	bl2 s04 ksc 2026 04 05 spread away 1pt5	FC Schalke 04	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x4d85ba…
03-31 10:13:31	bl2 h96 elv 2026 04 05 spread away 2pt5	Hannover 96	BUY	38	94¢	$35	0x9a1cd8…
03-31 10:09:15	cze1 sso fmb 2026 04 04 spread away 1pt5	SK Sigma Olomouc	BUY	65	91¢	$59	0x3b2d48…
03-25 22:49:29	atp paul fils 2026 03 25	Arthur Fils	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0xe998d0…
03-24 23:22:45	bkcba jil lia 2026 03 25	Liaoning Flying Leopards	BUY	38	69¢	$26	0xb54a7f…
03-24 20:57:37	euroleague baskonia zvezda 2026 03 25	KK Crvena Zvezda	BUY	69	57¢	$39	0xe396ef…
03-24 12:26:43	j1100 vis san 2026 03 27 spread home 2pt5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xee9ea0…
03-24 12:02:51	atp taverna arias 2026 03 24	Santiago Rodriguez Taverna	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x71c260…
03-24 11:37:29	atp pacheco ayeni 2026 03 24	Rodrigo Pacheco	BUY	15	76¢	$12	0x37f06c…
03-23 16:31:19	atp pavlovi walton 2026 03 23	Adam Walton	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x5ac261…
03-23 15:55:37	atp kuzmano fatic 2026 03 23	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0xcd70ec…
03-22 20:19:27	lol es1 gal 2026 03 23	Galions	BUY	42	81¢	$34	0x77fec3…
03-22 19:23:05	atp aguilar houkes 2026 03 23	Daniel Merida Aguilar	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x9b3dc6…
03-22 19:07:23	atp sil michals 2026 03 23	Frederico Ferreira Silva	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x319392…
03-22 15:04:55	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xf998d0…
03-21 16:33:41	bra2 csc ber 2026 03 21 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0x64d390…
03-21 16:33:21	bra2 csc ber 2026 03 21 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	51	69¢	$35	0xf40681…
03-21 00:10:37	dota2 astini spirit1 2026 03 21 game1	Astini+5	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x3cc1ca…
03-20 23:58:03	dota2 astini spirit1 2026 03 21 game1	Astini+5	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x727233…
03-20 22:41:59	nba por min 2026 03 20 spread home 2pt5	Timberwolves	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0xaa2234…
03-14 19:00:59	col spp az 2026 03 19 spread away 2pt5	AC Sparta Praha	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x2cdf37…
03-14 16:05:35	bun lei hof 2026 03 20 spread away 1pt5	RB Leipzig	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xe38736…
03-13 23:30:17	nba min gsw 2026 03 13 spread away 6pt5	Warriors	BUY	64	53¢	$34	0x98af24…
03-13 16:42:23	col aek cry 2026 03 19 spread home 1pt5	Crystal Palace FC	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x3e0b55…
03-13 14:28:59	uel ast4 lil 2026 03 19 spread away 1pt5	Aston Villa FC	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x56306b…
03-13 14:13:57	col rak fio 2026 03 19 spread home 2pt5	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x70febc…
03-09 19:58:57	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xff014f…
03-09 01:09:17	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x7c67cc…
03-03 23:31:37	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x036ef6…
02-28 20:46:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x59ca44…
02-17 17:48:23	will paris saint germain advance to the round of 16	Yes	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0xe71ad1…
02-14 00:39:07	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x6cbf71…
02-10 01:11:19	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x5aa22f…
02-08 22:14:29	will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8c4540…
02-08 21:44:41	bun bay hof 2026 02 08 bay	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb60f37…
02-08 13:41:25	bun bay hof 2026 02 08 bay	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xcf8fad…
02-06 22:02:35	us strikes iran by february 7 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xec7006…
02-06 21:59:39	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1c8597…