Realized P&L
+$787
Unrealized P&L
+$11.9K
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved
1,572
Trades
1,115,579
lifetime
Volume
$3.73M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$94.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 12:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
76% 43% +$590
Politics
10% 44% +$33
Crypto
8% 39% +$8
Sports
5% 42% +$155
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 19665 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +18,502 $9,440 98¢ $18.2K +$8,747 07-20 12:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +14,345 $7,349 68¢ $9.7K +$2,334 07-20 02:01
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +10,520 $8,579 84¢ $8.9K +$310 06-26 15:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +12,684 $6,673 64¢ $8.2K +$1,509 06-30 09:25
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +10,010 $7,041 80¢ $8.1K +$1,017 06-12 22:53
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +14,357 $7,003 32¢ $4.7K $-2,337 07-19 23:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +8,281 $6,785 55¢ $4.5K $-2,271 07-20 07:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +12,656 $5,998 36¢ $4.5K $-1,505 06-12 22:53
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4,686 $3,671 88¢ $4.1K +$476 06-17 03:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +8,215 $1,480 46¢ $3.7K +$2,258 07-20 08:17
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +2,991 $1,292 100¢ $3.0K +$1,696 07-20 15:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +3,359 $2,415 83¢ $2.8K +$373 06-30 17:53
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +10,027 $2,973 20¢ $2.0K $-1,018 06-09 23:30
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +10,510 $1,936 16¢ $1.6K $-307 06-26 09:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,645 $1,337 86¢ $1.4K +$86 07-12 00:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,916 $1,517 74¢ $1.4K $-109 07-20 15:51
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,077 $658 100¢ $1.1K +$418 06-20 21:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +939 $420 82¢ $770 +$350 07-05 09:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,359 $943 17¢ $571 $-372 06-30 12:09
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +887 $449 62¢ $554 +$105 07-19 22:23
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +4,675 $1,012 12¢ $538 $-474 06-17 03:54
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +645 $363 82¢ $525 +$162 07-11 17:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,921 $401 26¢ $509 +$109 07-20 16:00
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +552 $490 92¢ $505 +$15 07-08 17:30
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +897 $503 54¢ $485 $-19 07-14 14:15
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +487 $215 88¢ $431 +$216 07-09 02:26
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +896 $395 46¢ $412 +$18 07-14 14:09
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +504 $391 79¢ $398 +$8 07-20 15:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +656 $186 52¢ $338 +$152 07-06 12:03
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +369 $335 92¢ $338 +$3 07-10 07:30