Realized P&L
+$787
Unrealized P&L
+$1.13K
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved
1,572
Trades
625,751
lifetime
Volume
$1.58M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$62.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
66% 43% +$590
Politics
12% 44% +$33
Crypto
11% 39% +$8
Sports
9% 42% +$155
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 19665 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +9,995 $7,030 74¢ $7.3K +$316 06-09 21:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +12,618 $6,636 55¢ $6.9K +$241 06-09 21:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +12,586 $5,966 46¢ $5.7K $-240 06-09 21:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +8,838 $4,673 62¢ $5.4K +$763 06-09 20:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5,297 $2,805 70¢ $3.7K +$930 06-09 18:26
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +4,519 $2,999 82¢ $3.7K +$684 06-09 20:22
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4,291 $3,371 80¢ $3.5K +$83 06-08 01:17
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +8,861 $4,179 38¢ $3.4K $-768 06-09 20:37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +10,019 $2,971 26¢ $2.7K $-316 06-09 21:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +2,864 $2,018 82¢ $2.4K +$345 06-09 21:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,855 $1,344 90¢ $1.7K +$335 06-09 18:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +5,331 $2,501 30¢ $1.6K $-929 06-09 18:35
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +2,185 $1,473 70¢ $1.5K +$67 06-09 21:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +2,367 $1,264 63¢ $1.5K +$227 06-09 21:38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,579 $1,283 82¢ $1.3K +$12 06-09 21:37
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +1,471 $1,003 68¢ $993 $-10 06-09 21:40
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +954 $307 100¢ $953 +$647 06-07 22:53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,354 $1,088 37¢ $871 $-217 06-09 21:39
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +4,299 $921 20¢ $838 $-83 06-08 01:16
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +4,508 $1,512 18¢ $834 $-678 06-09 20:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +960 $838 86¢ $830 $-8 06-09 21:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,123 $832 68¢ $769 $-63 06-09 06:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +910 $691 76¢ $687 $-4 06-09 21:28
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +2,184 $694 30¢ $644 $-50 06-09 21:46
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +520 $393 99¢ $515 +$122 06-08 08:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,821 $827 18¢ $494 $-333 06-09 21:29
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +677 $462 72¢ $488 +$25 06-09 21:49
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +506 $470 96¢ $484 +$13 06-07 22:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +538 $475 90¢ $481 +$6 06-09 21:36
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +1,475 $469 32¢ $479 +$10 06-09 21:40