Realized P&L
+$787
Unrealized P&L
+$10.1K
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved
1,572
Trades
910,272
lifetime
Volume
$2.75M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$121.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
71% 43% +$590
Politics
13% 44% +$33
Crypto
9% 39% +$8
Sports
6% 42% +$155
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 19665 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +12,498 $7,275 100¢ $12.4K +$5,173 06-20 09:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +17,762 $8,847 62¢ $10.9K +$2,076 06-29 18:36
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +10,520 $8,579 85¢ $8.9K +$363 06-26 15:40
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +14,274 $7,301 60¢ $8.5K +$1,192 06-29 03:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +8,268 $6,467 99¢ $8.2K +$1,747 06-28 02:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +10,010 $7,041 74¢ $7.4K +$316 06-12 22:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +12,682 $6,672 57¢ $7.3K +$621 06-10 01:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +17,885 $8,961 38¢ $6.9K $-2,075 06-29 16:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +7,811 $6,490 82¢ $6.4K $-47 06-28 15:26
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +14,286 $6,979 40¢ $5.8K $-1,193 06-29 02:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +12,656 $5,998 42¢ $5.4K $-619 06-12 22:53
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +4,597 $3,393 99¢ $4.6K +$1,179 06-27 07:32
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4,686 $3,671 84¢ $3.9K +$242 06-17 03:54
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +3,114 $2,502 100¢ $3.1K +$609 06-27 10:33
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +3,890 $2,035 75¢ $2.9K +$871 06-29 22:46
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +10,027 $2,973 26¢ $2.7K $-316 06-09 23:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +3,349 $2,407 74¢ $2.5K +$87 06-19 18:16
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +10,510 $1,936 15¢ $1.6K $-359 06-26 09:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1,635 $1,329 88¢ $1.4K +$102 06-12 19:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7,745 $1,304 18¢ $1.4K +$51 06-28 04:35
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1,200 $1,030 100¢ $1.2K +$166 06-22 17:05
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,077 $658 100¢ $1.1K +$418 06-20 21:53
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +1,045 $758 99¢ $1.0K +$274 06-26 05:49
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,030 $921 99¢ $1.0K +$101 06-29 13:07
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +3,847 $1,705 25¢ $973 $-732 06-29 22:45
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +950 $891 100¢ $949 +$59 06-21 08:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,349 $941 26¢ $854 $-87 06-21 04:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +955 $781 86¢ $817 +$36 06-22 01:31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +803 $720 99¢ $796 +$76 06-18 12:20
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +4,675 $1,012 16¢ $771 $-240 06-17 03:54