Realized P&L
-$37
Unrealized P&L
-$48
Hit rate
5.5%
Resolved
5,653
Trades
336,543
lifetime
Volume
$1.71M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$577
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 07-21 00:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
64% 3% $-10
Crypto
35% 3% $-26
Sports
1%
Politics
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 9164 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +834 $233 26¢ $221 $-13 07-20 14:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +240 $216 74¢ $177 $-39 07-20 14:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +125 $70 56¢ $69 $-1 07-21 03:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +240 $41 22¢ $52 +$10 07-16 22:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +20 $18 99¢ $19 +$1 07-11 21:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +85 $18 20¢ $17 $-0 07-21 02:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +35 $11 34¢ $12 +$1 07-16 02:56
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +19 $10 38¢ $7 $-3 07-11 18:49
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +7 $3 30¢ $2 $-0 07-10 15:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +34 $4 $0 $-4 07-11 14:37