Realized P&L
-$87.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$465
Hit rate
58.3%
Resolved
64,455
Trades
550,631
lifetime
Volume
$4.72M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$4.35K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 10-31 15:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 216 days
Categories
Other
66% 43% -$94,981
Crypto
32% 18% +$2,867
Sports
2% 50% +$4,274
Politics
0% 62% +$775
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 12775 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,429 $1,104 82¢ $1.2K +$75 07-31 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down — +554 $255 98¢ $546 +$291 10-31 15:49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +522 $478 94¢ $494 +$16 07-26 13:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 31? No +313 $218 100¢ $312 +$94 10-28 16:49
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +277 $254 92¢ $254 -$1 08-01 01:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31? No +160 $48 100¢ $160 +$112 10-24 16:57
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +160 $149 84¢ $135 -$14 08-07 18:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +138 $105 92¢ $126 +$21 08-07 19:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 31? No +115 $58 100¢ $115 +$57 10-28 08:26
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +114 $108 96¢ $110 +$1 07-26 10:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +108 $95 91¢ $98 +$3 07-25 19:25
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +94 $49 100¢ $94 +$45 04-29 04:24
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +81 $18 94¢ $76 +$59 08-05 00:23
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +240 $77 32¢ $76 -$1 08-22 07:41
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +100 $57 74¢ $74 +$17 04-28 13:09
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +68 $57 86¢ $58 +$1 08-14 01:08
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +383 $121 15¢ $55 -$65 08-02 03:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +420 $236 12¢ $48 -$188 08-07 18:12
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 No +52 $32 92¢ $48 +$16 08-04 17:47
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +282 $68 15¢ $42 -$25 08-14 17:17
No one announced as next James Bond? No +46 $34 82¢ $38 +$4 08-23 06:14
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +34 $15 99¢ $34 +$19 07-11 14:41
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +38 $31 88¢ $33 +$2 08-17 02:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +37 $30 86¢ $32 +$2 08-15 23:15
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +144 $29 16¢ $23 -$6 08-22 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up — +23 $9 99¢ $22 +$14 10-31 15:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +112 $50 18¢ $20 -$30 07-29 00:03
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +21 $16 83¢ $17 +$1 08-23 06:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +764 $66 2¢ $15 -$52 08-16 15:55
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +30 $16 46¢ $14 -$2 08-01 02:51