Realized P&L
-$90.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$97
Hit rate
58.4%
Resolved
64,142
Trades
545,883
lifetime
Volume
$4.64M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$3.58K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 10-30 17:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 215 days
Categories
Other
67% 43% -$94,981
Crypto
31% 17% -$64
Sports
2% 50% +$4,274
Politics
0% 62% +$775
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 10510 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,429 $1,104 82¢ $1.2K +$75 07-31 22:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +522 $478 94¢ $494 +$16 07-26 13:22
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +277 $254 90¢ $250 -$4 08-01 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up — +186 $72 98¢ $183 +$111 10-30 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up — +169 $62 98¢ $166 +$104 10-30 17:27
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +160 $149 84¢ $135 -$14 08-07 18:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +138 $105 92¢ $126 +$21 08-07 19:37
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +114 $108 97¢ $110 +$2 07-26 10:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +108 $95 94¢ $102 +$7 07-25 19:25
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +94 $49 100¢ $94 +$45 04-29 04:24
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +100 $57 78¢ $78 +$22 04-28 13:09
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +81 $18 94¢ $76 +$59 08-05 00:23
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +240 $77 30¢ $73 -$4 08-22 07:41
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +68 $57 86¢ $58 +$1 08-14 01:08
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +383 $121 12¢ $48 -$73 08-02 03:24
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 No +52 $32 90¢ $47 +$15 08-04 17:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +420 $236 11¢ $44 -$192 08-07 18:12
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +282 $68 16¢ $44 -$24 08-14 17:17
No one announced as next James Bond? No +46 $34 77¢ $36 +$2 08-23 06:14
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +38 $31 93¢ $35 +$4 08-17 02:00
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +34 $15 99¢ $34 +$19 07-11 14:41
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +37 $30 85¢ $32 +$2 08-15 23:15
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +144 $29 16¢ $22 -$6 08-22 06:55
bitcoin above 76k on october 31 2026 No +160 $27 13¢ $21 -$6 10-24 16:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +112 $50 18¢ $20 -$30 07-29 00:03
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +21 $16 83¢ $17 +$1 08-23 06:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +764 $66 2¢ $15 -$51 08-16 15:55
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +30 $16 47¢ $14 -$2 08-01 02:51
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +57 $14 23¢ $13 -$1 08-23 03:18
Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat? Yes +12 $12 97¢ $12 +$0 08-22 08:19