Unpleasant-Distinction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.10K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

12,495

Trades

57,313

lifetime

Volume

$832.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 285 days

Categories

Other

75% 53% +$1,006

Sports

17% 56% +$3,310

Politics

6% 54% -$263

Crypto

2% 50% -$806

Tech

0% 50% -$59

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$89

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 768 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	62	$5.1K	5,382	0	+5,382	United States	+$317	06-19 21:02
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	9	$1.1K	1,698	0	+1,698	BESTIA Academy	+$597	05-12 06:57
Will Trump say "France" or "Paris" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	18	$888	1,214	0	+1,214	Yes	+$128	10-22 15:39
Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	24	$683	1,360	0	+1,360	No	-$268	10-22 22:01
nba lac sac 2026 02 06	50	$680	1,259	0	+1,259	Clippers	-$50	02-07 05:19
Will Trump say "Filibuster" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	4	$674	800	0	+800	No	+$126	10-21 20:39
cbb sjst unlv 2026 02 10	60	$665	1,138	0	+1,138	UNLV Runnin' Rebels	+$17	02-11 05:38
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	2	$660	1,500	0	+1,500	Islam Makhachev	-$60	08-16 04:13
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 19?	23	$646	1,006	0	+1,006	Up	-$37	10-19 14:20
ufc riz jai3 2026 02 07	28	$645	619	292	+327	Kuniev	+$101	02-08 03:04
cbb pur iowa 2026 02 14	4	$635	408	408	+0	Purdue Boilermakers	+$180	02-14 23:57
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of September 14 2026?	27	$629	1,489	0	+1,489	No	-$130	09-18 11:07
nba bkn gsw 2026 03 25	76	$626	1,194	0	+1,194	Warriors	+$89	03-26 04:37
cbb mdes ncc 2026 02 02	54	$603	1,149	0	+1,149	North Carolina Central Eagles	-$101	02-03 00:04
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 6?	25	$595	1,085	0	+1,085	Up	-$32	10-06 14:12
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $197.50 Week of August 24 2026?	17	$592	715	400	+315	No	+$61	08-28 12:35
googl close above 365 on october 14 2026	11	$586	884	0	+884	No	+$43	10-14 10:44
nba hou min 2026 03 25	72	$572	1,089	0	+1,089	Timberwolves	-$112	03-26 04:28
cs2 furia fal2 2026 02 16	13	$571	400	340	+60	Team Falcons	+$138	02-16 20:56
will trump say spoiler during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	8	$569	827	0	+827	No	+$258	10-13 20:18
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	19	$563	305	305	+0	Yes	+$38	06-15 16:41
ufc mic1 mar14 2026 02 07	13	$557	300	300	+0	Oleksiejczuk	+$43	02-08 02:33
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on October 22?	11	$555	1,082	0	+1,082	No	-$71	10-22 09:12
spy up or down on august 31 2026	31	$555	675	250	+425	Down	-$70	08-31 14:33
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of August 24 2026?	19	$549	710	503	+207	No	-$10	08-25 08:29
spy closes above 765 on september 18 2026	10	$548	1,316	0	+1,316	No	-$82	09-18 04:38
nba atl det 2026 03 25	68	$545	951	0	+951	Hawks	-$102	03-26 01:50
Will Trump say "Milk" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	5	$539	674	0	+674	No	+$135	10-21 21:04
googl close above 350 on october 14 2026	21	$531	765	0	+765	No	-$207	10-14 19:30
will trump say reagan during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	13	$524	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$476	10-13 21:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:34:12	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x4c4f74…
10-27 13:25:08	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $51 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xd979e5…
10-27 13:22:48	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x8740e8…
10-27 13:13:53	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x902c21…
10-27 13:11:32	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xca302b…
10-27 13:11:12	Will Meta (META) close above $640 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xa9165a…
10-27 13:10:18	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xf371e2…
10-27 13:06:33	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xb0025b…
10-27 13:05:02	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xb72be9…
10-27 13:03:42	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on October 27?	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x6542b9…
10-27 13:02:59	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $305 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xb503eb…
10-27 13:01:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x239940…
10-27 13:00:35	Will Meta (META) close above $640 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0xf17a65…
10-27 13:00:35	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x6e72da…
10-27 12:59:45	SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	44	30¢	$13	0xaeb95d…
10-27 12:59:14	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x0b24c9…
10-27 12:58:44	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x198afd…
10-27 12:55:56	Will Robinhood say "Weekend" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x4e6bd4…
10-27 12:54:47	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on October 27?	No	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x4407e1…
10-27 12:52:24	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb6d262…
10-27 12:52:24	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x38ab00…
10-27 12:52:03	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 27?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xdead81…
10-27 12:51:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 27?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x4891f1…
10-27 12:49:08	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0x6e93df…
10-27 12:47:12	SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x7f395c…
10-27 12:45:26	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x3b97e2…
10-27 12:42:09	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x7d21f4…
10-27 12:41:29	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x70a132…
10-27 12:40:15	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x3b686b…
10-27 12:40:12	SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa39b31…
10-27 12:40:12	SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x12441d…
10-27 12:38:41	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	56	46¢	$26	0x5a415e…
10-27 12:35:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on October 27?	No	BUY	34	67¢	$23	0x50f7b8…
10-27 12:31:05	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x6c7e8a…
10-27 12:27:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0xd34773…
10-27 12:26:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on October 27?	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x55f948…
10-27 12:24:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	66	92¢	$61	0xe916ea…
10-27 12:23:18	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xc5c0d1…
10-27 12:13:26	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0x8573b6…
10-27 12:07:09	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 27?	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xb59989…
10-27 12:05:14	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0xba021c…
10-27 12:03:09	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x039880…
10-27 12:01:20	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x1ae213…
10-27 12:00:53	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	66	4¢	$3	0x11318f…
10-27 11:57:47	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $49 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x7c2e63…
10-27 11:56:02	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 on October 27?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xa9cd21…
10-27 11:55:56	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $325 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x1b25d1…
10-27 11:54:54	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x185571…
10-27 11:54:02	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xe53aad…
10-27 11:54:02	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0x87d493…
10-27 11:54:00	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xa565c7…
10-27 11:52:21	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x83dd18…
10-27 11:51:24	Will Robinhood say "Perp" / "Perpetual" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2ee2e9…
10-27 11:49:48	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $49 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x1d33a2…
10-27 11:47:51	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 on October 27?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xf69cb9…
10-27 11:47:35	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $325 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xbc79e1…
10-27 11:46:54	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9a3383…
10-27 11:46:33	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	66	4¢	$3	0xf66d98…
10-27 11:46:27	Will Google say "TPU" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x226924…
10-27 11:45:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	44	66¢	$29	0x690486…
10-27 11:44:15	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0xd0c3ae…
10-27 11:38:53	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0x0d1619…
10-27 11:38:08	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x7bab55…
10-27 11:36:41	Will Microsoft say "Azure" 15+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3c59cb…
10-27 11:33:42	Will Microsoft say "Copilot" 20+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x396b70…
10-27 11:33:33	Will Microsoft say "Azure" 15+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xf1a525…
10-27 11:25:36	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x382cbd…
10-27 11:22:27	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbed260…
10-27 11:20:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x39c786…
10-27 11:17:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on October 27?	No	BUY	54	52¢	$28	0x71da1c…
10-27 11:16:23	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x2eb4d0…
10-27 11:13:09	Will Google say "Quantum" during earnings call?	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x0d7e4e…
10-27 11:08:59	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x77dc8c…
10-27 11:08:48	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x8e3179…
10-27 11:05:05	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0xe097e9…
10-27 11:01:05	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0x993eb4…
10-27 11:01:00	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $189 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xcbdb59…
10-27 10:57:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 27?	No	BUY	66	90¢	$59	0x2c0eb8…
10-27 10:56:32	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x6054b0…
10-27 10:55:26	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x0fca9a…
10-27 10:55:24	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x49187b…
10-27 10:55:23	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x5e4bce…
10-27 10:55:21	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xc9437f…
10-27 10:54:44	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $49 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x4895a0…
10-27 10:53:44	Will Trump say "Barbecue" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xd22114…
10-27 10:49:50	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0xbb93ea…
10-27 10:49:11	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xece25a…
10-27 10:49:06	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x333243…
10-27 10:49:02	Will Trump say "Barbecue" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xb66134…
10-27 10:47:54	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on October 27?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x8f3f6b…
10-27 10:44:36	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on October 27?	No	BUY	66	90¢	$59	0x176240…
10-27 10:44:02	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xb1bf7f…
10-27 10:42:29	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x8a8c02…
10-27 10:38:26	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $502.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xc05def…
10-27 10:35:48	Will Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x126ed1…
10-27 10:34:41	Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x9ce62d…
10-27 10:32:50	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x58f93d…
10-27 10:24:32	Will Trump say "Drug" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x635eed…
10-27 10:23:35	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on October 27?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x4f83ea…
10-27 10:21:32	Will Coca-Cola say "Mexico" during earnings call?	No	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xdda821…