Unpleasant-Distinction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.10K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

12,495

Trades

57,166

lifetime

Volume

$829.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 285 days

Categories

Other

75% 53% +$1,006

Sports

17% 56% +$3,310

Politics

6% 54% -$263

Crypto

2% 50% -$806

Tech

0% 50% -$59

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$89

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 768 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	62	$5.1K	5,382	0	+5,382	United States	+$317	06-19 21:02
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	9	$1.1K	1,698	0	+1,698	BESTIA Academy	+$597	05-12 06:57
Will Trump say "France" or "Paris" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	18	$888	1,214	0	+1,214	Yes	+$128	10-22 15:39
Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	24	$683	1,360	0	+1,360	No	-$268	10-22 22:01
nba lac sac 2026 02 06	50	$680	1,259	0	+1,259	Clippers	-$50	02-07 05:19
Will Trump say "Filibuster" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	4	$674	800	0	+800	No	+$126	10-21 20:39
cbb sjst unlv 2026 02 10	60	$665	1,138	0	+1,138	UNLV Runnin' Rebels	+$17	02-11 05:38
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	2	$660	1,500	0	+1,500	Islam Makhachev	-$60	08-16 04:13
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 19?	23	$646	1,006	0	+1,006	Up	-$37	10-19 14:20
ufc riz jai3 2026 02 07	28	$645	619	292	+327	Kuniev	+$101	02-08 03:04
cbb pur iowa 2026 02 14	4	$635	408	408	+0	Purdue Boilermakers	+$180	02-14 23:57
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of September 14 2026?	27	$629	1,489	0	+1,489	No	-$130	09-18 11:07
nba bkn gsw 2026 03 25	76	$626	1,194	0	+1,194	Warriors	+$89	03-26 04:37
cbb mdes ncc 2026 02 02	54	$603	1,149	0	+1,149	North Carolina Central Eagles	-$101	02-03 00:04
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 6?	25	$595	1,085	0	+1,085	Up	-$32	10-06 14:12
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $197.50 Week of August 24 2026?	17	$592	715	400	+315	No	+$61	08-28 12:35
googl close above 365 on october 14 2026	11	$586	884	0	+884	No	+$43	10-14 10:44
nba hou min 2026 03 25	72	$572	1,089	0	+1,089	Timberwolves	-$112	03-26 04:28
cs2 furia fal2 2026 02 16	13	$571	400	340	+60	Team Falcons	+$138	02-16 20:56
will trump say spoiler during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	8	$569	827	0	+827	No	+$258	10-13 20:18
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	19	$563	305	305	+0	Yes	+$38	06-15 16:41
ufc mic1 mar14 2026 02 07	13	$557	300	300	+0	Oleksiejczuk	+$43	02-08 02:33
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on October 22?	11	$555	1,082	0	+1,082	No	-$71	10-22 09:12
spy up or down on august 31 2026	31	$555	675	250	+425	Down	-$70	08-31 14:33
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of August 24 2026?	19	$549	710	503	+207	No	-$10	08-25 08:29
spy closes above 765 on september 18 2026	10	$548	1,316	0	+1,316	No	-$82	09-18 04:38
nba atl det 2026 03 25	68	$545	951	0	+951	Hawks	-$102	03-26 01:50
Will Trump say "Milk" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	5	$539	674	0	+674	No	+$135	10-21 21:04
googl close above 350 on october 14 2026	21	$531	765	0	+765	No	-$207	10-14 19:30
will trump say reagan during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	13	$524	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$476	10-13 21:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:59:56	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on October 27?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xd1eb64…
10-27 08:59:56	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on October 27?	No	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0x07ddd0…
10-27 08:59:21	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $152.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0x743ad4…
10-27 08:49:47	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on October 27?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$17	0xd8cdfa…
10-27 08:49:47	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on October 27?	No	BUY	66	89¢	$59	0x194d70…
10-27 08:43:56	will microsoft say github 15 times during earnings call october 28	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x514b55…
10-27 08:43:56	will microsoft say excel during earnings call october 28	Yes	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0x0af754…
10-27 08:42:09	will microsoft say dividend during earnings call october 28	Yes	BUY	29	92¢	$26	0x714fd4…
10-27 08:41:20	Will Coca-Cola say "China" 4+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x438be7…
10-27 08:39:08	will microsoft say dividend during earnings call october 28	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xb6e356…
10-27 08:34:15	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe4b57b…
10-27 08:21:05	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x0689ec…
10-27 08:17:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x10931b…
10-27 08:16:57	Will Meta (META) close above $640 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xf02a2e…
10-27 08:10:11	Will Meta (META) close above $640 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	66	16¢	$11	0xef87b9…
10-27 08:09:24	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0ea57e…
10-27 08:09:21	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x3475aa…
10-27 08:09:18	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x795456…
10-27 08:00:33	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	33	43¢	$14	0xafa089…
10-27 08:00:26	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x6ab9c5…
10-27 08:00:17	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xc6aef0…
10-27 08:00:15	Meta (META) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	130	49¢	$64	0xdfca9c…
10-27 08:00:15	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x4e4280…
10-27 08:00:15	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x3235a8…
10-27 08:00:05	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	136	62¢	$84	0xfe9d9d…
10-27 07:59:51	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	47¢	$16	0xf516d1…
10-27 07:54:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x4f8748…
10-27 07:47:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x0b06c6…
10-27 07:41:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xc1b4c3…
10-27 07:37:26	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xab7ef1…
10-27 07:29:26	will google say miami during earnings call october 28	No	BUY	39	85¢	$33	0xcaa85f…
10-27 07:29:21	Will Google say "Chrome" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x7cf87b…
10-27 07:28:23	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $49 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xa8c6b6…
10-27 07:24:57	Will Coca-Cola say "Zero Sugar" during earnings call?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5eab61…
10-27 07:24:47	Will Coca-Cola say "Zero Sugar" during earnings call?	No	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x9178a9…
10-27 07:19:38	Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xe07e50…
10-27 07:18:20	Will Trump say "Suit" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x476d54…
10-27 07:10:27	Will Warsh say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x66084e…
10-27 07:08:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x04becf…
10-27 07:07:45	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $530 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x6856fc…
10-27 07:07:02	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x6c0238…
10-27 07:04:44	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	66	28¢	$18	0xb6f3b4…
10-27 07:03:38	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x2bd20a…
10-27 07:01:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x6d453e…
10-27 07:00:21	Will Trump say "Barbecue" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xac20d3…
10-27 06:54:02	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $152.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	66¢	$22	0x8b491f…
10-27 06:52:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $49 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x79120b…
10-27 06:39:17	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on October 27?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x75d4a3…
10-27 06:34:26	Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	66	10¢	$7	0x557287…
10-27 06:34:26	Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x436002…
10-27 06:32:32	Will Warsh say "Soft" or "Softening" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x5ae6af…
10-27 06:30:00	Will Coca-Cola say "Zero Sugar" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x84ab36…
10-27 06:30:00	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x4ed441…
10-27 06:29:15	Will Coca-Cola say "Oil" / "Gas" / "Gasoline" during earnings call?	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x66dfbf…
10-27 06:23:50	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x0307c8…
10-27 06:21:33	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x8a475a…
10-27 06:17:45	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x6672c0…
10-27 06:17:36	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x4f0dd2…
10-27 06:15:56	Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x781dec…
10-27 06:15:56	Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	66	11¢	$7	0x49d750…
10-27 06:11:00	Will Coca-Cola say "Oil" / "Gas" / "Gasoline" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x88ccfc…
10-27 06:07:23	Will Coca-Cola say "Zero Sugar" during earnings call?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x9ca85c…
10-27 06:03:47	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $530 on October 27?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x17f368…
10-27 05:53:50	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	33	59¢	$19	0xb3cd20…
10-27 05:52:57	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xf05bc1…
10-27 05:39:47	Will Robinhood say "AI" / "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4810c6…
10-27 05:35:51	Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	66	11¢	$7	0x447a05…
10-27 05:32:24	Will Meta (META) close above $660 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x620949…
10-27 05:27:15	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x282fed…
10-27 05:06:05	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0xc92f01…
10-27 05:05:45	Will Meta (META) close above $660 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0x4d4a7d…
10-27 05:05:20	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0xdd5d6c…
10-27 04:57:06	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $189 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xc2b3d0…
10-27 04:54:54	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	37	58¢	$21	0x716f9b…
10-27 04:44:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	33	41¢	$14	0xbd5f8a…
10-27 04:38:05	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xed66c1…
10-27 04:36:57	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x51e2e6…
10-27 04:34:24	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $189 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	33	62¢	$20	0xcfa1b4…
10-27 04:26:48	Will Andy Burnham say "Wales" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x746d22…
10-27 04:20:50	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xcc0685…
10-27 04:18:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xc07085…
10-27 04:15:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x111c92…
10-27 04:12:41	Will Meta (META) close above $650 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x81173b…
10-27 04:12:23	Will Meta (META) close above $640 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x4298f3…
10-27 04:08:54	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $520 on October 27?	No	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0xd73f2e…
10-27 04:05:38	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $152.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	62¢	$20	0x79b983…
10-27 04:02:47	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $189 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0x0fc174…
10-27 03:59:12	Will Coca-Cola say "Zero Sugar" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0xb42a38…
10-27 03:59:12	Will Coca-Cola say "Fanta" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x4cd222…
10-27 03:46:33	Will Meta (META) close above $660 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0x0e5e65…
10-27 03:44:09	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xed3052…
10-27 03:41:59	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0xceb91e…
10-27 03:31:56	Will Meta (META) close above $660 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0x09d378…
10-27 03:28:45	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xff3fd6…
10-27 03:25:23	meta close above 650 on october 27 2026	Yes	BUY	66	13¢	$9	0xf4fdfd…
10-27 03:22:18	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x2047e4…
10-27 03:22:09	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 27?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xcb0bab…
10-27 03:22:09	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on October 27?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x1aeee1…
10-27 03:22:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on October 27?	No	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0xdbfdbf…
10-27 03:22:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on October 27?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x9947d8…