Unpleasant-Distinction — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$494

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved (7d)

493

Trades (7d)

2,302

58,960 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$51.2K

$868.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 03:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 290 days

Categories

Other

76% 53% +$242

Sports

16% 56% +$3,323

Politics

6% 54% -$897

Crypto

2% 50% -$805

Tech

0% 62% -$52

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$89

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 768 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	62	$5.1K	5,382	0	+5,382	United States	+$317	06-19 21:02
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	9	$1.1K	1,698	0	+1,698	BESTIA Academy	+$597	05-12 06:57
Will Trump say "France" or "Paris" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	18	$888	1,214	0	+1,214	Yes	+$128	10-22 15:39
Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	17	$740	980	0	+980	Yes	+$240	10-28 16:46
Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	24	$683	1,360	0	+1,360	No	-$268	10-22 22:01
nba lac sac 2026 02 06	50	$680	1,259	0	+1,259	Clippers	-$50	02-07 05:19
Will Trump say "Filibuster" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	4	$674	800	0	+800	No	+$126	10-21 20:39
Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	23	$670	1,641	0	+1,641	No	+$252	10-28 20:07
cbb sjst unlv 2026 02 10	60	$665	1,138	0	+1,138	UNLV Runnin' Rebels	+$17	02-11 05:38
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	2	$660	1,500	0	+1,500	Islam Makhachev	-$60	08-16 04:13
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 19?	23	$646	1,006	0	+1,006	Up	-$37	10-19 14:20
ufc riz jai3 2026 02 07	28	$645	619	292	+327	Kuniev	+$101	02-08 03:04
cbb pur iowa 2026 02 14	4	$635	408	408	+0	Purdue Boilermakers	+$180	02-14 23:57
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of September 14 2026?	27	$629	1,489	0	+1,489	No	-$130	09-18 11:07
nba bkn gsw 2026 03 25	76	$626	1,194	0	+1,194	Warriors	+$89	03-26 04:37
cbb mdes ncc 2026 02 02	54	$603	1,149	0	+1,149	North Carolina Central Eagles	-$101	02-03 00:04
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 6?	25	$595	1,085	0	+1,085	Up	-$32	10-06 14:12
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $197.50 Week of August 24 2026?	17	$592	715	400	+315	No	+$61	08-28 12:35
googl close above 365 on october 14 2026	11	$586	884	0	+884	No	+$43	10-14 10:44
nba hou min 2026 03 25	72	$572	1,089	0	+1,089	Timberwolves	-$112	03-26 04:28
cs2 furia fal2 2026 02 16	13	$571	400	340	+60	Team Falcons	+$138	02-16 20:56
will trump say spoiler during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	8	$569	827	0	+827	No	+$258	10-13 20:18
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	19	$563	305	305	+0	Yes	+$38	06-15 16:41
ufc mic1 mar14 2026 02 07	13	$557	300	300	+0	Oleksiejczuk	+$43	02-08 02:33
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on October 22?	11	$555	1,082	0	+1,082	No	-$71	10-22 09:12
spy up or down on august 31 2026	31	$555	675	250	+425	Down	-$70	08-31 14:33
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of August 24 2026?	19	$549	710	503	+207	No	-$10	08-25 08:29
spy closes above 765 on september 18 2026	10	$548	1,316	0	+1,316	No	-$82	09-18 04:38
nba atl det 2026 03 25	68	$545	951	0	+951	Hawks	-$102	03-26 01:50
Will Trump say "Milk" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	5	$539	674	0	+674	No	+$135	10-21 21:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 05:03:01	Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x49e067…
11-02 04:06:18	Will Apple say "Formula 1 / F1" during earnings call?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xed361f…
11-02 03:55:45	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x2e3e22…
11-02 03:48:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xc2c44b…
11-02 03:48:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x377d0b…
11-02 03:46:15	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	88	73¢	$64	0x6a7070…
11-02 03:46:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x5b9e39…
11-02 03:45:22	Will Apple say "Apple Music" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x784b4f…
11-02 03:44:57	Will Meta (META) close above $620 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3b3cab…
11-02 03:42:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,000 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x24b110…
11-02 03:34:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x74ba20…
11-02 03:29:21	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xf724c2…
11-02 03:27:00	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0xc35f30…
11-02 03:25:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on November 2?	No	BUY	66	28¢	$18	0x42b549…
11-02 02:54:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xbe4f5a…
11-02 02:45:22	Will Apple say "OpenAI / ChatGPT" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xb4e2ac…
11-02 02:43:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x4b98e9…
11-02 02:37:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x93cade…
11-02 02:23:09	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on November 2?	No	BUY	34	86¢	$30	0x6afb51…
11-02 02:18:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x9d0786…
11-02 02:16:43	will amd say trump during earnings call november 3	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x4e9bcc…
11-02 02:13:43	Will Apple say "AI / Artificial Intelligence" 20+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3173a4…
11-02 02:06:24	will amd say tsmc during earnings call november 3	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x6b31ac…
11-02 01:57:13	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	66	69¢	$46	0x496ca6…
11-02 01:12:18	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0x34c984…
11-02 01:03:36	will amd say debt during earnings call november 3	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xad10e0…
11-02 01:03:30	will amd say debt during earnings call november 3	Yes	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0xc292c0…
11-02 01:02:40	Will AMD say "Growth" 10+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x23088c…
11-02 01:00:19	will amd say oracle during earnings call november 3	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xe8784b…
11-02 01:00:16	will amd say debt during earnings call november 3	Yes	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x975b14…
11-02 01:00:16	will amd say debt during earnings call november 3	Yes	BUY	34	52¢	$18	0x90b519…
11-02 01:00:15	Will AMD say "China" during earnings call?	No	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xf1adb9…
11-02 00:57:07	will amd say tariff during earnings call november 3	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x5cc18c…
11-02 00:57:06	will amd say intel during earnings call november 3	Yes	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x8526c5…
11-02 00:57:06	will amd say debt during earnings call november 3	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x764ed0…
11-02 00:57:04	will amd say intel during earnings call november 3	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xab76a8…
11-02 00:57:03	Will AMD say "China" during earnings call?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xc3fed9…
11-02 00:57:03	Will AMD say "China" during earnings call?	No	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x897d5f…
11-02 00:57:03	will amd say intel during earnings call november 3	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x483a67…
11-02 00:57:01	will amd say oracle during earnings call november 3	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x7dacbd…
11-02 00:56:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on November 2?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2f9d8c…
11-02 00:48:25	Will Apple say "AI / Artificial Intelligence" 20+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x0245b8…
11-02 00:29:57	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	141	65¢	$92	0xd47633…
11-02 00:09:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x8bc248…
11-02 00:07:55	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $285 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0xffe788…
11-02 00:05:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on November 2?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x5f5d59…
11-02 00:04:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x075238…
11-01 23:33:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on November 2?	No	BUY	66	84¢	$55	0xfda4c5…
11-01 23:33:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on November 2?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x1ebc76…
11-01 23:29:18	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $52 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0xd86f04…
11-01 23:25:18	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $285 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	66	32¢	$21	0x1f3232…
11-01 23:19:58	Will Meta (META) close above $600 on November 2?	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x3eaebd…
11-01 23:18:42	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xf1db88…
11-01 23:14:24	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $44 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x875009…
11-01 23:14:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xbda21b…
11-01 23:14:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $54 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xa50671…
11-01 23:14:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $53 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x604827…
11-01 23:14:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x5da0be…
11-01 23:14:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,000 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xd256d7…
11-01 23:14:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x897643…
11-01 23:14:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,050 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x0e403e…
11-01 23:11:06	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x7a56e3…
11-01 23:07:55	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x23876d…
11-01 22:57:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	33	35¢	$12	0xd271a2…
11-01 22:53:25	Will Apple say "OpenAI / ChatGPT" during earnings call?	No	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x14e619…
11-01 22:53:10	Will Apple say "Creator Studio" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x292d4b…
11-01 22:41:52	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 on November 2?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x3c29a9…
11-01 22:41:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xeb8f17…
11-01 22:41:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x830fee…
11-01 22:41:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x52308e…
11-01 22:37:34	will apple say apple music during earnings call november 2	Yes	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xd103a4…
11-01 22:37:31	Will Apple say "Creator Studio" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	37	51¢	$19	0xb6aca6…
11-01 22:37:28	will apple say openai chatgpt during earnings call november 2	Yes	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0x37d3ad…
11-01 22:34:13	will apple say formula 1 f1 during earnings call november 2	Yes	BUY	37	72¢	$27	0x087b3a…
11-01 22:34:07	Will Apple say "Fold / Folding / Foldable" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	37	88¢	$32	0xc28082…
11-01 22:33:43	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $285 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	140	28¢	$39	0x737a0e…
11-01 22:33:00	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 on November 2?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xfc20f1…
11-01 22:30:51	will apple say gemini during earnings call november 2	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x81e74c…
11-01 22:30:48	will apple say icloud during earnings call november 2	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xc027af…
11-01 22:30:48	will apple say formula 1 f1 during earnings call november 2	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x5b5c41…
11-01 22:30:45	Will Apple say "Creator Studio" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xa05b72…
11-01 22:30:43	will apple say openai chatgpt during earnings call november 2	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xe9d648…
11-01 22:30:43	Will Apple say "Fold / Folding / Foldable" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0xad907a…
11-01 22:30:42	Will Apple say "Fold / Folding / Foldable" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0xdc3798…
11-01 22:30:42	will apple say ai artificial intelligence 20 times during earnings call november 2	Yes	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x0d89b0…
11-01 22:30:40	will apple say ai artificial intelligence 20 times during earnings call november 2	Yes	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x15799f…
11-01 22:26:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0x62b53c…
11-01 22:13:13	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $285 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xca2a7b…
11-01 21:28:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x9a1c56…
11-01 21:19:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on November 2?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3e7254…
11-01 21:18:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on November 2?	No	BUY	59	88¢	$52	0xb18a05…
11-01 21:17:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	33	59¢	$19	0x515fcf…
11-01 21:06:30	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x652fba…
11-01 20:59:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0x335422…
11-01 20:01:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe077b8…
11-01 18:53:18	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on November 2?	No	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x1d4348…
11-01 18:21:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on November 2?	No	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0xdbbabb…
11-01 18:15:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xac51f6…
11-01 17:57:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	24	44¢	$11	0x3fac62…
11-01 16:54:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x498079…