Flippant-Trader — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$406

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,466

lifetime

Volume

$52.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-04 07:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

78% 50% +$99

Politics

16% 100% +$307

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	42	$3.4K	3,397	2,633	+763	open	—	07-30 13:45
spx up or down on january 28 2026	47	$2.5K	2,025	2,544	-519	open	—	01-28 21:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	31	$2.3K	2,324	2,324	+0	open	—	06-24 15:44
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$1.7K	900	900	+0	open	—	01-12 16:13
spx up or down on february 11 2026	5	$1.3K	1,328	350	+978	open	—	02-11 21:00
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	41	$1.3K	1,241	1,281	-39	open	—	02-01 05:00
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	9	$1.1K	982	610	+372	open	—	02-04 17:46
bitcoin up or down january 16 8pm et	9	$1.0K	525	525	+0	open	—	01-17 02:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	27	$1.0K	1,548	1,554	-7	open	—	04-28 14:44
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	9	$974	628	643	-15	open	—	02-05 03:20
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	36	$878	2,580	753	+1,827	open	—	03-26 21:39
spx up or down on april 7 2026	6	$875	602	602	+0	open	—	04-07 22:45
spx up or down on january 7 2026	22	$844	1,457	1,112	+345	open	—	01-07 20:06
will ethereum dip to 2000 in february 2026	9	$843	976	600	+376	open	—	02-05 03:18
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?	19	$816	882	320	+561	open	—	03-10 00:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	12	$775	1,200	525	+675	open	—	04-10 07:05
wti up or down on april 13 2026	6	$764	392	392	+0	open	—	04-13 17:49
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	26	$721	1,327	1,133	+194	open	—	01-06 11:10
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	10	$683	600	600	+0	open	—	02-01 02:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	9	$681	713	706	+7	open	—	04-29 08:47
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	17	$625	518	1,714	-1,196	open	—	01-21 23:00
spx up or down on january 16 2026	21	$617	744	524	+220	open	—	01-16 17:39
spx up or down on february 17 2026	8	$570	846	846	+0	open	—	02-17 20:45
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	3	$530	400	900	-500	open	—	01-17 05:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	13	$522	845	837	+8	open	—	04-12 22:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	3	$504	600	600	+0	open	—	05-10 15:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	7	$482	800	400	+400	open	—	01-13 14:45
spx up or down on march 2 2026	15	$476	613	613	+0	open	—	03-02 20:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$469	476	289	+187	open	—	03-01 00:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	4	$461	58	458	-400	open	—	06-24 00:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 07:47:09	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xf86f9a…
08-04 07:44:11	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x8bfd28…
08-04 02:35:54	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xae6b01…
08-03 13:23:54	will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xa5378f…
08-03 08:47:11	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	SELL	134	27¢	$36	0x244961…
08-03 05:23:03	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	163	7¢	$11	0x67fc27…
08-03 03:55:26	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x79ce24…
08-03 03:55:23	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xc9a825…
08-03 02:53:17	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	206	23¢	$47	0xd11c2e…
08-03 02:29:08	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xb60482…
08-03 02:18:57	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	32	23¢	$7	0xd11620…
08-03 01:32:44	will xauusd reach 4300 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	298	36¢	$107	0xbb2ba7…
08-03 01:00:02	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	108	7¢	$8	0xd7cb63…
08-03 00:59:50	will xauusd reach 4500 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	108	7¢	$8	0xfb760c…
08-03 00:40:23	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	55	23¢	$13	0x6f2bab…
08-03 00:17:06	will xauusd reach 4300 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xa68e62…
08-03 00:13:42	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	123	25¢	$31	0xaef323…
08-03 00:06:30	will xauusd reach 4300 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x324c8e…
07-30 13:45:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0xda5bf4…
07-30 13:45:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	66¢	$99	0x211e99…
07-30 13:42:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0xef6515…
07-30 13:42:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x57198e…
07-28 18:36:38	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x0b09fc…
07-28 18:36:31	will googl reach 380 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	114	1¢	$1	0xe4910a…
07-28 18:36:25	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	411	0¢	$2	0x463357…
07-28 17:17:08	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x0ebba7…
07-28 17:16:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0xb6e850…
07-28 02:07:01	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x2821dc…
07-28 02:07:00	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x4a63f2…
07-28 02:03:42	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2d0c98…
07-28 02:02:45	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x795e86…
07-28 02:01:09	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xd4c648…
07-28 02:01:04	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x5a7aed…
07-28 02:00:54	spx up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x937311…
07-27 20:00:16	spx up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0xc85b55…
07-24 22:27:18	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	134	28¢	$38	0xee621c…
07-24 22:26:33	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	53	28¢	$15	0x90168f…
07-24 21:39:06	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0xc9b861…
07-24 21:31:19	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x7f853c…
07-24 21:31:18	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6ff435…
07-24 21:31:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	56	25¢	$14	0x2a9294…
07-24 21:18:52	will googl dip to 310 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x29d8b1…
07-24 21:18:45	will googl dip to 310 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	104	53¢	$55	0xcb1389…
07-23 23:59:07	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	201	40¢	$81	0xc8d4f9…
07-23 23:30:55	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xf344ab…
07-23 22:15:18	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	83	59¢	$49	0x3e4362…
07-23 22:09:13	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xe42565…
07-23 22:08:49	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x50b970…
07-23 22:08:25	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x9ab2e1…
07-23 22:08:04	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x33b04f…
07-23 22:07:27	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	35	60¢	$21	0x1a4b0a…
07-23 22:06:30	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0xe91bca…
07-23 21:01:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x34c916…
07-23 17:02:43	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	219	56¢	$123	0x391fc9…
07-23 17:02:43	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x19d7aa…
07-23 16:59:00	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xb6e3dc…
07-23 16:56:34	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x750cd1…
07-23 13:58:39	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	71¢	$51	0x28003a…
07-23 13:57:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	71¢	$91	0x8e2aa2…
07-23 12:41:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	69¢	$61	0x842842…
07-23 11:40:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x0f02b6…
07-23 09:24:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	69¢	$74	0x96f829…
07-23 08:45:48	will googl reach 380 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x07ba1c…
07-23 08:33:09	will googl reach 380 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0x187151…
07-23 00:53:03	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	993	4¢	$41	0xd20286…
07-22 23:06:18	will googl dip to 290 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x838476…
07-22 23:00:48	will googl dip to 330 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0x05e0dc…
07-22 18:01:31	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	90	21¢	$19	0x587bc0…
07-22 18:01:30	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	85	21¢	$18	0x324fc0…
07-22 17:57:12	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0xb737cc…
07-22 17:43:25	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x2e376e…
07-22 13:58:31	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	SELL	66	55¢	$36	0x826155…
07-22 13:40:01	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x0284d9…
07-22 13:39:58	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x060047…
07-22 13:39:55	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0x62754d…
07-22 13:39:54	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x495ada…
07-22 13:39:52	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x965bf3…
07-22 12:20:48	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x1ff40f…
07-22 06:36:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	60¢	$33	0x567017…
07-22 04:28:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xc67f1a…
07-22 02:09:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x0aca16…
07-22 01:55:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xdf3394…
07-22 01:03:09	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	60¢	$57	0xe3f21b…
07-22 00:16:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x9d45f3…
07-21 22:43:51	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0xee8f60…
07-21 21:02:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0xfe6159…
07-21 20:40:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	64¢	$52	0x1feb77…
07-21 17:44:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7b57fd…
07-21 17:41:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0xb47202…
07-21 17:41:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	63¢	$58	0x788236…
07-20 20:23:12	spx up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xc98c7a…
07-20 18:58:22	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	120	35¢	$42	0xda7b88…
07-20 18:58:00	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	120	39¢	$47	0x1c9110…
07-20 14:16:42	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	195	25¢	$49	0x592003…
07-20 14:15:45	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa00a23…
07-20 08:25:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xf57c03…
07-13 17:59:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0xdbab75…
07-12 23:35:35	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	32	33¢	$11	0xa9cf1d…
07-09 13:57:14	spx up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x3c5ee0…
07-08 17:40:08	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	167	15¢	$26	0x40421b…