Realized P&L
+$1.79K
Unrealized P&L
+$197
Hit rate
66.5%
Resolved
6,915
Trades
38,009
lifetime
Volume
$143.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$711
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-21
last 10-23 11:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
93% 38% +$1,931
Crypto
3% 45% +$36
Politics
3% 42% +$52
Sports
1% 33% -$244
Tech
0% 33% +$16
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 1610 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +88 $54 86¢ $76 +$23 10-05 11:43
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +60 $17 98¢ $59 +$42 10-12 18:43
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +40 $36 98¢ $39 +$4 10-19 20:23
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +38 $35 99¢ $38 +$3 10-05 06:41
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +38 $28 90¢ $34 +$6 10-21 21:23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +30 $13 80¢ $24 +$11 09-30 21:15
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? No +25 $19 96¢ $24 +$5 10-21 20:34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +31 $17 76¢ $24 +$7 10-20 15:15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +25 $19 94¢ $23 +$4 10-15 21:16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +30 $10 76¢ $23 +$13 09-30 21:22
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +21 $2 94¢ $20 +$18 10-12 21:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25 $16 80¢ $20 +$4 09-29 19:37
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No — +20 $8 99¢ $20 +$11 10-04 22:59
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $16 99¢ $20 +$4 10-06 06:05
standx fdv above 50m one day after launch No +20 $18 99¢ $20 +$2 10-15 07:06
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $17 98¢ $20 +$3 09-07 15:19
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +20 $17 97¢ $19 +$3 10-14 14:15
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? No +20 $16 96¢ $19 +$3 10-08 21:57
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +20 $8 94¢ $19 +$11 10-21 09:04
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +20 $14 88¢ $18 +$3 10-05 14:52
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +20 $11 86¢ $17 +$6 10-05 09:29
will the next fable model 5pt2 debut at a score of at least 1530 by june 30 2027 No +20 $15 86¢ $17 +$3 10-15 03:28
ilhan omar federally charged by december 31 2026 No +20 $14 84¢ $17 +$3 10-21 20:04
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +18 $2 92¢ $17 +$15 09-30 22:01
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +31 $3 52¢ $16 +$13 10-02 10:01
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +20 $16 79¢ $16 $0 10-06 22:27
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +16 $5 99¢ $16 +$10 10-04 22:57
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +30 $26 48¢ $14 -$12 09-13 18:33
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +88 $27 14¢ $12 -$15 10-08 14:45
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? No +20 $16 55¢ $11 -$5 10-22 01:14