Realized P&L
+$1.41K
Unrealized P&L
+$572
Hit rate
68.2%
Resolved
8,719
Trades
43,628
lifetime
Volume
$161.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$2.08K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-21
last 10-26 14:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
88% 39% +$1,200
Politics
5% 44% +$163
Crypto
5% 43% +$89
Sports
2% 42% -$67
Tech
1% 26% +$25
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 1595 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +186 $133 100¢ $185 +$52 09-24 13:20
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +155 $127 77¢ $119 -$9 09-28 11:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +110 $75 100¢ $110 +$35 10-21 22:33
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +103 $43 96¢ $99 +$57 10-10 22:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +100 $53 96¢ $96 +$43 09-28 17:13
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +100 $77 96¢ $96 +$19 09-15 18:39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +102 $72 88¢ $90 +$18 10-21 10:59
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +90 $35 98¢ $88 +$53 10-12 17:37
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? No +86 $59 99¢ $85 +$26 10-20 06:00
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +100 $60 84¢ $84 +$24 10-05 11:43
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +85 $67 97¢ $82 +$16 10-22 07:19
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +92 $57 84¢ $78 +$21 09-21 16:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +70 $54 99¢ $69 +$15 10-11 14:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +80 $49 84¢ $68 +$18 09-05 10:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +65 $43 96¢ $63 +$20 10-21 21:18
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +60 $41 98¢ $59 +$18 09-06 22:59
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +63 $43 91¢ $58 +$15 10-01 01:35
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +60 $36 88¢ $53 +$17 10-21 19:54
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +62 $32 81¢ $50 +$18 09-21 18:14
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +50 $36 98¢ $49 +$14 10-01 18:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +50 $38 94¢ $47 +$9 10-21 21:46
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +65 $46 72¢ $46 +$0 09-28 08:07
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +48 $37 96¢ $46 +$9 09-29 20:42
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +40 $36 96¢ $38 +$3 10-19 20:23
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +40 $17 96¢ $38 +$21 09-28 14:44
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +160 $22 23¢ $37 +$16 10-02 10:01
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +40 $30 94¢ $37 +$7 09-20 22:44
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +37 $32 96¢ $36 +$4 09-05 13:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +53 $22 64¢ $33 +$12 10-20 14:59
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +35 $32 95¢ $33 +$1 10-05 06:19