Realized P&L
+$66
Unrealized P&L
+$79
Hit rate
49.6%
Resolved
437
Trades
1,364
lifetime
Volume
$8.07K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$696
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 10-27 10:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Other
52% 23% +$117
Politics
21% 22% -$21
Sports
13% 35% +$46
Crypto
8% 18% -$25
Tech
6% 15% -$53
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -99 -$72 96¢ $-94 -$23 07-16 04:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +111 $79 76¢ $85 +$6 07-16 02:49
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +46 $37 90¢ $42 +$5 07-16 04:17
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287 No +45 $36 86¢ $39 +$3 07-16 04:13
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No +41 $28 79¢ $32 +$4 07-16 04:15
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +26 $2 97¢ $25 +$23 08-03 01:13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -26 -$20 94¢ $-24 -$4 05-10 14:01
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -28 -$25 84¢ $-24 +$1 05-10 14:00
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 No +25 $20 90¢ $22 +$2 07-13 22:48
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +21 $18 98¢ $21 +$3 09-01 14:12
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +23 $17 86¢ $20 +$2 07-16 04:13
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 No +20 $6 96¢ $19 +$13 09-29 18:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +21 $18 86¢ $18 +$1 09-28 17:41
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +24 $12 70¢ $17 +$5 08-18 20:14
will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31 No +17 $16 95¢ $16 +$0 08-13 11:04
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +18 $15 89¢ $16 +$1 07-29 03:25
israeli airspace closed by december 31 2026 No +20 $15 74¢ $15 +$0 10-14 11:24
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +17 $12 87¢ $15 +$3 09-03 19:56
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +15 $12 97¢ $15 +$2 09-11 05:47
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? No +14 $10 99¢ $14 +$4 07-17 02:32
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +15 $10 92¢ $14 +$4 07-16 04:02
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +16 $10 88¢ $14 +$4 10-21 19:52
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +25 $2 55¢ $14 +$12 10-18 16:15
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +16 $13 82¢ $13 +$0 08-13 02:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +14 $11 92¢ $13 +$2 10-16 16:44
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +12 $10 96¢ $12 +$2 07-23 11:56
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +12 $10 96¢ $12 +$1 07-23 12:19
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +13 $10 86¢ $11 +$1 07-13 20:12
US recession by end of 2026? No +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 07-18 06:05
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 07-13 22:49