Realized P&L
-$16.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.78K
Hit rate
87.4%
Resolved
746
Trades
39,385
lifetime
Volume
$2.90M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$74
Open exposure
$26.0K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-25 10:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 137 days
Categories
Crypto
45% 77% +$2,598
Other
42% 70% -$19,112
Politics
11% 78% -$1,210
Sports
1% 55% +$1,327
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +17,502 $16,272 96¢ $16.8K +$556 10-06 13:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -3,750 -$1,801 90¢ $-3356 -$1,555 06-05 16:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,301 -$1,993 98¢ $-2247 -$254 05-11 19:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,200 $937 83¢ $996 +$59 10-15 20:11
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1,000 $920 96¢ $962 +$42 08-11 14:57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +600 $460 82¢ $495 +$35 10-15 20:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +300 $189 94¢ $284 +$94 09-14 12:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +200 $94 94¢ $188 +$94 09-18 11:19
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -191 -$460 91¢ $-174 +$286 08-21 22:16
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +89,997 $800 0¢ $135 -$665 07-03 21:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +900 $216 11¢ $94 -$121 08-19 21:15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +300 $132 30¢ $90 -$42 10-14 21:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +250 $105 26¢ $64 -$41 09-14 18:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,699 $289 2¢ $40 -$249 04-28 19:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +210 $27 12¢ $24 -$3 10-15 00:02
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +110 $28 16¢ $18 -$9 10-15 19:26
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +305 $3 1¢ $2 -$1 07-24 10:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $5 99¢ $0 -$5 06-14 01:39