Finished-Wheel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

Trades

24,214

lifetime

Volume

$2.72M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$112

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-11 21:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 33% $-66

Other

42% 60% $-5

Politics

11% 75% +$153

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 413 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by march 13 213 135 835	36	$88.1K	54,323	34,399	+19,923	open	—	03-11 05:17
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	64	$85.6K	51,600	36,156	+15,444	open	—	04-08 00:19
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	157	$84.8K	49,476	44,646	+4,830	open	—	03-31 16:51
cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	104	$60.3K	78,929	56,200	+22,729	open	—	03-22 02:57
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	26	$51.7K	27,477	24,816	+2,660	open	—	03-10 23:27
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1,085	$37.8K	41,809	34,398	+7,411	open	—	07-25 23:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	84	$37.8K	24,269	22,201	+2,068	open	—	04-22 06:30
bitcoin above 80k on january 31	73	$33.7K	26,130	7,733	+18,398	open	—	01-31 19:03
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	3,447	$31.6K	33,289	28,849	+4,440	open	—	08-01 06:15
cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21	69	$29.9K	16,467	16,467	+0	open	—	03-21 18:01
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	137	$29.8K	36,933	33,618	+3,315	open	—	04-29 13:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	84	$29.8K	18,724	16,285	+2,439	open	—	04-14 08:35
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	134	$26.9K	19,101	19,780	-679	open	—	01-30 21:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	31	$26.4K	13,892	13,861	+31	open	—	04-07 20:08
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 13 221 752 344	35	$26.2K	20,975	5,885	+15,090	open	—	03-13 20:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	144	$25.5K	28,000	8,000	+20,000	open	—	04-22 07:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	88	$25.1K	16,734	8,993	+7,740	open	—	04-29 03:15
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	26	$24.6K	16,887	8,387	+8,500	open	—	03-12 21:12
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	15	$24.1K	23,843	1,843	+22,000	open	—	04-08 18:25
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	46	$23.3K	21,108	15,384	+5,724	open	—	01-26 22:52
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	38	$22.5K	17,544	7,544	+10,000	open	—	03-24 22:01
cbb hawaii ark 2026 03 19	21	$22.5K	10,889	11,989	-1,100	open	—	03-19 21:54
btc updown 5m 1771774800	99	$22.3K	11,321	11,181	+141	open	—	02-22 15:45
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	26	$21.7K	11,903	10,500	+1,403	open	—	01-30 22:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	25	$21.4K	13,339	9,021	+4,318	open	—	04-08 00:59
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	15	$21.1K	10,371	12,371	-2,000	open	—	03-24 20:52
bitcoin up or down february 23 8am et	37	$21.0K	21,002	0	+21,002	open	—	02-23 14:12
will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	12	$20.4K	20,521	0	+20,521	open	—	03-19 19:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 10	12	$20.0K	10,233	10,170	+63	open	—	04-08 00:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	37	$19.8K	10,500	10,500	+0	open	—	04-10 20:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 21:08:30	will the uptspt lift caatsa sanctions on turkey by december 31 2026 20260708213004787	Yes	BUY	117	54¢	$63	0x317bf3…
08-11 14:57:51	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xee403d…
08-11 14:56:55	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	70	92¢	$64	0x28c7e7…
08-11 10:06:43	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	924	92¢	$850	0x3a9faa…
08-10 02:37:33	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xa0f2b0…
08-10 02:36:39	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xa28e66…
08-10 02:36:28	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0xc29d8a…
08-10 02:36:24	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0xdbb90d…
08-10 02:36:10	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x57b27b…
08-10 02:36:03	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x8cd821…
08-10 02:36:01	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xf56dfa…
08-10 02:36:01	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xe90128…
08-10 02:36:01	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xb08faf…
08-10 02:36:01	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xa7c637…
08-10 02:36:01	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xa1e675…
08-10 02:36:01	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x9c1a68…
08-10 02:36:01	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x876bf7…
08-10 02:36:01	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x704e6f…
08-10 02:36:01	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x1b1597…
08-10 02:36:01	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x15f891…
08-09 14:09:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	110	28¢	$31	0xfecb50…
08-09 12:39:06	btc updown 5m 1786278900	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xc0b080…
08-09 12:39:06	btc updown 5m 1786278900	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xafc371…
08-09 12:39:06	btc updown 5m 1786278900	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x7b5749…
08-09 12:39:06	btc updown 5m 1786278900	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x477846…
08-09 12:39:06	btc updown 5m 1786278900	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x30d998…
08-09 12:39:04	btc updown 5m 1786278900	Up	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xe91ee7…
08-09 12:34:51	btc updown 5m 1786278600	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x686aad…
08-09 12:34:49	btc updown 5m 1786278600	Down	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xb90e8b…
08-09 12:34:49	btc updown 5m 1786278600	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xaa108b…
08-09 12:32:54	btc updown 5m 1786278600	Up	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x8d1fe2…
08-09 12:32:54	btc updown 5m 1786278600	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x5dea8f…
08-09 12:32:51	btc updown 5m 1786278600	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xe329dd…
08-09 12:32:51	btc updown 5m 1786278600	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x63cfca…
08-09 12:32:51	btc updown 5m 1786278600	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x074dca…
08-09 12:32:49	btc updown 5m 1786278600	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xc56e96…
08-09 12:32:49	btc updown 5m 1786278600	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb15adc…
08-09 12:24:28	btc updown 5m 1786278000	Up	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x0148ef…
08-09 09:48:10	will canvas valuation hit high 100b by december 31	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa099b2…
08-09 07:43:46	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	94¢	$3,760	0x55c856…
08-08 20:56:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	600	85¢	$510	0xa98f4a…
08-06 03:27:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	459	84¢	$385	0xd253e7…
08-06 03:23:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd4598f…
08-06 03:10:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	135	84¢	$114	0x55b70d…
08-05 20:07:03	will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	228	4¢	$10	0x399e36…
08-05 19:40:08	will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x76dcd6…
08-05 19:19:24	will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x20084b…
08-05 18:59:59	will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2e4ec4…
08-01 06:15:59	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb7c8a1…
08-01 06:15:59	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9d814f…
08-01 06:15:44	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xe649b0…
08-01 06:15:42	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xd497a0…
08-01 06:15:41	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x5169b4…
08-01 06:15:38	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xda18d0…
08-01 06:15:36	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xb16905…
08-01 06:15:30	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x43984e…
08-01 06:15:21	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xe1042a…
08-01 06:15:12	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x6843de…
08-01 06:15:02	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xf1bf36…
08-01 06:15:02	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x8ca480…
08-01 06:14:53	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x7024d5…
08-01 06:14:33	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x12b7c3…
08-01 06:14:29	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x5a6b36…
08-01 06:14:27	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xd24fd2…
08-01 06:14:26	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xd8a101…
08-01 06:14:15	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0xb388d0…
08-01 06:14:15	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x465692…
08-01 06:13:57	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xc024ef…
08-01 06:13:53	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x38a7e6…
08-01 06:13:51	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xb77f6e…
08-01 06:13:50	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x9d0dc8…
08-01 06:13:50	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x57e9e0…
08-01 06:13:41	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xb23e45…
08-01 06:13:39	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x7903e4…
08-01 06:13:39	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x761de2…
08-01 06:13:38	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x356fe2…
08-01 06:13:17	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xe0f768…
08-01 06:12:59	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x1545ad…
08-01 06:12:12	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x0e9b2c…
08-01 06:11:15	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xa1f4f7…
08-01 06:10:39	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x0cc4f5…
08-01 06:10:36	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x5eae07…
08-01 06:10:18	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x0be618…
08-01 06:10:17	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xe8ef93…
08-01 06:10:17	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x655b8d…
08-01 06:09:59	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xa2c024…
08-01 06:09:59	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x4fdcb0…
08-01 06:08:41	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0x53f638…
08-01 06:08:23	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x25d7bb…
08-01 06:08:23	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x10db65…
08-01 06:08:06	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x7055a8…
08-01 06:07:50	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x96ac82…
08-01 06:07:48	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xbf62bf…
08-01 06:07:32	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x801937…
08-01 06:07:30	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x183e9a…
08-01 06:07:15	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x3a8dfa…
08-01 06:07:12	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x3a37c0…
08-01 06:07:09	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x893191…
08-01 06:06:57	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x6936c7…
08-01 06:06:56	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x6b1599…