Finished-Wheel — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$788

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

39,418 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$2.12K

$2.91M lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

$30.7K

24 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-15 09:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 77% +$2,598

Other

43% 70% -$18,895

Politics

11% 78% -$1,210

Sports

1% 55% +$1,327

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (24) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	+17,502	$16,272	99¢	$17.3K	+$994	10-06 13:17
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	+4,448	$3,213	74¢	$3.3K	+$56	11-15 09:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-3,750	-$1,801	72¢	$-2681	-$880	06-05 16:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-2,301	-$1,993	97¢	$-2240	-$247	05-11 19:58
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	-1,192	-$1,430	97¢	$-1154	+$277	11-08 21:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+1,200	$937	92¢	$1.1K	+$173	10-15 20:11
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	+1,000	$920	98¢	$976	+$56	08-11 14:57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	+600	$460	94¢	$561	+$101	10-15 20:45
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	No	+400	$304	80¢	$318	+$14	10-29 23:26
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	+400	$162	72¢	$290	+$128	10-30 18:48
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+89,997	$800	0¢	$180	-$620	07-03 21:22
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+108,010	$748	0¢	$162	-$586	07-09 10:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+450	$9	29¢	$128	+$119	11-15 01:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	+200	$140	42¢	$85	-$55	10-29 19:54
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	+110	$28	56¢	$62	+$35	10-15 19:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,699	$289	3¢	$45	-$244	04-28 19:18
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+100	$44	38¢	$38	-$7	09-24 09:50
will hyperliquid reach 140 by december 31 2026	No	+38	$23	98¢	$37	+$14	08-27 15:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+250	$105	14¢	$34	-$71	09-14 18:26
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$17	33¢	$33	+$16	09-07 04:42
will the uptspt lift caatsa sanctions on turkey by december 31 2026 20260708213004787	Yes	+117	$63	22¢	$26	-$37	08-11 21:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+210	$27	4¢	$9	-$18	10-15 00:02
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+305	$3	0¢	$1	-$2	07-24 10:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$5	99¢	$0	-$5	06-14 01:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by march 13 213 135 835	36	$88.1K	54,323	34,399	+19,923	Yes	+$257	03-11 05:17
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	64	$85.6K	51,600	36,156	+15,444	Yes	+$130	04-08 00:19
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	157	$84.8K	49,476	44,646	+4,830	No	+$491	03-31 16:51
cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	104	$60.3K	78,929	56,200	+22,729	Nebraska Cornhuskers	-$15,797	03-22 02:57
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	26	$51.7K	27,477	24,816	+2,660	Yes	+$238	03-10 23:27
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1,182	$40.5K	45,866	35,887	+9,979	cancelled	+$88	07-25 23:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	84	$37.8K	24,269	22,201	+2,068	No	+$431	04-22 06:30
bitcoin above 80k on january 31	73	$33.7K	26,130	7,733	+18,398	Yes	+$135	01-31 19:03
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	3,621	$32.9K	35,265	29,452	+5,813	cancelled	+$536	08-01 06:15
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	235	$32.8K	26,106	8,603	+17,502	open	—	10-06 13:17
cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21	69	$29.9K	16,467	16,467	+0	Michigan Wolverines	+$284	03-21 18:01
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	137	$29.8K	36,933	33,618	+3,315	No	-$385	04-29 13:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	84	$29.8K	18,724	16,285	+2,439	No	+$830	04-14 08:35
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	134	$26.9K	19,101	19,780	-679	No	+$53	01-30 21:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	31	$26.4K	13,892	13,861	+31	Yes	+$1,126	04-07 20:08
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 13 221 752 344	35	$26.2K	20,975	5,885	+15,090	No	+$557	03-13 20:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	144	$25.5K	28,000	8,000	+20,000	No	+$102	04-22 07:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	88	$25.1K	16,734	8,993	+7,740	No	+$248	04-29 03:15
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	26	$24.6K	16,887	8,387	+8,500	Yes	-$35	03-12 21:12
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	15	$24.1K	23,843	1,843	+22,000	Yes	+$103	04-08 18:25
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	46	$23.3K	21,108	15,384	+5,724	Yes	+$137	01-26 22:52
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	38	$22.5K	17,544	7,544	+10,000	No	+$1,911	03-24 22:01
cbb hawaii ark 2026 03 19	21	$22.5K	10,889	11,989	-1,100	Arkansas Razorbacks	+$42	03-19 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 15:40 UTC	99	$22.3K	11,321	11,181	+141	Down	+$78	02-22 15:45
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	26	$21.7K	11,903	10,500	+1,403	No	+$717	01-30 22:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	25	$21.4K	13,339	9,021	+4,318	Yes	+$156	04-08 00:59
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	15	$21.1K	10,371	12,371	-2,000	Yes	+$250	03-24 20:52
bitcoin up or down february 23 8am et	37	$21.0K	21,002	0	+21,002	Down	+$22	02-23 14:12
will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	12	$20.4K	20,521	0	+20,521	Yes	+$97	03-19 19:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 10	12	$20.0K	10,233	10,170	+63	Yes	+$214	04-08 00:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 09:55:19	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x8d602f…
11-15 09:31:44	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa13a9f…
11-15 01:34:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	46¢	$22	0xc86c76…
11-15 01:33:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xc8b3c7…
11-15 01:33:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	380	46¢	$175	0x9e72ec…
11-15 01:31:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xa7420b…
11-13 03:48:54	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xd06864…
11-13 00:15:09	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x39c730…
11-12 19:27:55	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	SELL	32	81¢	$26	0x6f7bb6…
11-12 15:41:09	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	245	66¢	$162	0xc56c3b…
11-12 15:02:12	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	1,000	67¢	$670	0x715a90…
11-08 22:18:21	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x62de27…
11-08 22:18:18	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	71	88¢	$62	0xbde05f…
11-08 21:23:54	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	97¢	$970	0xd84837…
11-06 16:25:30	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	167	88¢	$147	0x3c0699…
11-06 16:22:09	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x90c32b…
11-05 21:09:13	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	873	94¢	$821	0x85558e…
11-05 20:57:27	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0xed6980…
11-05 19:51:28	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x8afe3c…
11-05 15:08:45	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	SELL	995	95¢	$945	0x8f6fa0…
11-05 14:38:27	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x9767cc…
11-04 05:45:07	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0x3f6261…
11-02 01:42:52	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	SELL	592	90¢	$533	0xae3bf4…
11-02 01:36:46	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	SELL	431	90¢	$388	0x873d05…
11-02 00:44:54	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0x4c341f…
11-01 18:36:46	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	24	64¢	$15	0xbb970f…
10-31 00:07:34	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	466	77¢	$359	0x804711…
10-30 21:57:30	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	34	77¢	$26	0x0b44e7…
10-30 18:48:19	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x005b7c…
10-30 13:33:54	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	207	84¢	$174	0xcc79a5…
10-29 23:26:42	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	No	BUY	400	76¢	$304	0xf3ba16…
10-29 19:54:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x9c80ab…
10-25 10:19:18	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x74a53a…
10-23 20:15:09	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	281	84¢	$236	0x1a3525…
10-22 12:46:41	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5d5265…
10-20 21:01:51	wti up or down on october 21 2026	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbe17b9…
10-18 21:19:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6fc2e2…
10-18 21:03:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0x7ab679…
10-15 20:45:21	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	34	75¢	$25	0xdd1d98…
10-15 20:44:24	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xf0f65f…
10-15 20:44:24	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0x8870ba…
10-15 20:11:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0x2b3063…
10-15 19:26:53	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	BUY	110	25¢	$28	0x269ea0…
10-15 19:09:14	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xbf28ec…
10-15 00:02:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x7bc746…
10-14 23:17:43	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	470	77¢	$362	0x6294f2…
10-14 22:35:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0xff9ac7…
10-14 22:33:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x646089…
10-14 21:24:18	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	300	44¢	$132	0x35a5ee…
10-11 15:35:36	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0x01907a…
10-08 18:57:00	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xd4ffeb…
10-07 19:56:46	xauusd up or down on october 8 2026	Up	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x3ef00f…
10-07 19:49:31	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x49cbf8…
10-07 19:33:10	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5663d2…
10-07 14:34:10	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	SELL	49	69¢	$34	0x929cc3…
10-07 13:16:28	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	99	50¢	$49	0x413bc8…
10-06 17:10:26	xauusd up or down on october 7 2026	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8da31a…
10-06 14:37:03	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xd471c4…
10-06 13:17:04	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0xacb4ac…
10-05 17:40:07	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,843	95¢	$1,751	0xe64fc5…
10-05 16:28:13	erdogan out by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	83	10¢	$8	0x22edb7…
10-05 16:28:05	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	102	97¢	$99	0xfd5211…
10-05 14:10:50	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc1ea81…
10-04 15:55:26	xauusd up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x52f1a9…
10-04 10:06:35	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x52cbaf…
10-04 08:56:08	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	850	96¢	$816	0x2d1601…
10-04 02:35:43	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	290	51¢	$148	0x32a079…
10-03 20:55:46	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd8c6d0…
10-02 17:34:32	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x12191a…
10-02 02:17:59	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	210	96¢	$202	0x08504e…
10-02 02:13:54	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	840	96¢	$806	0x7aa351…
10-01 20:43:15	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xc33099…
10-01 06:03:35	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	600	96¢	$576	0xac658c…
09-30 23:04:02	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	SELL	400	89¢	$355	0x282c9f…
09-30 14:13:48	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	SELL	560	87¢	$489	0x4ec5d8…
09-29 18:09:26	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	SELL	24	68¢	$16	0xf72c62…
09-29 17:25:06	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	SELL	101	59¢	$59	0x804aa4…
09-29 16:46:39	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	SELL	297	59¢	$176	0x96227f…
09-29 16:45:38	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	SELL	102	59¢	$61	0x89b929…
09-29 10:13:03	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xd6cfbe…
09-29 10:11:41	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x4f4db9…
09-29 10:00:27	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x91131e…
09-29 09:55:29	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x20dbae…
09-29 09:46:36	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xaf0c38…
09-29 09:46:20	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0xe37558…
09-29 09:39:17	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x7d94eb…
09-29 09:30:56	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x0efb06…
09-29 09:24:51	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x491dc8…
09-29 09:16:44	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xe106e8…
09-29 09:13:23	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x00e8a0…
09-29 09:05:00	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x0dd1b6…
09-29 09:01:18	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x6633e7…
09-29 08:53:00	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xb4730f…
09-29 08:48:59	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x86fbd5…
09-29 08:41:02	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xbb1bcd…
09-29 08:26:36	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x160d98…
09-29 08:16:44	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x6e80e5…
09-29 08:09:35	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xbf93ea…
09-29 08:01:11	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xd5b875…
09-29 07:54:02	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x984299…