Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$174

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-28

last 09-28 04:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

74% 50% +$4

Politics

26% 64% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+4	$2	5¢	$0	-$1	08-18 16:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	2	$4	16	+16	No	+$11	08-07 16:22
will trump say transgender during cabinet meeting 20260727172357445	1	$4	4	+4	Yes	-$4	07-31 13:06
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	2	$3	8	+8	Yes	-$1	09-09 19:57
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-29 16:44
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	2	$2	5	+5	Yes	$0	09-19 07:38
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-12 08:41
will open dip to 3 50 by august 3 2026	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	+$7	08-06 08:09
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-03 20:06
will spy reach 785 by august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-17 04:21
will mu dip to 780 by august 10 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-10 10:13
will pltr reach 180 by august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-17 12:53
wti closes above 84 on august 11 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-11 15:36
will mu dip to 960 by august 17 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-17 21:26
will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-04 12:07
spy up or down on august 7 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$1	08-07 08:17
grab quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 0pt02	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-02 19:36
spy up or down on august 12 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Up	-$2	08-12 00:39
hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt05	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-08 00:44
will abnb dip to 176 by august 10 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	+$8	08-10 00:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-08 08:45
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-11 06:16
spy up or down on august 13 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Up	-$2	08-13 05:03
will meta reach 580 by august 3 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-03 11:51
will abnb reach 186 by august 17 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	08-18 05:30
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-04 04:06
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-01 16:52
will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 8 20260730202035444	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-03 03:50
will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-06 16:11
iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-16 04:43
plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-08 16:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 04:23:39	will pltr reach 192 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xca94be…
09-26 18:43:48	will xagusd dip to 64 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x14262f…
09-26 09:23:56	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9050eb…
09-26 00:36:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x01827a…
09-23 02:41:05	Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5e2c91…
09-22 06:38:21	Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x386c3e…
09-21 22:17:13	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xeac060…
09-21 22:16:36	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3d26a9…
09-21 14:14:41	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa84cde…
09-21 06:08:20	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdaeb45…
09-20 21:47:53	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 21?	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb1bcdb…
09-19 07:38:22	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xae569e…
09-19 06:22:55	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x18788e…
09-18 18:33:45	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xbfc31d…
09-18 00:12:51	spy closes above 760 on september 18 2026	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x4b310a…
09-17 15:44:58	wti closes above 96 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xef1ba7…
09-17 07:21:45	spy closes above 760 on september 17 2026	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xf78812…
09-16 22:58:54	will ewy dip to 173 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x81f116…
09-16 13:29:04	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x7d5d43…
09-16 05:26:40	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x0a584b…
09-15 20:43:54	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x3d0ea7…
09-15 12:03:31	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 15?	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe6f9bb…
09-15 03:36:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xd1124d…
09-14 19:03:19	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2b9c40…
09-14 11:02:22	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xd91242…
09-14 02:48:25	spy up or down on september 14 2026	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x124c0d…
09-13 18:48:00	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x75d0c2…
09-11 23:33:13	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xfdfdb7…
09-11 05:56:07	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x50d439…
09-10 17:45:33	will trump say radical left during rnc convention september 10	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x085f26…
09-10 07:21:31	wti closes above 96 on september 10 2026	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x7094ef…
09-09 19:57:39	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x77e2c9…
09-09 19:56:25	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x19e9e9…
09-09 11:52:19	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xbebcf6…
09-08 16:13:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xefba1f…
09-08 06:14:04	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xb75ce9…
09-07 17:44:48	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd8cb35…
09-03 04:11:19	will xagusd dip to 64 by august 31 2026 from september 2	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xac1100…
09-02 16:05:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on September 2?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x2a6051…
09-01 17:35:28	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x00a2b9…
09-01 07:56:58	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x451e64…
08-30 23:46:10	spx up or down on august 31 2026	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd7e294…
08-30 11:59:48	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x73a418…
08-30 01:19:57	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xe23023…
08-29 16:45:28	will milo yiannopoulos be deported august 31 2026 632	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x4e09f5…
08-29 08:34:19	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x169ba4…
08-27 01:56:33	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x09778c…
08-26 16:14:57	spy up or down on august 26 2026	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xdcbfb3…
08-26 08:03:03	wti up or down on august 26 2026	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xef8379…
08-25 21:09:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xb99dee…
08-25 11:26:40	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x2eb77e…
08-25 03:14:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xc0e836…
08-24 19:10:18	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x2d3b27…
08-24 09:51:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x5a3748…
08-24 01:37:09	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa84c24…
08-23 07:46:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x46f44e…
08-22 01:22:33	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd784d3…
08-21 16:28:54	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x4548c1…
08-18 16:12:54	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x99d3fa…
08-18 05:30:34	will abnb reach 186 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x2b1b69…
08-17 21:26:58	will mu dip to 960 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x81eec8…
08-17 12:53:16	will pltr reach 180 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xed5875…
08-17 04:21:27	will spy reach 785 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x678f2b…
08-17 04:10:48	will pltr reach 177 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf9863e…
08-16 04:43:57	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x7fa5ff…
08-13 05:03:16	spy up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd9aebb…
08-12 08:41:24	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x97f0e7…
08-12 00:39:42	spy up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9be044…
08-11 15:36:33	wti closes above 84 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf4e534…
08-11 06:16:24	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x535a4d…
08-10 10:13:54	will mu dip to 780 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x5ce51b…
08-10 00:50:21	will abnb dip to 176 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x8da4a5…
08-08 16:45:28	plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xb02688…
08-08 08:45:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x59a013…
08-08 00:44:36	hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt05	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe19674…
08-07 16:22:42	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xe26112…
08-07 16:20:15	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xa18e64…
08-07 08:17:09	spy up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x3e9fe5…
08-07 00:12:35	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xef8acf…
08-06 16:11:42	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xd1af96…
08-06 08:09:48	will open dip to 3 50 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x54c462…
08-04 12:07:17	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xb8cb28…
08-04 04:06:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x9c3861…
08-03 20:06:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x7f9635…
08-03 11:51:32	will meta reach 580 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6721dd…
08-03 03:50:03	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 8 20260730202035444	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x32bda2…
08-02 19:36:41	grab quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 0pt02	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x60535c…
08-02 01:49:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcdaccb…
08-01 16:52:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x51ca17…
08-01 05:08:41	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4afbdf…
07-31 21:08:20	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcd7628…
07-31 13:06:50	will trump say transgender during cabinet meeting 20260727172357445	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x536bc3…
07-30 04:24:21	will trump say hell 3 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357440	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x32de36…
07-29 16:44:24	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe3f669…
07-29 07:35:36	Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x860807…
07-28 21:44:38	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb1b230…
07-28 12:06:58	will warsh say inflation 20 times during july press conference 20260720204109028	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8197a4…
07-28 03:57:48	will googl dip to 315 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xaac5b0…