Realized P&L
+$269
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
57.0%
Resolved
14,728
Trades
39,105
lifetime
Volume
$295.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$253
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-06 09:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Other
77% 44% +$3,905
Sports
17% 42% -$2,751
Crypto
4% 39% -$645
Politics
2% 42% +$25
Tech
0% 24% -$268
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 2678 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +102 $38 33¢ $34 -$4 08-13 22:08
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +31 $15 88¢ $27 +$12 07-31 15:35
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +77 $39 34¢ $26 -$14 08-01 16:45
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +89 $20 29¢ $25 +$5 09-08 11:09
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 No +21 $8 62¢ $13 +$5 08-16 04:58
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +25 $9 48¢ $12 +$3 08-06 21:01
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119 Yes +16 $6 72¢ $12 +$5 07-29 13:27
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +56 $10 20¢ $11 +$1 09-08 19:42
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +18 $10 58¢ $10 +$0 08-02 18:06
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +10 $7 92¢ $10 +$2 08-06 18:00
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +14 $5 66¢ $9 +$4 08-05 13:15
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500 No +9 $6 76¢ $7 +$1 07-28 01:49
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +12 $4 55¢ $7 +$2 08-12 23:33
will mark warner vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926661 No +6 $4 93¢ $6 +$2 08-04 23:39
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +9 $4 60¢ $5 +$1 08-13 03:02
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +15 $8 34¢ $5 -$3 07-30 22:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +6 $4 64¢ $4 $0 08-14 05:04
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? No +25 $9 14¢ $3 -$6 08-07 14:06
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +10 $6 34¢ $3 -$3 07-31 15:56
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5 $2 54¢ $3 +$1 07-20 08:06
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119 No +10 $6 28¢ $3 -$4 07-29 14:45
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +3 $2 98¢ $3 +$0 07-25 22:44
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 No +5 $2 48¢ $2 +$0 08-01 10:53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $4 16¢ $2 -$2 07-26 17:19
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +8 $2 28¢ $2 +$0 07-17 00:21
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +3 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 08-01 06:32
will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026 Yes +23 $5 9¢ $2 -$3 08-15 18:51
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +7 $4 26¢ $2 -$2 08-13 16:09
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +3 $2 74¢ $2 $0 08-01 04:59
will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287 No +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 07-30 21:29