Realized P&L
+$273
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
57.0%
Resolved
14,732
Trades
39,105
lifetime
Volume
$295.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$234
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-06 09:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Other
77% 44% +$3,903
Sports
17% 42% -$2,751
Crypto
4% 39% -$639
Politics
2% 42% +$25
Tech
0% 24% -$268
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 2678 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +31 $15 90¢ $28 +$13 07-31 15:35
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +89 $20 30¢ $27 +$7 09-08 11:09
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +77 $39 29¢ $22 -$17 08-01 16:45
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +102 $38 18¢ $19 -$19 08-13 22:08
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +25 $9 55¢ $13 +$4 08-06 21:01
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 No +21 $8 62¢ $13 +$5 08-16 04:58
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119 Yes +16 $6 73¢ $12 +$5 07-29 13:27
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +18 $10 56¢ $10 $0 08-02 18:06
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +10 $7 87¢ $9 +$2 08-06 18:00
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +56 $10 16¢ $9 -$1 09-08 19:42
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +14 $5 65¢ $9 +$4 08-05 13:15
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500 No +9 $6 82¢ $7 +$2 07-28 01:49
will mark warner vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926661 No +6 $4 94¢ $6 +$2 08-04 23:39
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +12 $4 43¢ $5 +$1 08-12 23:33
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +9 $4 56¢ $5 +$0 08-13 03:02
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? No +25 $9 18¢ $5 -$5 08-07 14:06
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +15 $8 29¢ $4 -$4 07-30 22:52
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +10 $6 35¢ $4 -$3 07-31 15:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +6 $4 56¢ $3 -$1 08-14 05:04
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +8 $2 34¢ $3 +$1 07-17 00:21
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119 No +10 $6 27¢ $3 -$4 07-29 14:45
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +3 $2 98¢ $3 +$0 07-25 22:44
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047 No +5 $2 48¢ $2 +$0 08-01 10:53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $4 16¢ $2 -$2 07-26 17:19
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5 $2 42¢ $2 +$0 07-20 08:06
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +3 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 08-01 06:32
will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026 Yes +23 $5 10¢ $2 -$3 08-15 18:51
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +7 $4 26¢ $2 -$2 08-13 16:09
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +3 $2 64¢ $2 $0 08-01 04:59
will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287 No +2 $1 72¢ $2 +$1 07-30 21:29